Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
352 PM CDT Mon Oct 2 2023
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-030830-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
352 PM CDT Mon Oct 2 2023
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight
A couple of thunderstorms are possible very late tonight across
portions of central Kansas. Severe storms are not expected with this
activity.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
Very high fire danger will be in place Tuesday afternoon for most of
central and south central Kansas. Outdoor burning is not
recommended.
Chances for thunderstorms will increase from west to east across the
area Tuesday. A few strong to marginally severe storms will be
possible late Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening mainly west
of Interstate 135. Up to quarter size and wind gusts up to 60 mph
are the main concerns. Minor localized flooding will be possible.
Chances for thunderstorms will linger Wednesday into early Thursday
morning mainly areas along and southeast of the Kansas Turnpike.
These storms are not expected to be strong or severe. Minor
localized flooding may be possible.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ict
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
912 PM CDT Mon Oct 2 2023
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
912 PM CDT Mon Oct 2 2023
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
DISCUSSION...
Hazardous weather is not anticipated across eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas tonight.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...High Wind Potential.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Widespread rain and thunderstorm chances return late Tuesday
evening through Thursday afternoon over eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas as a cold front moves through the region.
Periods of heavy rainfall remain forecast with widespread rainfall
totals between 1 and 3 inches, and localized rainfall totals
approaching 5 inches by the time rain chances exit Thursday
evening. These amounts could create localized flooding concerns.
The threat for a few strong to severe storms will remain mostly
limited through Thursday. Cooler and drier weather will move into
the region Friday into the weekend.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
740 PM CDT Mon Oct 2 2023
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
040045-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
740 PM CDT Mon Oct 2 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Late this evening through the rest of the overnight hours,
chances for at least isolated to scattered thunderstorms will
gradually spread across the outlook area from west-to-east. While
the vast majority of storms should be fairly weak, a few could
become strong enough to produce wind gusts up to around 50 MPH
and/or small hail.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Tuesday into Tuesday night, a strong low pressure system will
bring thunderstorm chances to the entire outlook area. During the
morning, activity will likely be fairly spotty and weak. However,
during the afternoon and evening, the entire outlook area is
under a Slight Risk for severe storms, as a fairly strong cold
front sweeps across the area. The primary threats with any severe
storms will be large hail up to around golf ball size, and wind
gusts of at least 60 MPH. The main risk for large hail will occur
with any more isolated storms, but it is likely that activity
will eventually grow into a larger-scale line or complex,
prompting an an increasing threat for damaging winds. In
addition, there is at least a low threat for a few tornadoes as
well. Storms will steadily vacate the outlook area from west-to-
east during the evening, and the vast majority of the area will
likely be storm- free by midnight, if not several hours earlier,
especially in western counties.
In the wake of Tuesday`s weather system, cooler, more fall-like
weather will settle into the region. Although still several days
away and not yet a certainty, temperatures Friday night into
Saturday morning are currently forecast to drop well into the 30s
across the entire outlook area, perhaps bringing the season`s
first threat of frost and sub-freezing temperatures. The coldest
temperatures in the low 30s are currently forecast across
portions of the outlook area mainly west of Highway 281.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters activation is not expected to be needed through tonight.
&&
More information may be obtained at the following web page:
https://www.weather.gov/hastings
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
225 PM CDT Mon Oct 2 2023
KSZ008>010-020>022-034>037-031930-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Cloud-Clay-Riley-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-
Morris-
225 PM CDT Mon Oct 2 2023
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Kansas, east central
Kansas, north central Kansas and northeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Gusty south winds and lower relative humidity are expected to create
elevated fire danger across north central Kansas this afternoon. Be
careful with any outdoor flames.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
A few strong to severe storms are possible Tuesday late afternoon
and evening. Damaging winds and large hail will be the main hazards.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
215 PM CDT Mon Oct 2 2023
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-031915-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
215 PM CDT Mon Oct 2 2023
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.
.DAY ONE...Through Tonight...
.Thunderstorms...
A few thunderstorms will be possible late tonight across parts of
far western Oklahoma and western north Texas. Severe weather is
not expected with this activity.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...
.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorm will be possible across western Oklahoma Tuesday
morning with chances spreading eastward Tuesday afternoon and
night. Some severe storms will be possible Tuesday afternoon and
evening, generally west of I-35, with the highest potential
across western Oklahoma and portions of western north Texas. Large
hail and damaging winds will be the main concerns.
A few strong to severe storms will also be possible Wednesday,
especially across parts of southern Oklahoma and western north
Texas. Thunderstorm chances continue Thursday across southeast
Oklahoma.
.Heavy Rainfall...
Heavy rainfall that could lead to flooding will be possible
Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday night across central and
southern Oklahoma and north Texas.
Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
326 AM CDT Mon Oct 2 2023
KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-030830-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
326 AM CDT Mon Oct 2 2023 /226 AM MDT Mon Oct 2 2023/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Isolated to widely scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will
be possible west of highway 83 late today and early this evening.
The main hazards will be wind gusts up to 65 mph, hail up to the
size of quarters and locally heavy rainfall.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
There will be a chance for severe thunderstorms after 3pm Tuesday
east of highway 83. The main hazards will be 2" hail or larger
and wind gusts of 65 mph. A few isolated tornadoes will also be
possible.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
A few isolated spotter activation may be requested for strong
winds west of highway 83 late today and/or early this evening.
$$
