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Fire Warning


NMC027-172218-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Fire Warning
NM Lincoln County OES
Relayed by National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
418 PM MDT Sat May 16 2026

...7 CABIN NORTH SIDE CAPITANS EVACUATION...

The following message is transmitted at the request of Lincoln
County OES.

AREAS NORTH SIDE OF CAPITANS BETWEEN GAP RD AND BOY SCOUT NEED TO
EVACUATE DUE TO INCREASE FIRE DANGER. IF YOU NEED ASSISTANCE CALL
575-648-2341

$$

v2-3.12.4-1484951-1778969915338


Red Flag Warning


URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1231 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ SUNDAY FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF LESS THAN 15%, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS AND PLAINS, AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ MONDAY FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF LESS THAN 15%, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS AND PLAINS, AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...

NMZ116>119-TXZ045-046-270-271-273-171745-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0016.260517T1700Z-260518T0200Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0016.260518T1700Z-260519T0200Z/
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-Chaves Plains-
Eddy Plains-Lea-Gaines-Dawson-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Eastern Culberson-
1231 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026 /1131 PM MDT Sat May 16 2026/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ SUNDAY FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF LESS THAN 15%, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS AND PLAINS, AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ MONDAY FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF LESS THAN 15%, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS AND PLAINS, AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent.

* RFTI...7 or extreme.

* IMPACTS...

* SEVERITY...

  FUELS (ERC)...70th-89th percentile...4 (out of 5).

  WEATHER...Critical...3 (out of 5).

  FIRE ENVIRONMENT...7 (out of 10).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong
winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase
potential for fire growth.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1013 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

TXZ021>025-027>031-033>037-039>043-180200-
/O.CON.KLUB.FW.W.0027.260517T1700Z-260518T0200Z/
/O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0027.260518T1600Z-260519T0300Z/
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-Motley-
Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-
Kent-
1013 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT
SUNDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE SOUTH
PLAINS, MOST OF THE ROLLING PLAINS, AND MOST OF THE FAR SOUTHERN
TEXAS PANHANDLE...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS, ROLLING PLAINS, AND THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...

* Timing...For the Red Flag Warning, from 12 PM to 9 PM on Sunday.
  For the Fire Weather Watch, from 11 AM until 10 PM on Monday.

* Wind...On Sunday, southwest at 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40
  mph. On Monday, southwest at 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50
  mph.

* Humidity...As low as 5 percent.

* Fuels...Critically dry to extremely dry.

* Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor
  burning is discouraged.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
759 PM MDT Sat May 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND ALL OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR PARTS OF WESTERN,
MUCH OF CENTRAL, AND ALL EASTERN NEW MEXICO...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
SOUTHWESTERN, MUCH OF CENTRAL, AND ALL OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO...

.Winds are slowly tapering off enough this evening to reduce the
critical fire weather threat. However, extremely poor humidity
recovery is expected overnight with many areas only reaching 15 to
25 percent come dawn Sunday. More widespread and stronger
southwesterly winds alongside another round of 6 to 15 hours of
single-digit humidity will yield critical to extremely critical fire
weather conditions for most of west-central, central, and all of
eastern New Mexico Sunday. Another round of critical fire weather
conditions is expected across southwest, central and eastern New
Mexico Monday with even stronger wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph across
eastern New Mexico. Around 6 to 12 hours of single digit humidity
values are expected across east central and southeast New Mexico on
Monday.

NMZ104-106-123>126-171200-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0036.000000T0000Z-260517T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0037.260517T1600Z-260518T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0037.260518T1500Z-260519T0300Z/
Northeast Plains-Middle Rio Grande Valley-Northeast Highlands-
Sandia and Manzano Mountains-Central Highlands-East Central
Plains-
759 PM MDT Sat May 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* AFFECTED AREA...Northeast Plains (Zone 104), Middle Rio Grande
  Valley (Zone 106), Northeast Highlands (Zone 123), Sandia and
  Manzano Mountains (Zone 124), Central Highlands (Zone 125), and
  East Central Plains (Zone 126).

* TIMING...For the Red Flag Warning, from 10 AM to 9 PM MDT Sunday.
  For the Fire Weather Watch, from Monday morning through Monday
  evening.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...For the Red Flag Warning southwest winds 20 to 30
  mph with gusts up to 45 mph, and for the Fire Weather Watch
  southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...For the Red Flag Warning Relative Humidity
  between 6 to 15 percent, and for the Fire Weather Watch Relative
  Humidity between 8 to 21 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will spread rapidly. Outdoor
  burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field
of this Red Flag Warning.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field
of this Fire Weather Watch.

&&

$$

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY...

.An upper level trough carving out over the Central Rockies will
bring increasing southwest winds to the region over the next
couple of days, while Relative Humidity values remain very low,
and fuels remain critically dry. Winds aloft will begin to
increase late tonight, with favored downslope areas seeing near-
Red Flag conditions during the overnight and pre-dawn hours, as
gusty winds help to create very poor RH recovery. Winds will stay
strong along north and east-facing slopes Sunday night, and Red
Flag conditions may persist through Sunday Night into Monday in
those favored areas.


NMZ110>112-TXZ055-171200-
/O.UPG.KEPZ.FW.A.0009.260517T1800Z-260518T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.W.0013.260517T1800Z-260518T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.A.0010.260518T1800Z-260519T0400Z/
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SUNDAY NIGHT FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO AND PARTS OF FAR WEST TEXAS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR THE SAME AREA...

The National Weather Service in El Paso has issued a Red Flag
Warning for strong winds and low humidity, which is in effect
from noon Sunday to midnight MDT Sunday night. A Fire Weather
Watch has also been issued from Monday afternoon through Monday
evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...All of southwest and south-central New Mexico,
  including the Gila Region and the lowland deserts. Also, El Paso
  County in Texas. This area includes New Mexico Fire Weather
  Zones 110, 111, and 112, and Texas Fire Weather Zone 055.

* TIMING...Red Flag Warning on Sunday from Noon through Midnight.
  Fire Weather Watch for Monday afternoon and evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph on
  Sunday, and slightly lower on Monday.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...Up to 90.

* LIGHTNING...None expected.

* EXPERIMENTAL RFTI...4 to 5.

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY...

.An upper level trough carving out over the Central Rockies will
bring increasing southwest winds to the region over the next
couple of days, while Relative Humidity values remain very low,
and fuels remain critically dry. Winds aloft will begin to
increase late tonight, with favored downslope areas seeing near-
Red Flag conditions during the overnight and pre-dawn hours, as
gusty winds help to create very poor RH recovery. Winds will stay
strong along north and east-facing slopes Sunday night, and Red
Flag conditions may persist through Sunday Night into Monday in
those favored areas.


NMZ113-171200-
/O.UPG.KEPZ.FW.A.0009.260517T1800Z-260518T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.W.0013.260517T1300Z-260518T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.A.0010.260518T0600Z-260519T0400Z/
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SUNDAY NIGHT FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE SACRAMENTO
AND CAPITAN MOUNTAINS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR THE SAME AREA...

The National Weather Service in El Paso has issued a Red Flag
Warning for strong winds and low humidity which is in effect from
7 AM Sunday to midnight MDT Sunday night. A Fire Weather Watch
has also been issued from late Sunday night through Monday
evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 113 Capitan and Sacramento
  Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ.

* TIMING...Near Red Flag conditions will develop this afternoon
  along north and east facing mountain slopes. Winds may diminish
  briefly in the evening, but will begin to ramp up again late in
  the night. Relative humidity recovery will be very poor in these
  locations, and Red Flag Conditions will develop by early morning
  as winds increase further. Red Flag conditions will develop over
  a wider area by late morning. Strong winds and poor RH recovery
  are expected again Sunday night along north and east facing
  slopes. This is a rare situation where Red Flag conditions may
  last through the night in favored downslope wind areas. Thus, a
  Fire Weather Watch is in effect starting Midnight Sunday night,
  and through the day Monday, when stronger winds will develop
  across a wider area again.

* WINDS...Southwest 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 to 8 percent with very poor
  recovery along north and east facing slopes.

* EXPERIMENTAL RFTI...5 to 6.

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

MPH


Fire Weather Watch


URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1231 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ SUNDAY FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF LESS THAN 15%, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS AND PLAINS, AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ MONDAY FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF LESS THAN 15%, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS AND PLAINS, AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...

NMZ116>119-TXZ045-046-270-271-273-171745-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0016.260517T1700Z-260518T0200Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0016.260518T1700Z-260519T0200Z/
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-Chaves Plains-
Eddy Plains-Lea-Gaines-Dawson-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Eastern Culberson-
1231 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026 /1131 PM MDT Sat May 16 2026/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ SUNDAY FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF LESS THAN 15%, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS AND PLAINS, AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ MONDAY FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF LESS THAN 15%, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS AND PLAINS, AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent.

* RFTI...7 or extreme.

* IMPACTS...

* SEVERITY...

  FUELS (ERC)...70th-89th percentile...4 (out of 5).

  WEATHER...Critical...3 (out of 5).

  FIRE ENVIRONMENT...7 (out of 10).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong
winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase
potential for fire growth.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1013 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

TXZ021>025-027>031-033>037-039>043-180200-
/O.CON.KLUB.FW.W.0027.260517T1700Z-260518T0200Z/
/O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0027.260518T1600Z-260519T0300Z/
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-Motley-
Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-
Kent-
1013 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT
SUNDAY FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE SOUTH
PLAINS, MOST OF THE ROLLING PLAINS, AND MOST OF THE FAR SOUTHERN
TEXAS PANHANDLE...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS, ROLLING PLAINS, AND THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...

* Timing...For the Red Flag Warning, from 12 PM to 9 PM on Sunday.
  For the Fire Weather Watch, from 11 AM until 10 PM on Monday.

* Wind...On Sunday, southwest at 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40
  mph. On Monday, southwest at 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50
  mph.

* Humidity...As low as 5 percent.

* Fuels...Critically dry to extremely dry.

* Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor
  burning is discouraged.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1013 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

TXZ026-032-038-044-180200-
/O.CON.KLUB.FW.A.0027.260518T1600Z-260519T0300Z/
Childress-Cottle-King-Stonewall-
1013 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS, ROLLING PLAINS, AND THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...

* Timing...From 11 AM until 10 PM on Monday.

* Wind...Southwest at 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Humidity...As low as 5 percent.

* Fuels...Critically dry to extremely dry.

* Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor
  burning is discouraged.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
759 PM MDT Sat May 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND ALL OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR PARTS OF WESTERN,
MUCH OF CENTRAL, AND ALL EASTERN NEW MEXICO...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
SOUTHWESTERN, MUCH OF CENTRAL, AND ALL OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO...

.Winds are slowly tapering off enough this evening to reduce the
critical fire weather threat. However, extremely poor humidity
recovery is expected overnight with many areas only reaching 15 to
25 percent come dawn Sunday. More widespread and stronger
southwesterly winds alongside another round of 6 to 15 hours of
single-digit humidity will yield critical to extremely critical fire
weather conditions for most of west-central, central, and all of
eastern New Mexico Sunday. Another round of critical fire weather
conditions is expected across southwest, central and eastern New
Mexico Monday with even stronger wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph across
eastern New Mexico. Around 6 to 12 hours of single digit humidity
values are expected across east central and southeast New Mexico on
Monday.

NMZ104-106-123>126-171200-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0036.000000T0000Z-260517T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0037.260517T1600Z-260518T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0037.260518T1500Z-260519T0300Z/
Northeast Plains-Middle Rio Grande Valley-Northeast Highlands-
Sandia and Manzano Mountains-Central Highlands-East Central
Plains-
759 PM MDT Sat May 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

* AFFECTED AREA...Northeast Plains (Zone 104), Middle Rio Grande
  Valley (Zone 106), Northeast Highlands (Zone 123), Sandia and
  Manzano Mountains (Zone 124), Central Highlands (Zone 125), and
  East Central Plains (Zone 126).

* TIMING...For the Red Flag Warning, from 10 AM to 9 PM MDT Sunday.
  For the Fire Weather Watch, from Monday morning through Monday
  evening.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...For the Red Flag Warning southwest winds 20 to 30
  mph with gusts up to 45 mph, and for the Fire Weather Watch
  southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...For the Red Flag Warning Relative Humidity
  between 6 to 15 percent, and for the Fire Weather Watch Relative
  Humidity between 8 to 21 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will spread rapidly. Outdoor
  burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field
of this Red Flag Warning.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field
of this Fire Weather Watch.

&&

$$

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY...

.An upper level trough carving out over the Central Rockies will
bring increasing southwest winds to the region over the next
couple of days, while Relative Humidity values remain very low,
and fuels remain critically dry. Winds aloft will begin to
increase late tonight, with favored downslope areas seeing near-
Red Flag conditions during the overnight and pre-dawn hours, as
gusty winds help to create very poor RH recovery. Winds will stay
strong along north and east-facing slopes Sunday night, and Red
Flag conditions may persist through Sunday Night into Monday in
those favored areas.


NMZ110>112-TXZ055-171200-
/O.UPG.KEPZ.FW.A.0009.260517T1800Z-260518T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.W.0013.260517T1800Z-260518T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.A.0010.260518T1800Z-260519T0400Z/
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SUNDAY NIGHT FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO AND PARTS OF FAR WEST TEXAS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR THE SAME AREA...

The National Weather Service in El Paso has issued a Red Flag
Warning for strong winds and low humidity, which is in effect
from noon Sunday to midnight MDT Sunday night. A Fire Weather
Watch has also been issued from Monday afternoon through Monday
evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...All of southwest and south-central New Mexico,
  including the Gila Region and the lowland deserts. Also, El Paso
  County in Texas. This area includes New Mexico Fire Weather
  Zones 110, 111, and 112, and Texas Fire Weather Zone 055.

* TIMING...Red Flag Warning on Sunday from Noon through Midnight.
  Fire Weather Watch for Monday afternoon and evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph on
  Sunday, and slightly lower on Monday.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...Up to 90.

* LIGHTNING...None expected.

* EXPERIMENTAL RFTI...4 to 5.

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY...

.An upper level trough carving out over the Central Rockies will
bring increasing southwest winds to the region over the next
couple of days, while Relative Humidity values remain very low,
and fuels remain critically dry. Winds aloft will begin to
increase late tonight, with favored downslope areas seeing near-
Red Flag conditions during the overnight and pre-dawn hours, as
gusty winds help to create very poor RH recovery. Winds will stay
strong along north and east-facing slopes Sunday night, and Red
Flag conditions may persist through Sunday Night into Monday in
those favored areas.


NMZ113-171200-
/O.UPG.KEPZ.FW.A.0009.260517T1800Z-260518T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.W.0013.260517T1300Z-260518T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.A.0010.260518T0600Z-260519T0400Z/
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SUNDAY NIGHT FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE SACRAMENTO
AND CAPITAN MOUNTAINS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR THE SAME AREA...

The National Weather Service in El Paso has issued a Red Flag
Warning for strong winds and low humidity which is in effect from
7 AM Sunday to midnight MDT Sunday night. A Fire Weather Watch
has also been issued from late Sunday night through Monday
evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 113 Capitan and Sacramento
  Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ.

* TIMING...Near Red Flag conditions will develop this afternoon
  along north and east facing mountain slopes. Winds may diminish
  briefly in the evening, but will begin to ramp up again late in
  the night. Relative humidity recovery will be very poor in these
  locations, and Red Flag Conditions will develop by early morning
  as winds increase further. Red Flag conditions will develop over
  a wider area by late morning. Strong winds and poor RH recovery
  are expected again Sunday night along north and east facing
  slopes. This is a rare situation where Red Flag conditions may
  last through the night in favored downslope wind areas. Thus, a
  Fire Weather Watch is in effect starting Midnight Sunday night,
  and through the day Monday, when stronger winds will develop
  across a wider area again.

* WINDS...Southwest 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 to 8 percent with very poor
  recovery along north and east facing slopes.

* EXPERIMENTAL RFTI...5 to 6.

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

MPH

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY...

.An upper level trough carving out over the Central Rockies will
bring increasing southwest winds to the region over the next
couple of days, while Relative Humidity values remain very low,
and fuels remain critically dry. Winds aloft will begin to
increase late tonight, with favored downslope areas seeing near-
Red Flag conditions during the overnight and pre-dawn hours, as
gusty winds help to create very poor RH recovery. Winds will stay
strong along north and east-facing slopes Sunday night, and Red
Flag conditions may persist through Sunday Night into Monday in
those favored areas.


TXZ056-171200-
/O.CAN.KEPZ.FW.A.0009.260517T1800Z-260518T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.A.0010.260518T1800Z-260519T0400Z/
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR HUDSPETH
COUNTY IN TEXAS...

...THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SUNDAY IN HUDSPETH COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa has
issued a Fire Weather Watch for strong winds and low humidity,
which is in effect from Monday afternoon through Monday evening.
The Fire Weather Watch for Sunday has been cancelled, but only for
Hudspeth County.

* AFFECTED AREA...Texas Fire Weather Zone 056, Hudspeth County.

* TIMING...Monday early afternoon through evening.

* WINDS...West 16 to 22 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...Up to 93.

* LIGHTNING...None expected.

* EXPERIMENTAL RFTI...4 to 5.

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
912 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

TXZ021>044-180215-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
912 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Critical fire weather conditions are expected on Sunday and Monday.
A Red Flag Warning is in effect for the Caprock and most of the
Rolling Plains between noon and 9 PM Sunday. A Fire Weather Watch is
in effect area-wide Monday between 11 AM and 10 PM CDT.

Chances for storms will continue for the Rolling Plains and
southeastern Texas Panhandle during the afternoon and evening hours
Sunday and Monday. A few storms may be severe.

Additional chances for thunderstorms will arrive for portions of the
region Tuesday and through the end of the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE