One product issued by NWS for: Black Oak AR
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 449 PM CDT Thu May 23 2024 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241045- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 449 PM CDT Thu May 23 2024 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Through Tonight. TORNADO. RISK...Limited. AREA...Southeast Oklahoma. ONSET...Evening. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Limited. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma into West Central Arkansas. ONSET...Very late afternoon or early evening. DISCUSSION... Isolated thunderstorms developing late this afternoon may impact portions of eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas late afternoon or early evening. One or two of these storms may briefly approach severe limits. Storms across western Oklahoma and north Texas this afternoon may persist into portions of eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas by the late evening hours and pose a risk of severe weather. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. FRIDAY and SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential. SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. MONDAY...No Hazards. TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... A cold front will move slowly across the region Friday afternoon. Storms may develop along the front and conditions will support severe weather potential. There continues to be uncertainty on the overall coverage of storms along the front and later forecasts will continue to adjust the overall severe weather chances. Saturday continues to appear a day where significant severe weather is possible. Storms are likely to develop along a dryline through central Oklahoma by late afternoon and track eastward into easter Oklahoma and possibly western Arkansas Saturday evening. Instability and wind shear profiles will support supercells capable of significant severe weather through Saturday evening. Thunderstorm chances remain on Sunday as the next cold front moves across the region with the higher severe weather risk focusing well north and east of the region. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$