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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
351 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-
098-NEZ013-014-SDZ038>040-050-052>071-160900-
Lyon-Osceola-Dickinson-Sioux-O`Brien-Clay-Plymouth-Cherokee-
Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Lincoln-Murray-Cottonwood-Nobles-Jackson-
Pipestone-Rock-Dixon-Dakota-Beadle-Kingsbury-Brookings-Gregory-
Jerauld-Sanborn-Miner-Lake-Moody-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Hanson-McCook-
Minnehaha-Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-Turner-Bon Homme-Yankton-
Union-
351 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Iowa, west central
Iowa, southwest Minnesota, northeast Nebraska, central South
Dakota, east central South Dakota, south central South Dakota and
southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to form over
central South Dakota this afternoon into the evening. Risks include
hail to the size of a ping-pong ball, wind gusts to 70 mph, heavy
rainfall, and possibly a tornado or two. Rainfall totals of 1-2
inches are expected with isolated pockets of up to 3 inches
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Lingering, light showers continue Wednesday morning, ending by
afternoon. Cooler temperatures will prevail through the end of the
week. The next chance for showers and thunderstorms comes Friday
night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
1025 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025

SDZ047-049-WYZ054-055-058-059-161300-
Todd-Tripp-Northern Campbell-Southern Campbell-
Weston County Plains-Newcastle-
1025 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /1125 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
South Dakota...and northeast Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight


There is a slight risk (level 2 of 5) of severe thunderstorms
later this afternoon and evening, meaning that scattered severe
storms are possible. Primary hazards include damaging winds and
large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorms may occur into early next week, but right now,
organized severe thunderstorms are not expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed today.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio for further updates...or check
our web site at weather.gov/rapidcity

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1035 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-160000-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-Grant-
Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-Logan-
Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
1035 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /935 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered to widespread thunderstorms are expected to develop along a
frontal boundary this afternoon and evening. Numerous storms are
likely to become severe with damaging wind gusts and large hail the
main concern though a brief tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Area
of greatest concern will reside along and east of a line from
Imperial to Hyannis to Valentine.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There will be a continued threat for thunderstorms on Wednesday
behind an exiting cold front. An isolated strong to severe storm
cannot be ruled out, generally south of a line from Antioch to
Bartlett.

Beyond Wednesday, there will be a chance for thunderstorms Thursday
night through Monday. At this time, the severe threat appears low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed, mainly across north central
Nebraska for the first few hours after storm development.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
404 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-160915-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
404 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are possible late tonight into Wednesday
over western Iowa. A few storms could become strong to severe at
times, with damaging winds and locally heavy rain the main
threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Additional showers and storms are expected at times Wednesday into
Thursday and again Friday into the weekend. Isolated strong to
severe storms are possible at times with this activity Wednesday
into Thursday. More details are expected to be known in the coming
days.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not needed at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
404 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
160915-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
404 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Outside of central Minnesota, afternoon heat index values will
increase into the middle to upper 90s, resulting in dangerous heat
levels for those active outdoors for a prolonged period of time.

Numerous thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening.
Scattered severe thunderstorms will be possible across western
and central Minnesota into northwest Wisconsin. Large hail and
damaging wind gusts will be the primary threats. In addition,
locally heavy rainfall could lead to areas of flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation may be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
352 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-161200-
Monona-Harrison-Shelby-Pottawattamie-Mills-Montgomery-Fremont-
Page-Knox-Cedar-Thurston-Antelope-Pierce-Wayne-Boone-Madison-
Stanton-Cuming-Burt-Platte-Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-
Saunders-Douglas-Sarpy-Seward-Lancaster-Cass-Otoe-Saline-
Jefferson-Gage-Johnson-Nemaha-Pawnee-Richardson-
352 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest
Iowa...west central Iowa...east central Nebraska...northeast
Nebraska and southeast Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a 50-80% chance of storms mainly after 5 PM today, with
a 15-40% chance of severe storms, highest in northeast Nebraska.
The primary threats are damaging winds and localized flooding, but
some hail and a brief tornado are also possible as storms first
develop.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Additional rounds of storms will continue Wednesday into early
Thursday, and again Friday evening into the weekend. Severe
weather will be possible at times, with the threat of flooding
increasing with each successive round.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters may be needed this afternoon and evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
309 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

MNZ039-046-SDZ003>011-015>023-033>037-045-048-051-160815-
Traverse-Big Stone-Corson-Campbell-McPherson-Brown-Marshall-Roberts-
Walworth-Edmunds-Day-Dewey-Potter-Faulk-Spink-Clark-Codington-Grant-
Hamlin-Deuel-Stanley-Sully-Hughes-Hyde-Hand-Jones-Lyman-Buffalo-
309 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /209 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Minnesota,
central South Dakota, north central South Dakota and northeast
South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a slight risk (2 out of 5) for severe thunderstorms
southeast of a line from Vivian to Wheaton, MN. There is a marginal
risk elsewhere for this afternoon and evening. The main threats will
be strong winds, quarter sized hail and heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be requested. Weather spotters are encouraged
to submit reports to the National Weather Service in Aberdeen. The
public can submit reports on our web page, Facebook page, or our X
feed.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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