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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
407 AM CDT Mon Mar 17 2025

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-180915-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
407 AM CDT Mon Mar 17 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Warm, dry, and breezy conditions will elevate fire danger into the
very high and extreme categories this afternoon. Refer to the Red
Flag Warning for additional details.

Very high grassland fire danger may persist into tonight with winds
gradually increasing across the area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Very warm conditions and gusty winds will elevate the grassland
fire danger into the very high and extreme categories across the
entire area Tuesday afternoon. Refer to the Fire Weather Watch for
additional details.

Another powerful system will impact the region late Tuesday into
Wednesday. A period of snowfall and wind gusts up to 65 mph may
create blizzard-like conditions across portions of central Kansas.
Refer to the Winter Storm Watch and High Wind Watch for additional
details.

Very high fire danger is possible Friday across the entire area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
552 AM CDT Mon Mar 17 2025

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
181100-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
552 AM CDT Mon Mar 17 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Critical fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon for
areas north, east and including the tri-cities. Please refer to
the Red Flag Warning for more information.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Critical fire weather concerns return again Tuesday for mainly
areas near and south of the state line. Please refer to the Fire
Weather Watch for more information.

A winter storm will move through the area Tuesday evening into
Wednesday morning. Rain quickly changing over to snow overnight
mixed with strong 25 to 35 MPH northerly winds may cause trouble
for the Wednesday morning commute. Snow, heavy at times, with
afternoon gusts as high as 45 to 55 MPH, may cause blizzard
conditions with visibilities possibly dropping below 1 mile. Total
snow accumulations, mainly between 2 and 4 inches, will be
possible. Please refer to the Winter Storm Watch for more
information.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

$$

Stump

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
520 AM CDT Mon Mar 17 2025

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-181030-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
520 AM CDT Mon Mar 17 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Dry conditions with strong winds are expected to result in elevated
fire weather conditions this afternoon into the evening. A Red Flag
Warning is in effect from 12 PM to 8 PM today.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Late Tuesday into Wednesday, a potential for a strong thunderstorm or
two exists mainly for NW MO.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
505 AM CDT Mon Mar 17 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
505 AM CDT Mon Mar 17 2025

...DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AND POTENTIALLY TUESDAY...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Mid morning.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Significant.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Mid morning.

DISCUSSION...
Dangerous fire weather conditions are forecast today for much
of northeast Oklahoma extending into portions of far northwest
Arkansas. Fire weather conditions are also a concern further south
across southeast Oklahoma into west central Arkansas. Winds will
increase quickly this morning with periodic gusts of 25 to 40 mph
through mid afternoon. Humidity levels will become very dry by
afternoon as temperatures warm into the mid 70s to around 80.
The combination will lead to dangerous fire weather conditions
with rapid grassland fire spread rates forecast. Avoid fire
starts today especially across northeast Oklahoma and far
northwest Arkansas. Winds will likely remain gusty into the
overnight hours which could impact any ongoing fire suppression
efforts.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY...Very High Fire Weather and High Wind Potential.
THURSDAY...No Hazards.
FRIDAY...High Fire Weather and High Wind Potential.
SATURDAY and SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Winds will remain strong on Tuesday along with temperatures well
above normal and fire weather conditions will remain a concern.
Portions of northeast Oklahoma west of Highway 75 will be near
the corridor of lower afternoon humidity values and fire weather
conditions may become dangerous again on Tuesday afternoon.
Otherwise winds will remain strong area wide and a wind advisory
may be needed for portions of the region.
A strong cold front passes Tuesday night and Wednesday. Strong
and gusty northwesterly winds will develop behind the front.
Temperatures will be noticeably cooler however grassland fire
spread rates will remain high through the day Wednesday.
The next storm system impacts the area on Friday with increasing
winds and a chance of thunderstorms returns by next weekend.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
405 AM CDT Mon Mar 17 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-180915-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
405 AM CDT Mon Mar 17 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.
  Extreme fire weather risk.

DISCUSSION...

Elevated to significant fire weather conditions expected today. A
Red Flag Warning has been issued for 12-8PM for counties along
and west of Highway 63. Relative humidity values will be as low as
15-25 percent with gusty southwesterly winds up to 30 to 40 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Elevated to significant fire weather conditions will exist
on Tuesday, then again Thursday and especially Friday.

Winds Tuesday will gust to 35 to 50 mph. Winds on Wednesday will
gust to at least 45 mph, and possibly over 60 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Titus

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
400 AM CDT Mon Mar 17 2025

KSZ008>010-020-180900-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Cloud-
400 AM CDT Mon Mar 17 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Kansas and
northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Extreme fire danger is expected across the area this afternoon as RH
values drop down between 15-20 percent and southwest winds increase,
gusting upwards of 35 mph. A Red Flag Warning remains in effect from
noon through 8 PM this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Extreme fire danger is expected again Tuesday as relative humidity
values drop between 15-25 percent with gusts upwards of 40 mph. A
Fire Weather Watch has been issued for the entire area Tuesday
afternoon and early evening.

An intense storm system is progged to move across the area Tuesday
night through Wednesday bringing strong winds and accumulating snow.
The snow and winds in combination may cause near-blizzard conditions
for a few hours Wednesday morning and early afternoon across north-
central Kansas. A winter Storm Watch continues for Cloud, Republic,
Washington and Marshall counties for Late Tuesday night into
Wednesday.

&&

More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
400 AM CDT Mon Mar 17 2025

KSZ011-012-021>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-180900-
Nemaha-Brown-Clay-Riley-Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-
Dickinson-Geary-Morris-Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-
Coffey-Anderson-
400 AM CDT Mon Mar 17 2025

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Kansas, east central
Kansas, north central Kansas and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Extreme fire danger is expected across the area this afternoon as RH
values drop down between 15-20 percent and southwest winds increase,
gusting upwards of 35 mph. A Red Flag Warning remains in effect from
noon through 8 PM this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Extreme fire danger is expected again Tuesday as relative humidity
values drop between 15-25 percent with gusts upwards of 40 mph. A
Fire Weather Watch has been issued for the entire area Tuesday
afternoon and early evening.

&&

More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
223 AM CDT Mon Mar 17 2025

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-180730-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
223 AM CDT Mon Mar 17 2025 /123 AM MDT Mon Mar 17 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Monday.

A red flag warning is in effect for southern portions of southwest
Kansas. Wildfire danger will increase Monday afternoon, with
unseasonably warm afternoon temperatures and elevated southwest
winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Saturday.

Wildfire danger will continue Tuesday, with a continuation of
unseasonably warm afternoon temperatures and elevated to strong
southwest winds.

A winter storm will bring several hours of wet snow and intense
north winds Tuesday night through early Wednesday. Near blizzard
conditions are expected, especially north of K-96.

Intense to damaging northwest winds will continue morning and
midday Wednesday, with gusts of 60 to 70 mph likely.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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