Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 171951
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
251 PM CDT Tue Jul 17 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Slightly drier air will work its way into the area by Wednesday
morning. A series of upper level disturbances will keep chances
for storms in the forecast Thursday through Saturday.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-181115-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
251 PM CDT Tue Jul 17 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     20           30           30           20
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.01         0.03         0.06         0.07
Precip Dur (hrs)      1            2            2            1
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h Trend)      74 (-1)      89 (-4)      72           91
RH % (24h Trend)      94 (-2)      55 (-2)      90           55
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                E 2-6                     SE 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   NE 2-6       E 3-7        E 2-6        S 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1907                      1707
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                6257                      5601
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1993                      1795
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                6539                      5889
Transport Wnd (m/s)                E  2                      SW 11
Transport Wnd (mph)                E  3                      SW 25
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3986                      19745
Category Day                       2                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              87                        90
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               E  5                      S  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               E 10                      S 18
Dispersion Index      6            27           7            64
LAL                   3            3            3            3
LASI                  3            3            3            4
Stability             F            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-181115-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
251 PM CDT Tue Jul 17 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           50           30           20
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.06         0.13         0.05         0.05
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            2            2            1
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      75 (0)       90 (-2)      73           92
RH % (24h Trend)      98 (0)       58 (+3)      98           55
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      E 2-6        Lgt/Var      S 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1894                      1749
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                6213                      5739
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1956                      1812
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                6417                      5945
Transport Wnd (m/s)                E  1                      SW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                E  2                      SW 23
Vent Index (m2/s)                  1956                      18120
Category Day                       1                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              88                        91
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               E  2                      S  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               E  6                      S 14
Dispersion Index      4            19           4            52
LAL                   3            3            3            3
LASI                  3            3            3            4
Stability             F            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-181115-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
251 PM CDT Tue Jul 17 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)
Precip Begins
Precip Ends
Temp (24h Trend)      71 (-3)      89 (-2)      69           89
RH % (24h Trend)      93 (-6)      50 (-10)     89           51
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                E 2-6                     Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      NE 2-6       Lgt/Var      SE 2-6
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1632                      1271
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                5355                      4169
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1755                      1396
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                5758                      4581
Transport Wnd (m/s)                NE  3                     S  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE  7                     S 17
Vent Index (m2/s)                  5265                      11168
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              85                        85
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               E  5                      S  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               E 11                      S 12
Dispersion Index      5            30           5            40
LAL                   3            1            2            2
LASI                  4            4            4            3
Stability             F            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. North winds
around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-181115-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
251 PM CDT Tue Jul 17 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     10           10           10           10
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)
Precip Begins
Precip Ends
Temp (24h Trend)      73 (-2)      90 (0)       71           90
RH % (24h Trend)      97 (-1)      52 (-10)     91           53
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      NE 2-6       Lgt/Var      S 2-6
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1476                      1393
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                4844                      4570
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1597                      1518
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                5241                      4980
Transport Wnd (m/s)                E  2                      S  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                E  3                      S 17
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3194                      12144
Category Day                       2                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              86                        87
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               E  4                      S  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               E  8                      S 13
Dispersion Index      4            15           5            38
LAL                   3            3            3            2
LASI                  3            3            4            3
Stability             F            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. North winds around
5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-181115-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
251 PM CDT Tue Jul 17 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           50           20           20
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.09         0.10         0.01         0.03
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            2            1            1
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      74 (+1)      91 (-1)      72           91
RH % (24h Trend)      99 (0)       57 (+2)      100          56
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S 2-6
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1957                      1647
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                6422                      5405
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 2029                      1719
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                6657                      5641
Transport Wnd (m/s)                E  1                      SW  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                E  2                      SW 14
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2029                      10314
Category Day                       2                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              87                        90
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  2                     S  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE  4                     S  9
Dispersion Index      4            9            3            30
LAL                   3            3            3            3
LASI                  3            3            3            4
Stability             F            B            F            B
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
57 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. North winds
around 5 mph becoming east late in the evening.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph becoming northwest late
in the morning.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. North winds
around 5 mph becoming east late in the evening.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-181115-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
251 PM CDT Tue Jul 17 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           20           10           20
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Precip Amount (in)    0.07         0.01         0.00         0.01
Precip Dur (hrs)      2            1                         1
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing                6 AM
Precip Ends           Continuing   6 PM                      6 PM
Temp (24h Trend)      73 (0)       91 (+1)      70           91
RH % (24h Trend)      99 (+1)      52 (-6)      97           51
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1793                      1687
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                5881                      5536
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1916                      1812
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                6287                      5944
Transport Wnd (m/s)                E  1                      SW  3
Transport Wnd (mph)                E  2                      SW  7
Vent Index (m2/s)                  1916                      5436
Category Day                       1                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              86                        88
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               E  1                      S  3
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               E  3                      S  7
Dispersion Index      6            10           4            19
LAL                   3            3            3            2
LASI                  3            3            3            3
Stability             F            B            F            A
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. North winds
around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light and variable.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.

$$


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