Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
719 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100-
107>112-114-161230-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-White-
Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-Hardin-
Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-Warrick-
Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-Livingston-
Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Union KY-Webster-
Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-
Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-
Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
719 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /819 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Illinois, southwest
Indiana, western Kentucky and southeast Missouri.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected into early this
evening. A storm or two may briefly become strong to severe with
gusty to damaging winds the main threat. Torrential rainfall will
accompany any storms and flash flooding may develop where any
storms persist.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected each afternoon
through Monday. Isolated strong to severe storms are possible and
all storms will be capable of brief torrential rainfall.
Afternoon heat indices will climb into the 100 to 105 degree range
throughout the Quad State Wednesday through Saturday
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
JGG
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
503 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
503 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Primarily southeast of Interstate 44.
ONSET...Ongoing.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma through northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas.
ONSET...Afternoon.
DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms ongoing this morning across southeast
Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas will likely decrease in
coverage by mid to late morning. Additional isolated to scattered
thunderstorms are forecast for this afternoon primarily southeast
of Interstate 44. Locally heavy rainfall remains possible through
today across southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
Temperatures will trend upward today with lesser storm coverage
during the afternoon. Heat index values near 100 degrees are
forecast for portions of eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY through MONDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast both Wednesday
and Thursday. A weak cold front will attempt to move into
northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas on Thursday and may
provide a corridor of slightly higher thunderstorm chances.
The front will quickly lose definition with heat intensifying
from late week through next weekend. Heat index values of 100
to 105 degrees will be common during the afternoons across a
large portion of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
Any outdoor activities should plan for higher heat stress
conditions.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
258 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-160800-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
258 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Elevated lightning risk.
Limited excessive rainfall risk
DISCUSSION...
Scattered shower and thunderstorm chances today, mainly south of
Interstate 44 and east of Highway 65. No severe weather expected
however expect lightning and locally heavy rainfall.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Daily afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances through the
end of the week. No severe weather expected however expect
lightning and locally heavy rainfall.
Temperatures climb back to around 90 by midweek, continuing to
gradually increase into the lower 90s through the weekend. Heat
index in the upper 90s to around 100 degrees from Wednesday
through the weekend.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Burchfield
