163
FNUS72 KMLB 030733
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for SFWMD_Blanket Bay...South Florida Water Management District
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
333 AM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A few showers cannot be ruled out near the burn site late this afternoon,
though confidence in any showers is low. Higher chances of isolated
showers and a few storms forecast Saturday afternoon. High temperatures
remaining around 90 degrees through the period. Easterly flow each day
increasing to up to around 12mph as the sea breeze moves inland. Min
RH around 40 percent today becoming 45 percent tomorrow. Very good
dispersion expected each afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 6 to 12 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....23 increasing to 77 early in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3 decreasing to 1 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  20  15  16  18  19  19  20  20
Weather cov.....                                SCH
Weather type....                                RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............75  79  84  85  88  89  90  89  89
RH..............74  64  53  50  43  41  39  41  41
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   6   8   9   10  10  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.                14  14  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 3.4 4.6 5.9 6.5 6.9 6.8 7.0 6.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   9   9   10  10  12  12
Dispersion idx..23  34  43  60  66  77  67  63  62
LVORI...........3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 12 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....57 decreasing to 7 early in the evening.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 9.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........17     10     16     19     21     24
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............87     78     70     68     65     63
RH..............45     62     87     97     100    100
20 ft wind......E 12   E 10   E 9    E 7    E 6    E 3
20 ft wind gust.16     14
Mix hgt (ft)....5600   600    500    500    400    500
Transport wind..E 13   E 15   E 14   E 12   E 8    E 8
Dispersion idx..61     11     9      6      4      4
LVORI...........1      2      5      7      9      9

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 13 mph early in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 67 early in the afternoon.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........23        18        23        33
Weather cov.....                              S CHC
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                              S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0         10        10        20
LAL.............1         1         1         2
Temp............63        73        85        88
RH..............100       90        54        45
20 FT wind......E 3       E 6       E 8       E 10G12
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1800      5000      6100
Transport wind..E 8       E 8       E 8       E 10
Dispersion idx..3         18        45        69
LVORI...........9         4         1         1

$$
Forecaster...Leahy
Requested by...Andrew West
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413043.0/MLB
.DELDT 05/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL anwest@sfwmd.gov