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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
425 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-051000-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
425 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this morning into
the late afternoon. While the threat for severe weather is low,
isolated damaging winds and marginally severe hail will be
possible with the strongest of storms. Overall, severe weather
should be very isolated.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are in the forecast.
A warming trend will be noted through the middle of next week, and
that will create an unstable environment. Chances for severe weather
will increase Tuesday and Wednesday, with the potential for large
hail, damaging wind, and isolated tornadoes. Locally heavy downpours
may lead to spotty flash flooding.

A cold front will push through the region from the Plains on
Thursday, and will be followed by cooler, drier, and more seasonal
air on Friday.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

70/46
Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
607 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-051000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
607 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024 /707 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A chance of thunderstorms will have lightning and locally heavy
rainfall as primary hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Almost daily storm chances increase toward a peak in the mid week
time range. That`s also the best chance for strong or severe
storms, which will include a damaging wind hazard with the
otherwise more common hazards of locally heavy rainfall and
lightning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed by mid week.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
604 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-051115-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
604 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Limited excessive rainfall risk
  Limited Fog risk.

DISCUSSION...

Scattered thunderstorms will approach extreme southeast Kansas
and west Missouri and spread eastward through the day. Marginal
Risk for severe weather today. Main hazards are 1 inch hail and 60
mph wind gusts.

Patchy fog is possible again tonight mostly for areas south of
I-44.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

 Widespread rainfall is forecast tomorrow with localized flooding
possible. A few rumbles of thunder may occur, but storms are
expected to stay sub-severe.

  A stronger storm system looks to approach the region by Monday
 night into Tuesday of next week with additional thunderstorm
chances, some of which may be strong to severe.

  Localized flooding will be possible this weekend into early
  next week as multiple rounds of showers and storms track across
  the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Soria

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
530 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-051030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
530 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This morning, and again this evening.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This morning.


DISCUSSION...
Showers and storms remain ongoing this morning across parts of
far eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Additional storms
associated with a cold front will move into the area later this
morning. One or two of these storms may be strong to marginally
severe and will pose a hail and gusty wind threat. Chances for
widespread showers and storms will increase this evening and
overnight. A few of these storms may be severe and will also carry
a marginal severe hail and wind threat. Additionally, the
stronger storms through tonight will be capable of producing a
period of heavy rainfall that may lead to localized flooding,
especially for those locations that have saturated soil
conditions.



SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The active weather pattern will continue well into next week with
chances for storms most everyday. At this time, the greater
severe weather chances will come Monday and Wednesday. All modes
of severe will be possible by later Monday afternoon and Monday
night with storms that develop along a dryline. Storms that
develop along a cold front Wednesday will also have at least some
severe potential. Storm chances will begin to diminish late in the
upcoming work week as the cold front finally clears the area.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
335 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-051200-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-
Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-
Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-
Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
335 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Arkansas,
southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest Louisiana,
southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
today. Look for strong wind gusts, cloud to ground lightning and
locally heavy rainfall where strong storms develop today. The storms
should diminish in coverage and intensity this evening. After
midnight, a complex of strong storms will move eastward into
Northeast Texas, Southeast Oklahoma and Southwest Arkansas. These
storms will have the capability once again to produce strong wind
gusts and locally heavy rainfall after midnight towards sunrise
Sunday Morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Thunderstorms will become widespread across the region on Sunday as
an upper level storm system moves overhead. There will be a
possibility of strong wind gusts and locally heavy rainfall with the
strongest storms on Sunday.

The next round of strong to severe thunderstorms will likely hold off
until late Wednesday into Thursday and Thursday Night. A cold front
will begin pushing into the region from the northwest and strong to
severe thunderstorms will be possible along and in advance of this
feature. In addition to severe weather chances, locally heavy rainall
will also be likely late Wednesday through late Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation should not be necessary through tonight.

$$

13

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
321 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-050830-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
321 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are possible generally north of I-20 this
morning and into the early afternoon. Lightning will be the main
threat.

Thunderstorms are expected to become more widespread tonight and
continue into Sunday morning. Heavy rain will be the primary
concern, though a few storms may also be strong to severe with
damaging winds and hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Daily storm chances are expected much of next week. Some severe
weather will be possible, especially early and mid next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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