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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
433 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-310945-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
433 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a chance of thunderstorms tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Thunderstorms are expected across most of the area on Friday into
Friday evening. Some of the thunderstorms on Friday afternoon and
evening will be severe with damaging winds, large hail, and possibly
tornadoes.

There is a chance of thunderstorms across portions of the area again
Monday through Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Glass

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
907 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-311415-
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson-
Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson-
Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-
Warren-Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
907 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east
central Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Increasing south winds today along with decreasing relative
humidity values will lead to a very high grassland fire danger
this afternoon. Any fires that occur may be difficult to control.

Thunderstorms with lightning and small hail will be possible
across the area late tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

The threat for severe storms has increased for Friday afternoon
and early evening, with most of our area now in a Moderate Risk,
or level 4 out of 5, of severe storms. The main hazards will be
damaging straight line winds of 70 mph, tornadoes, and large hail.
Tornadoes could be strong in nature.

Strong westerly winds are expected after the severe weather
threat ends Friday night, with gusts up to 45 mph. These strong
gusts should last through Saturday morning.

Before the storms arrive Friday, a very high grassland fire danger
is forecast with the warm temperatures and strong winds. Any
fires that occur may be difficult to control.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight, but is
expected Friday afternoon and evening.

$$

ERVIN/JTS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
542 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023

ILZ027>031-037-311100-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Tazewell-
542 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois and west
central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected after midnight. While there is a
possibility of some hail with a few storms, the threat of severe
weather is low.

South winds will gust from 30 to 40 mph overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Severe weather is likely on Friday, primarily during the evening
hours. Damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes are all possible. There is
a 10 percent chance of winds of 75 mph, hail over golf ball size, or
strong tornadoes.

Even outside the storms, winds will remain strong Friday through
Saturday. The strongest winds are likely Friday night and Saturday
morning, when some gusts exceed 50 mph.

Additional strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight, but will
likely be needed Friday evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
542 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023

ILZ036-040-041-047>050-311100-
Fulton-Schuyler-Mason-Cass-Menard-Scott-Morgan-
542 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected after midnight. While there is a
possibility of some hail with a few storms, the threat of severe
weather is low.

South winds will gust from 30 to 40 mph overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Severe weather is likely on Friday, primarily during the evening
hours. Damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes are all possible. There is
a 10 percent chance of winds of 75 mph or strong tornadoes.

Even outside the storms, winds will remain strong Friday through
Saturday. The strongest winds are likely Friday night and Saturday
morning, with gusts around 45 mph.

Additional strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday.

Minor flooding will continue through next week on the Illinois River
from Havana to Beardstown.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight, but will
likely be needed Friday evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
542 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023

ILZ038-042>046-051>057-061-311100-
McLean-Logan-De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Sangamon-Christian-
Macon-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
542 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois and east
central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected after midnight. Severe weather
is not expected during this period.

South winds will gust from 30 to 40 mph overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Severe weather is likely on Friday, primarily during the evening
hours. Damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes are all possible. There is
a 10 percent chance of winds of 75 mph or strong tornadoes, from near
the I-55 corridor west.

Even outside the storms, winds will remain strong Friday through
Saturday. The strongest winds are likely Friday night and Saturday
morning, with gusts of 45 to 55 mph.

Additional strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight, but will
likely be needed Friday evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
542 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-311100-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
542 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected after midnight. Severe weather
is not expected during this period.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Severe weather is likely on Friday, primarily during the evening
hours. Damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes are all possible.

Even outside the storms, wind gusts of 35 to 45 mph are likely Friday
through Saturday.

Additional strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday.

Lingering flooding on the Wabash, Embarras, and Little Wabash Rivers
is expected to subside by early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight, but will
likely be needed Friday evening.

$$

Geelhart

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
348 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-310900-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
348 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023 /448 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2023/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A few thunderstorms are possible tonight. Lightning will be the
main hazard.

Minor to moderate river flooding continues on several area rivers.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

There is a risk of severe thunderstorms on Friday, mainly during
the late afternoon and evening hours. The primary hazard will be
locally damaging winds. A few tornadoes are possible, mainly west
of the Mississippi River.

Winds will become strong and gusty, even outside of thunderstorms.
A Wind Advisory has been issued for southeast Missouri, parts of
southern Illinois, and far western Kentucky for Friday afternoon
and evening. Strong winds may develop across the remainder of the
region Friday night into Saturday. Widespread gusts from 40 to 50
mph are possible.

A chance of thunderstorms returns to the forecast Tuesday through
Wednesday. Strong to severe thunderstorms cannot be ruled out
sometime during this period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be requested Friday.

$$

MY/DWS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
345 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-311000-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
345 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Southwesterly winds accelerate through the day with gusts peaking
around 40-45 MPH during the late afternoon and evening. Some
scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible late tonight into
early Friday morning.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Gusty southwesterly winds persist through the day Friday and part of
Saturday. Sustained winds around 25-30 MPH with gusts around 40-50
MPH are expected.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected starting early Friday morning
becoming more widespread during the afternoon. Strong to severe
storms are anticipated primarily along and east of I-35. Primary
hazards include damaging winds and hail. An isolated tornado cannot
be ruled out.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
257 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-310800-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
257 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited lightning risk.
  Elevated non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Gusty southerly winds will develop this afternoon with winds
  increasing tonight into Friday. Winds gusts up to 30 mph will
  occur this afternoon with wind gusts up to 40 to 45 mph this
  evening and tonight.

  Scattered thunderstorms will develop at times from late this
  afternoon through the overnight hours. The overall severe risk
  is low but a few strong storms with small hail and gusty winds
  will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

  Strong to severe storms will impact portions of the Missouri
  Ozarks and possibly southeast Kansas, starting sometime around
  midday on Friday and moving eastward across the area through
  the afternoon exiting the area by the early evening hours.
  Storms will be possible across the entire area but the better
  potential and coverage will be east of Highway 65 Friday
  afternoon.

  Damaging straight line winds are the most likely risk across the
  area. The risk for tornadoes and large hail up to the size of
  ping pong balls will mainly be east of highway 65. Some localized
  flooding may occur over south central Missouri Friday as a result
  of the rainfall and wet soil conditions, though widespread
  flooding is not expected.

  Wind gusts up to 45 to 55 mph will develop across the region on
  Friday.

  Gusty winds and dry air Friday afternoon and evening may
  lead to critical fire danger over southeastern Kansas and
  portions of western Missouri.

  Another round of thunderstorms is possible Tuesday into
  Wednesday next week. Potential exists for strong to severe
  thunderstorms, but many details remain unclear at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Wise

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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