Tropical Storm Warning
Erin Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 41
National Weather Service Wakefield, VA AL052025
1055 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
VAZ100-212300-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Northampton-
1055 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Eastville
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 40 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be
underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.
- ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
becomes hazardous.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, especially if soils are saturated. Some roadway
signs will sustain damage.
- A few roads will be impassable from debris. Hazardous
driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 1-3 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: through Friday evening
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against storm surge flooding greater than 1
foot above ground.
- PREPARE: All flood preparations should be complete. Expect
flooding of low-lying roads and property.
- ACT: Stay away from storm surge prone areas. Continue to
follow the instructions of local officials.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- http://ready.gov/hurricanes
- www.readyvirginia.gov
- weather.gov/akq
$$
Erin Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 41
National Weather Service Wakefield, VA AL052025
1055 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
NCZ017-212300-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Western Currituck-
1055 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Aydlett
- Currituck
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be
underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.
- ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
becomes hazardous.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, especially if soils are saturated. Some roadway
signs will sustain damage.
- A few roads will be impassable from debris. Hazardous
driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 1-3 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: through Friday evening
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against storm surge flooding greater than 1
foot above ground.
- PREPARE: All flood preparations should be complete. Expect
flooding of low-lying roads and property.
- ACT: Stay away from storm surge prone areas. Continue to
follow the instructions of local officials.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- http://ready.gov/hurricanes
- readync.org
- weather.gov/akq
$$
Erin Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 41
National Weather Service Wakefield, VA AL052025
1055 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
VAZ099-212300-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Accomack-
1055 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Chincoteague
- Wallops Island
- Melfa
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be
underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.
- ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
becomes hazardous.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, especially if soils are saturated. Some roadway
signs will sustain damage.
- A few roads will be impassable from debris. Hazardous
driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 1-3 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: through Friday evening
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against storm surge flooding greater than 1
foot above ground.
- PREPARE: All flood preparations should be complete. Expect
flooding of low-lying roads and property.
- ACT: Stay away from storm surge prone areas. Continue to
follow the instructions of local officials.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- http://ready.gov/hurricanes
- www.readyvirginia.gov
- weather.gov/akq
$$
Erin Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 41
National Weather Service Wakefield, VA AL052025
1055 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
VAZ098-212300-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Virginia Beach-
1055 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Virginia Beach
- Princess Anne
- Sandbridge
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be
underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.
- ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
becomes hazardous.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, especially if soils are saturated. Some roadway
signs will sustain damage.
- A few roads will be impassable from debris. Hazardous
driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 1-3 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: through Friday evening
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against storm surge flooding greater than 1
foot above ground.
- PREPARE: All flood preparations should be complete. Expect
flooding of low-lying roads and property.
- ACT: Stay away from storm surge prone areas. Continue to
follow the instructions of local officials.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- http://ready.gov/hurricanes
- www.readyvirginia.gov
- weather.gov/akq
$$
Erin Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 41
National Weather Service Wakefield, VA AL052025
1055 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
NCZ102-212300-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Eastern Currituck-
1055 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Corolla
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 25-35 mph with gusts to 50 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be
underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.
- ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
becomes hazardous.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, especially if soils are saturated. Some roadway
signs will sustain damage.
- A few roads will be impassable from debris. Hazardous
driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 1-3 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: through Friday evening
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against storm surge flooding greater than 1
foot above ground.
- PREPARE: All flood preparations should be complete. Expect
flooding of low-lying roads and property.
- ACT: Stay away from storm surge prone areas. Continue to
follow the instructions of local officials.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- http://ready.gov/hurricanes
- readync.org
- weather.gov/akq
$$
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
943 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
ANZ630>634-638-650-652-654-656-658-212145-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point to Windmill Point VA-
Chesapeake Bay from Windmill Point to New Point Comfort VA-
Chesapeake Bay from New Point Comfort to Little Creek VA-
Currituck Sound-
Chesapeake Bay from Little Creek VA to Cape Henry VA including
the Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel-
James River from James River Bridge to Hampton Roads Bridge-
Tunnel-
Coastal waters from Fenwick Island DE to Chincoteague VA out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Chincoteague to Parramore Island VA out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Parramore Island to Cape Charles Light VA out
20 nm-Coastal Waters from Cape Charles Light to Virginia-
North Carolina border out to 20 nm-
Coastal waters from NC VA border to Currituck Beach Light NC out
20 nm-
943 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* WHAT...Along the coastal waters, north to northeast winds 30
to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 12 to 18 ft. Across
the Chesapeake Bay, north to northeast winds 25 to 30 kt with
gusts up to 40 kt and waves 5 to 8 ft. For the Currituck sound
and the lower James river, north to northeast winds 25 to 30
kt with gusts to 40 kt and waves 2 to 5 ft.
* WHERE...Portions of Atlantic coastal waters.
* WHEN...Tropical Storm force winds possible over the next few
hours.
* IMPACTS...Tropical storm force winds and hazardous waves will
capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.
&&
$$
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1100 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
AMZ131-135-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-220300-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Alligator River-Pamlico Sound-
S of Currituck Beach Light to Oregon Inlet NC out 20 nm-
S of Oregon Inlet to Cape Hatteras NC out 20 nm-
S of Cape Hatteras to Ocracoke Inlet NC out 20 nm
including the Monitor National Marine Sanctuary-
S of Ocracoke Inlet to Cape Lookout NC out 20 nm-
S of Cape Lookout to N of Surf City NC out 20 nm-Albemarle Sound-
Croatan and Roanoke Sounds-
1100 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* WHAT...For the Albemarle Sound and Alligator River, northeast
winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and very rough waters.
For the coastal waters from Duck to Surf City and portions of
Croatan, Roanoke, and Pamlico Sounds, northeast winds 30 to 40
kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 12 to 20 ft across the
coastal waters.
* WHERE...Portions of Alligator Rivers, Albemarle, Croatan and
Roanoke and Pamlico Sounds and the adjacent Atlantic coastal
waters.
* WHEN...Tropical Storm force winds possible over the next few
hours.
* IMPACTS...Tropical storm force winds and hazardous seas will
capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.
&&
$$
Offshore Waters Forecast
NWS Ocean Prediction Center Washington DC
1048 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
West central North Atlantic continental shelf and slope waters
beyond 20 nm to 250 nm offshore, including south of Georges Bank
from 1000 fm to 250 nm offshore.
Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.
Locally higher winds and seas can be expected in and near tstms.
ANZ828-220300-
Cape Charles Light to Currituck Beach Light to 100 NM offshore-
1048 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TODAY...N winds 30 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 30 ft. Showers and
tstms.
.TONIGHT...N winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 14 to 23 ft. Chance of
showers and tstms.
.FRI...N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas
10 to 17 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt. Seas
7 to 12 ft.
.SAT...E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming S to SE 5 to 10 kt.
Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.SUN...SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming 5 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 15 to 25 kt, becoming W to SW 10 to 20 kt.
Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.MON...N to NW winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming S to SW. Seas 4 to
7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W to NW. Seas 3 to
6 ft.
$$
Erin Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 41
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City, NC AL052025
1048 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
NCZ203-212300-
/O.CON.KMHX.SS.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-
1048 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Kitty Hawk
- Nags Head
- Manteo
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 25-35 mph with gusts to 45 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: The sustained wind should remain less than tropical
storm force. Conditions may still be gusty.
- PREPARE: Listen for any instructions from local officials.
- ACT: Ensure emergency readiness should the forecast change.
- REALIZED IMPACTS: Being Assessed
- Little to no additional wind impacts expected. Community
officials are now assessing the extent of actual wind
impacts accordingly.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: through Saturday morning
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of
greater than 3 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should
be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from
storm surge flooding.
- ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture
outside.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- http://ready.gov/hurricanes
$$
Offshore Waters Forecast
NWS Ocean Prediction Center Washington DC
1048 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
West central North Atlantic continental shelf and slope waters
beyond 20 nm to 250 nm offshore, including south of Georges Bank
from 1000 fm to 250 nm offshore.
Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.
Locally higher winds and seas can be expected in and near tstms.
ANZ830-220300-
Currituck Beach Light to Cape Hatteras to 100 NM offshore-
1048 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TODAY...N winds 30 to 40 kt. Seas 16 to 31 ft. Showers and
tstms.
.TONIGHT...N winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 22 ft. Chance of
showers and tstms.
.FRI...N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas
10 to 17 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt. Seas
8 to 12 ft.
.SAT...E winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 7 to
10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E to SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.SUN...SE winds 5 to 15 kt, increasing to 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to
7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S to SE winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W to SW. Seas
5 to 8 ft.
.MON...NW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W to NW 5 to 15 kt. Seas
4 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W to SW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming W to NW. Seas
3 to 6 ft.
$$
Offshore Waters Forecast
NWS Ocean Prediction Center Washington DC
1048 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
West central North Atlantic continental shelf and slope waters
beyond 20 nm to 250 nm offshore, including south of Georges Bank
from 1000 fm to 250 nm offshore.
Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.
Locally higher winds and seas can be expected in and near tstms.
ANZ825-220300-
Baltimore Canyon to Cape Charles Light to 100 NM offshore-
1048 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TODAY...NE winds 30 to 35 kt, becoming N. Seas 15 to 25 ft.
Showers and tstms.
.TONIGHT...N winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 14 to 24 ft. Chance of
showers.
.FRI...N to NE winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 11 to 18 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E to NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt.
Seas 7 to 13 ft.
.SAT...E to SE winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 5 to 15 kt. Seas
5 to 8 ft.
.SUN...S to SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt. Seas
4 to 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E to NE. Seas 4 to
7 ft.
.MON...N to NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W to SW 5 to 15 kt.
Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W to SW winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming NW 10 to 15 kt.
Seas 3 to 5 ft.
$$
Offshore Waters Forecast
NWS Ocean Prediction Center Washington DC
1048 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
West central North Atlantic continental shelf and slope waters
beyond 20 nm to 250 nm offshore, including south of Georges Bank
from 1000 fm to 250 nm offshore.
Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.
Locally higher winds and seas can be expected in and near tstms.
ANZ820-220300-
Hudson Canyon to Baltimore Canyon to 1000 FM-
1048 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TODAY...NE winds 25 to 30 kt, increasing to 30 to 35 kt. Seas
15 to 25 ft. Scattered showers and tstms.
.TONIGHT...N to NE winds 30 to 35 kt, becoming N 25 to 30 kt.
Seas 15 to 25 ft. Chance of showers.
.FRI...N to NE winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E to NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W to SW 5 to
15 kt. Seas 8 to 14 ft.
.SAT...N to NE winds less than 10 kt, becoming S to SE 10 to
20 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S to SE winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming S 5 to 15 kt.
Seas 4 to 8 ft.
.SUN...S winds 5 to 15 kt, increasing to 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to
6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S winds 5 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
.MON...Variable winds less than 10 kt, becoming W to SW. Seas
3 to 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W to SW winds 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
$$
Erin Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 41
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City, NC AL052025
1048 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
NCZ047-212300-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Mainland Dare-
1048 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Manns Harbor
- East Lake
- Stumpy Point
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 40 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: The sustained wind should remain less than tropical
storm force. Conditions may still be gusty.
- PREPARE: Listen for any instructions from local officials.
- ACT: Ensure emergency readiness should the forecast change.
- REALIZED IMPACTS: Being Assessed
- Little to no additional wind impacts expected. Community
officials are now assessing the extent of actual wind
impacts accordingly.
* STORM SURGE
- No storm surge inundation forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm
surge flooding
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.
Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip
currents are possible.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding
are needed.
- ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor
forecasts.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
forecast
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
potential for flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
against flooding rain at this time.
- ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
with gusty winds may still occur.
- PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
tornado situation.
- ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
- Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- http://ready.gov/hurricanes
$$
URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
558 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
ANZ454-455-212300-
/O.EXP.KPHI.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-250821T1000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
558 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...
* WHAT...Northeast winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and
seas 13 to 18 ft.
* WHERE...Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE
out 20 nm and Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick
Island DE out 20 nm.
* WHEN...Tropical Storm force winds expected through tonight.
* IMPACTS...Tropical storm force winds and hazardous seas will
capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.
&&
$$
