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Hurricane Local Statement

Tropical Storm Fay Local Statement Advisory Number 6
CTZ009>012-NJZ006-106-108-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-110530-

Tropical Storm Fay Local Statement Advisory Number 6
National Weather Service New York NY  AL062020
522 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

This product covers Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut

**HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...AND LONG ISLAND INTO THIS EVENING**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bronx, Eastern Essex,
      Eastern Union, Hudson, Kings (Brooklyn), New York (Manhattan),
      Northeastern Suffolk, Northern Nassau, Northern Queens,
      Northwestern Suffolk, Richmond (Staten Island), Southeastern
      Suffolk, Southern Fairfield, Southern Middlesex, Southern
      Nassau, Southern New Haven, Southern New London, Southern
      Queens, Southern Westchester, and Southwestern Suffolk

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 90 miles south-southwest of New York City NY or about 170
      miles southwest of Montauk Point NY
    - 39.5N 74.3W
    - Storm Intensity 50 mph
    - Movement North or 10 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Fay, located along the New Jersey coast, will continue
to move northward this evening. Fay will track near New York City
tonight, before passing north of the area early Saturday morning.
The main threats with this system will be locally heavy rainfall, the
potential for flash flooding, and dangerous surf conditions.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut.
Remain well guarded against dangerous flood waters having additional
significant impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Heavy rainfall flooding may prompt several rescues.
    - Rivers and streams may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and may overspill their banks in a few places,
      especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks
      and canals may overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut.
Remain well sheltered from hazardous wind having possible limited
impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across Southeast
New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut. Remain well
braced against a tornado event having possible limited impacts. If
realized, these impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
Life-threatening rip currents are likely for all people entering
the surf zone.

Beach flooding and localized dune erosion along the Atlantic Ocean
beachfront are possible during the times of high tide Friday through
Saturday.

Localized minor flooding, inundation of 1 ft or less, along vulnerable
coastal and shoreline locales of the Great South Bay of Long Island and
Jamaica Bay, Lower NY/NJ Harbor, Coastal CT, Coastal Westchester, and
Gardiners Bay during times of high tide tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

Now is the time to remain safely sheltered from the storm. Stay inside
and away from windows. Listen for updates and be ready in case you
lose electrical power. Locate your battery powered radio and flashlight
from your Emergency Supplies Kit. Keep these items close.

Continue to keep your cell phone well charged for as long as
possible. If you lose power, use it more sparingly and mainly for
personal emergencies and check-ins. Do not overload communications
systems with idle chatter.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, Turn Around Don`t Drown!

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high winds, such as near large
trees, a mobile home, upper floors of a high rise building, or on a
boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of strong
winds or flooding.

Closely monitor http://weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news
outlets for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible
changes to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive
weather warnings.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in New York NY around 12 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$




Tropical Storm Warning

Fay Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 6
National Weather Service New York NY  AL062020
503 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

NYZ073-110515-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Bronx-
503 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - Riverdale
    - Fordham
    - Co-Op City

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 50 mph
        - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: through the next few
          hours

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
      to 57 mph
        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
          force.
        - PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now
          be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind
          damage.
        - ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
        - Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.

* STORM SURGE
    - No storm surge inundation forecast

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm
      surge flooding
        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.
          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip
          currents are possible.
        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding
          are needed.
        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor
          forecasts.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
        - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flash Flood Watch is in effect
        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 1-3 inches, with locally
          higher amounts

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
      moderate flooding rain
        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
          the previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues
          are possible.
        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
          vulnerable to flooding.
        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations
          and rescues.
        - Rivers and streams may quickly become swollen with swifter
          currents and may overspill their banks in a few places,
          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,
          creeks and canals may overflow.
        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken
          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas
          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and
          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on
          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge
          closures.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few
      tornadoes
        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include possible
          tornadoes.
        - PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the
          latest tornado situation.
        - ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter
          if a tornado warning is issued.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
          power and communications disruptions.
        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
          off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
    - https://www1.nyc.gov/site/em/ready/coastal-storms-hurricanes.page
    - http://maps.nyc.gov/hurricane
    - https://weather.gov/nyc
    - https://ready.gov/hurricanes

$$



Flash Flood Watch

Flood Watch
National Weather Service New York NY
310 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING...

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-
110400-
/O.CON.KOKX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-200711T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-
Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic-
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-
Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-
New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-
Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwestern Suffolk-Northeastern Suffolk-
Southwestern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk-Northern Queens-
Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
310 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey, and
  southeast New York, including the following areas, in southern
  Connecticut, Northern Fairfield, Northern Middlesex, Northern
  New Haven, Northern New London, Southern Fairfield, Southern
  Middlesex, Southern New Haven, and Southern New London. In
  northeast New Jersey, Eastern Bergen, Eastern Essex, Eastern
  Passaic, Eastern Union, Hudson, Western Bergen, Western Essex,
  Western Passaic, and Western Union. In southeast New York,
  Bronx, Kings (Brooklyn), New York (Manhattan), Northeastern
  Suffolk, Northern Nassau, Northern Queens, Northern
  Westchester, Northwestern Suffolk, Orange, Putnam, Richmond
  (Staten Island), Rockland, Southeastern Suffolk, Southern
  Nassau, Southern Queens, Southern Westchester, and
  Southwestern Suffolk.

* Until midnight EDT tonight

* Heavy rain showers and embedded thunderstorms will continue
  through this evening. A total of 1 to 3 inches of rainfall is
  expected, with locally higher amounts possible. Torrential
  rainfall within a short period of time will be possible and this
  could lead to flooding of low lying, urban and poor drainage
  areas. Some smaller streams and rivers could exceed bankfull.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.

&&

$$



Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
553 AM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

CTZ009>012-NJZ006-106-108-NYZ071>074-078-079-176-177-111000-
Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-
Southern New London-Hudson-Eastern Essex-Eastern Union-
Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Northwestern Suffolk-Northeastern Suffolk-
Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-
553 AM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.
   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. Please relay
any information about observed severe weather to the NWS while
following all local, state, and CDC guidelines.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

$$



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NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007
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