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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1050 AM EST Sat Feb 16 2019

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-171600-
Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-Harrison-
Floyd-Clark-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-
Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-
Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Mercer-Jessamine-Larue-Marion-Boyle-
Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-
Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-
Cumberland-Clinton-
Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Jasper,
English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, Jeffersonville, Lewisport,
Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield,
Elizabethtown, Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford,
Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana,
Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle,
Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, Winchester,
Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond, Morgantown,
Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty,
Stanford, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, Providence,
Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown,
Burkesville, and Albany
1050 AM EST Sat Feb 16 2019 /950 AM CST Sat Feb 16 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and Central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight..

Precipitation late tonight may begin briefly as freezing rain,
resulting in a light glaze of ice along and north of the I-64
corridor.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Repeated waves of rainfall Tuesday through Friday could bring
copious amounts of rain to portions of central and southern Kentucky.
Those with interests in river flooding need to be aware of the
forecasts over the next week, especially for the Cumberland, upper
Kentucky, and possibly Green River basins.

In addition, some light wintry precipitation would be possible
across southern Indiana and northern Kentucky at times mid to late
next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

RJS/RAS



Hydrologic Outlook

Hydrologic Outlook
KYZ027-028-039>041-045>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-162100-

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
542 AM EST Sat Feb 16 2019 /442 AM CST Sat Feb 16 2019/

...Looking Ahead To Another Potential Heavy Rain Threat...

A frontal boundary is expected to stall somewhere near the region
by the middle to end of this coming week. During this time,
multiple waves of plentiful moisture are expected to ride along
the boundary bringing widespread rain over the area. Given the
recent heavy rain, ongoing river flooding in spots, and
additional rainfall amounts possibly amounting to several inches
there is concern for hydrologic problems through the end of the
coming week and likely into the following week.

Right now, the heaviest rain is forecast to fall mainly across
southern Kentucky where 2 to 4 inches of rain would be possible
mid to late week. Slightly lesser, but still significant, amounts
of 1 to 3 inches of rain would be possible across portions of
central Kentucky. It is important to note that forecast rainfall
amounts and locations can change over the coming days so stay up
to date of the latest forecasts.

Anyone with interests along area rivers should be prepared for
exacerbated or new flooding concerns in the coming week. Of
particular interest would be the Green, Cumberland, and Kentucky
river basins where data suggests the highest threat will be.

One final note worth mentioning is that longer range forecasts
show another medium confidence signal for another round of
significant rainfall late next weekend into the following week. In
addition, the Climate Prediction Center has our region highlighted
for greater chances of above normal rainfall in both the 8 to 14
day outlook and the one month outlook. If these projections hold
true, flooding and river flooding concerns could last for multiple
weeks.

$$

BJS




U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
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