2 products issued by NWS for: Wagoner OK
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
113 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-071030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
113 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024
...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY & TONIGHT...
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Significant.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...After 6 PM.
AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Much of northeast Oklahoma.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Critical.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This afternoon and tonight.
AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Much of northeast Oklahoma.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After 7 PM.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After 7 PM.
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This afternoon and tonight.
DISCUSSION...
Isolated severe storms may develop early to mid afternoon across
eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. There remains
uncertainty as to the timing and coverage of this thunderstorm
potential, however any storm that does develop will pose a risk of
severe weather.
The main focus will turn to severe storms developing across
western Oklahoma by mid afternoon. These storms will spread
eastward and expand in coverage by early evening. Severe weather
is expected into northeast Oklahoma by early evening and steadily
spreading eastward through the early morning hours Tuesday.
Conditions will support significant severe weather especially
during the evening into early morning hours. Tornadoes are likely,
especially during the evening hours including the risk for strong
long track tornadoes. Additionally, large hail and locally
damaging winds are expected to occur with this risk expanding
eastward through the early morning hours.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Tuesday will be dry for much of the day. However, thunderstorm
chances return late Tuesday night across portions of northeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. A few severe storms could develop
if storms do develop by early Wednesday morning. A more
widespread severe weather risk is expected from late Wednesday
morning through the afternoon as a cold front sweeps eastward.
Locations south and east of Interstate 44 have the highest severe
weather potential on Wednesday. Thunderstorm chances will end on
Thursday with dry and mild weather for late week into the weekend.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is expected this evening into the overnight
hours. Additionally, given the potential for damaging storms,
the need for mutual aid and additional staffing should be
considered.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Flood Watch
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1054 AM CDT Mon May 6 2024
OKZ054>067-071200-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FA.A.0004.240507T0000Z-240507T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-
Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Including the cities of Claremore, Pawnee, Bartlesville, Jay,
Pawhuska, Vinita, Tulsa, Grove, Wagoner, Okemah, Sapulpa,
Okmulgee, Miami, Pryor, and Nowata
1054 AM CDT Mon May 6 2024
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...
* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.
* WHERE...Portions of east central and northeast Oklahoma, including
the following counties, in east central Oklahoma, Okfuskee. In
northeast Oklahoma, Craig, Creek, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata,
Okmulgee, Osage, Ottawa, Pawnee, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner and
Washington OK.
* WHEN...From 7 PM CDT this evening through Tuesday morning.
* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- 1 to 3 inches of rain will be possible over a short period of
time as potent storms move over an area where the ground is
already saturated from previous rains.
- http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
&&
$$
RJS