Hydrologic Outlook

Hydrologic Outlook
FLC011-021-043-051-086-087-099-241200-

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Miami FL
246 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

...Heavy Rainfall Possible from Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine
This Week...

The National Hurricane Center is forecasting Potential Tropical
Cyclone Nine to move northward from the Caribbean Sea into the
eastern Gulf of Mexico during the middle to latter half of this
week. This will bring deep tropical moisture across South Florida
with PWAT values reaching the 2.3 to 2.5 inch range. The
aforementioned PWAT values will be near the maximum
climatological values for this time of year supporting the
potential of heavy rainfall, especially across urban areas.
Potential rainfall amounts between Tuesday night through Saturday
morning looks to be between 2 to 4 inches over inland areas with 3
to 5 inches over the metro areas of South Florida with locally
higher amounts possible where a duration of heavy rain continues
for a prolonged duration.

There is still some uncertainty regarding the forecast over the
next couple of days. Users are reminded that shifts in track of
the system may vary potential rainfall totals as uncertainty
still remains. A Flood Watch may be issued if confidence and
potential rainfall amounts increase. Interests in South Florida
should stay tuned to the latest forecasts from NWS Miami and the
National Hurricane Center.

$$

Baxter