Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service PADUCAH KY
1255 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-312300-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
Including the cities of Mount Vernon, Fairfield, Albion,
Mount Carmel, Pinckneyville, West Frankfort, McLeansboro, Carmi,
Carbondale, Murphysboro, Herrin, Harrisburg, Shawneetown,
Jonesboro, Vienna, Golconda, Elizabethtown, Cairo, Mound City,
Metropolis, Fort Branch, Petersburg, Poseyville, Evansville,
Boonville, Rockport, Hickman, Clinton, Bardwell, Wickliffe,
Paducah, Mayfield, Smithland, Benton, Murray, Marion, Eddyville,
Cadiz, Princeton, Morganfield, Dixon, Madisonville, Hopkinsville,
Henderson, Owensboro, Calhoun, Greenville, Elkton, Perryville,
Marble Hill, Cape Girardeau, Jackson, Piedmont, Van Buren,
Doniphan, Poplar Bluff, Bloomfield, Sikeston, Charleston,
and New Madrid
1255 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026 /155 AM EDT Tue Mar 31 2026/
...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER AND GUSTY WINDS TODAY...
Widespread elevated fire danger is anticipated today across the
region during peak heating.
Sustained winds between 10 to 20 mph with gusts 25 to 35 mph
along with very dry fuels are the main concerns. Isolated gusts in
excess of 35+ mph are also possible.
While minimum RH values this afternoon will range from 28 to 38%
across the region above critical values, the continued very dry
fuels combined with increased winds will make it possible for
wildfires to ignite and spread rapidly.
Outdoor burning is not recommended. Gusty winds will blow around
objects left unsecured.
$$
DW
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
514 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026
ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-011015-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler-
Mason-Logan-De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Cass-Menard-Scott-
Morgan-Sangamon-Christian-Macon-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
514 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois, east
central Illinois, southeast Illinois and west central Illinois.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Southwest winds gusting between 30-40 mph could create difficult
driving conditions for high profile vehicles this afternoon.
Scattered storms become likely this afternoon and evening. Some of
these storms could be severe, posing a threat for large hail and
damaging winds.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Severe storms are possible on Thursday with the main threats being
damaging winds and a few tornadoes.
Periods of showers and storms will bring widespread heavy rain to
the area. There is a 50 to 80 percent chance of exceeding 2 inches
through the weekend, which may result in localized flooding and
rises along area waterways.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed later today.
$$
NMA
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0507 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-011007-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0507 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A cold front will move northwest to southeast through the
region late morning through the afternoon and evening hours.
- Scattered to widespread showers and storms are likely (50 to
80%) late tonight into early Wednesday morning.
- Periods of showers and thunderstorms are expected (90 to 100%)
Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning. Locally heavy
rainfall will be possible. Strong to severe storms are
possible Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night.
- Another round of showers and storms are likely (60 to 90%)
Friday afternoon into Saturday morning. Strong to severe
storms will be possible once again.
- Total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches is likely across the
region between tonight and Saturday, with isolated higher
amounts possible.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
422 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026
IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-010930-
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson-
Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson-
Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-
Warren-Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
422 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east
central Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast
Missouri.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
An elevated fire risk will be seen through sunset for areas south
of an Ottumwa, Iowa to Galesburg, Illinois line.
Thunderstorms will be seen today and tonight that will have the
potential to produce copious amounts of small hail.
The Storm Prediction Center has a marginal, level 1 out of 5,
risk for severe storms. The primary severe risks are hail and
damaging winds.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
Rounds of thunderstorms are expected across the area Wednesday
through Saturday. The Storm Prediction Center has a marginal,
level 1 out of 5, risk for severe storms on Wednesday south of
Interstate 80. The primary severe risks would be hail and
damaging winds.
For Thursday, the Storm Prediction Center has a marginal, level 1
out of 5, risk for the entire area. The primary severe risks are
hail and damaging winds but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled
out.
For Friday, the Storm Prediction Center has a 15% probability,
or slight risk, of severe storms south of Interstate 80 and west
of the Mississippi.
For Saturday, it is too early to determine a severe risk.
Two separate widespread moderate to heavy rain events are
expected across the area. The first will be Wednesday night into
Thursday. The second is Friday night into Saturday. Within bank
rises on areas waterways are expected to occur by the weekend.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is possible this afternoon and evening.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
332 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026
ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-010845-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
332 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Elevated fire danger is forecast this afternoon across most of the
region.
There is a chance of thunderstorms this afternoon and tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
There is a chance of thunderstorms Wednesday through Saturday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
MRB
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
254 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-010800-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
254 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Marginal hail risk.
Marginal thunderstorm wind damage risk.
Limited lightning risk.
Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.
Elevated fire weather risk.
DISCUSSION...
A few isolated non severe thunderstorms will be possible this
morning mainly north of Highway 54. Lightning will be the main
risk with any storms this morning.
Windy conditions are expected today as gusts up to 30 to 40 mph
occur. These gusty winds will again combine with a dry air mass to
create elevated fire weather conditions across the area Tuesday
afternoon.
Scattered storms will be possible this evening into tonight mainly
along and north of the Highway 54 corridor. A few strong storms
will be possible with hail up to the size of quarters possible
with the strongest storms.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
There will the potential for severe storms mainly west of I-49
Wednesday evening and west of Highway 65 Wednesday night. Strong
to severe storms will remain possible east of I-49 on Thursday as
a front moves east into the area.
Another system will move through the region later Friday into
Saturday bringing additional shower and storms to the area. There
could be the potential for a few strong to severe storms with
this round too.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Wise
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1247 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-010600-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
1247 AM CDT Tue Mar 31 2026 /147 AM EDT Tue Mar 31 2026/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Breezy conditions will continue today with gusts peaking 25 to 35
mph in the afternoon. Isolated gusts in excess of 35+ mph are
possible. Combined with the continued dry fuels, elevated fire
weather conditions are expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday
On and off chances of thunderstorms return to the forecast
Wednesday through Saturday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
DW
