Red Flag Warning
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1220 PM MDT Sat May 16 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND ALL OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHWESTERN, CENTRAL,
AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
SOUTHWESTERN, CENTRAL, AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO...
NMZ104-106-123>126-170200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0036.260516T2000Z-260517T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0037.260517T1600Z-260518T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0037.260518T1500Z-260519T0300Z/
Northeast Plains-Middle Rio Grande Valley-Northeast Highlands-
Sandia and Manzano Mountains-Central Highlands-East Central
Plains-
1220 PM MDT Sat May 16 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
* AFFECTED AREA...Northeast Plains (Zone 104), Middle Rio Grande
Valley (Zone 106), Northeast Highlands (Zone 123), Sandia and
Manzano Mountains (Zone 124), Central Highlands (Zone 125), and
East Central Plains (Zone 126).
* TIMING...For the first Red Flag Warning, until 8 PM MDT this
evening. For the second Red Flag Warning, from 10 AM to 9 PM MDT
Sunday. For the Fire Weather Watch, from Monday morning through
Monday evening.
* 20 FOOT WINDS...For the first Red Flag Warning southwest winds 15
to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph, for the second Red Flag Warning
southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph, and for the
Fire Weather Watch southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to
55 mph.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...For the first Red Flag Warning Relative
Humidity between 5 to 10 percent, for the second Red Flag Warning
Relative Humidity between 6 to 15 percent, and for the Fire
Weather Watch Relative Humidity between 8 to 15 percent.
* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will spread rapidly. Outdoor
burning is not recommended.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field
of this Red Flag Warning.
Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field
of this Fire Weather Watch.
&&
$$
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY...
.An upper level trough carving out over the Central Rockies will
bring increasing southwest winds to the region over the next
couple of days, while Relative Humidity values remain very low,
and fuels remain critically dry. Winds aloft will begin to
increase late tonight, with favored downslope areas seeing near-
Red Flag conditions during the overnight and pre-dawn hours, as
gusty winds help to create very poor RH recovery. Winds will stay
strong along north and east-facing slopes Sunday night, and Red
Flag conditions may persist through Sunday Night into Monday in
those favored areas.
NMZ110>112-TXZ055-171200-
/O.UPG.KEPZ.FW.A.0009.260517T1800Z-260518T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.W.0013.260517T1800Z-260518T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.A.0010.260518T1800Z-260519T0400Z/
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SUNDAY NIGHT FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO AND PARTS OF FAR WEST TEXAS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR THE SAME AREA...
The National Weather Service in El Paso has issued a Red Flag
Warning for strong winds and low humidity, which is in effect
from noon Sunday to midnight MDT Sunday night. A Fire Weather
Watch has also been issued from Monday afternoon through Monday
evening.
* AFFECTED AREA...All of southwest and south-central New Mexico,
including the Gila Region and the lowland deserts. Also, El Paso
County in Texas. This area includes New Mexico Fire Weather
Zones 110, 111, and 112, and Texas Fire Weather Zone 055.
* TIMING...Red Flag Warning on Sunday from Noon through Midnight.
Fire Weather Watch for Monday afternoon and evening.
* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph on
Sunday, and slightly lower on Monday.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent.
* TEMPERATURES...Up to 90.
* LIGHTNING...None expected.
* EXPERIMENTAL RFTI...4 to 5.
* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
Outdoor burning is not recommended.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.
A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.
&&
$$
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY...
.An upper level trough carving out over the Central Rockies will
bring increasing southwest winds to the region over the next
couple of days, while Relative Humidity values remain very low,
and fuels remain critically dry. Winds aloft will begin to
increase late tonight, with favored downslope areas seeing near-
Red Flag conditions during the overnight and pre-dawn hours, as
gusty winds help to create very poor RH recovery. Winds will stay
strong along north and east-facing slopes Sunday night, and Red
Flag conditions may persist through Sunday Night into Monday in
those favored areas.
NMZ113-171200-
/O.UPG.KEPZ.FW.A.0009.260517T1800Z-260518T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.W.0013.260517T1300Z-260518T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.A.0010.260518T0600Z-260519T0400Z/
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SUNDAY NIGHT FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE SACRAMENTO
AND CAPITAN MOUNTAINS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR THE SAME AREA...
The National Weather Service in El Paso has issued a Red Flag
Warning for strong winds and low humidity which is in effect from
7 AM Sunday to midnight MDT Sunday night. A Fire Weather Watch
has also been issued from late Sunday night through Monday
evening.
* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 113 Capitan and Sacramento
Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ.
* TIMING...Near Red Flag conditions will develop this afternoon
along north and east facing mountain slopes. Winds may diminish
briefly in the evening, but will begin to ramp up again late in
the night. Relative humidity recovery will be very poor in these
locations, and Red Flag Conditions will develop by early morning
as winds increase further. Red Flag conditions will develop over
a wider area by late morning. Strong winds and poor RH recovery
are expected again Sunday night along north and east facing
slopes. This is a rare situation where Red Flag conditions may
last through the night in favored downslope wind areas. Thus, a
Fire Weather Watch is in effect starting Midnight Sunday night,
and through the day Monday, when stronger winds will develop
across a wider area again.
* WINDS...Southwest 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 to 8 percent with very poor
recovery along north and east facing slopes.
* EXPERIMENTAL RFTI...5 to 6.
* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
Outdoor burning is not recommended.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.
A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.
&&
$$
MPH
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1208 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026
TXZ021>025-027>031-033>037-039>043-170600-
/O.NEW.KLUB.FW.W.0027.260517T1700Z-260518T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KLUB.FW.A.0027.260518T1600Z-260519T0300Z/
/O.CON.KLUB.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-260517T0200Z/
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-Motley-
Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-
Kent-
1208 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE, THE SOUTH PLAINS, AND MOST OF THE ROLLING PLAINS...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE CAPROCK AND MOST OF
THE ROLLING PLAINS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE
CAPROCK AND ROLLING PLAINS...
The National Weather Service in Lubbock has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from noon to 9 PM CDT Sunday. A Fire
Weather Watch has also been issued for Monday. This Fire Weather
Watch is in effect from Monday morning through Monday evening.
* Wind...For today: Southwest at 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35
mph. For Sunday: Southwest at 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35
mph. For Monday: Southwest at 20-30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
* Humidity...For today and Sunday: As low as 5 percent. For
Monday: As low as 4 percent.
* Fuels...For today and Sunday: Critically dry. For Monday:
Critically dry to extremely dry.
* Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor
burning is discouraged.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.
A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.
&&
$$
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1145 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ SUNDAY FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF LESS THAN 15%, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS AND PLAINS, AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ MONDAY FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF LESS THAN 15%, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS AND PLAINS, AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...
NMZ116>119-TXZ045-046-270-271-273-171000-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0016.260517T1700Z-260518T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0016.260518T1700Z-260519T0200Z/
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-Chaves Plains-
Eddy Plains-Lea-Gaines-Dawson-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Eastern Culberson-
1145 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026 /1045 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ SUNDAY FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF LESS THAN 15%, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS AND PLAINS, AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ MONDAY FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF LESS THAN 15%, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS AND PLAINS, AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...
The National Weather Service in Midland/Odessa has issued a Red
Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from noon CDT /11 AM MDT/ to 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ Sunday. A
Fire Weather Watch has also been issued. This Fire Weather Watch
for wind and low relative humidity is in effect from Monday
afternoon through Monday evening.
* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent.
* RFTI...5 to 8 or critical to extreme.
* IMPACTS...
* SEVERITY...
FUELS (ERC)...90th+ percentile...5 (out of 5).
WEATHER...Near Critical...2 (out of 5).
FIRE ENVIRONMENT...7 (out of 10).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong
winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase
potential for fire growth.
A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.
&&
$$
Fire Weather Watch
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1220 PM MDT Sat May 16 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND ALL OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHWESTERN, CENTRAL,
AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
SOUTHWESTERN, CENTRAL, AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO...
NMZ104-106-123>126-170200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0036.260516T2000Z-260517T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0037.260517T1600Z-260518T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0037.260518T1500Z-260519T0300Z/
Northeast Plains-Middle Rio Grande Valley-Northeast Highlands-
Sandia and Manzano Mountains-Central Highlands-East Central
Plains-
1220 PM MDT Sat May 16 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
* AFFECTED AREA...Northeast Plains (Zone 104), Middle Rio Grande
Valley (Zone 106), Northeast Highlands (Zone 123), Sandia and
Manzano Mountains (Zone 124), Central Highlands (Zone 125), and
East Central Plains (Zone 126).
* TIMING...For the first Red Flag Warning, until 8 PM MDT this
evening. For the second Red Flag Warning, from 10 AM to 9 PM MDT
Sunday. For the Fire Weather Watch, from Monday morning through
Monday evening.
* 20 FOOT WINDS...For the first Red Flag Warning southwest winds 15
to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph, for the second Red Flag Warning
southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph, and for the
Fire Weather Watch southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to
55 mph.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...For the first Red Flag Warning Relative
Humidity between 5 to 10 percent, for the second Red Flag Warning
Relative Humidity between 6 to 15 percent, and for the Fire
Weather Watch Relative Humidity between 8 to 15 percent.
* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will spread rapidly. Outdoor
burning is not recommended.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field
of this Red Flag Warning.
Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field
of this Fire Weather Watch.
&&
$$
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY...
.An upper level trough carving out over the Central Rockies will
bring increasing southwest winds to the region over the next
couple of days, while Relative Humidity values remain very low,
and fuels remain critically dry. Winds aloft will begin to
increase late tonight, with favored downslope areas seeing near-
Red Flag conditions during the overnight and pre-dawn hours, as
gusty winds help to create very poor RH recovery. Winds will stay
strong along north and east-facing slopes Sunday night, and Red
Flag conditions may persist through Sunday Night into Monday in
those favored areas.
NMZ110>112-TXZ055-171200-
/O.UPG.KEPZ.FW.A.0009.260517T1800Z-260518T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.W.0013.260517T1800Z-260518T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.A.0010.260518T1800Z-260519T0400Z/
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SUNDAY NIGHT FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO AND PARTS OF FAR WEST TEXAS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR THE SAME AREA...
The National Weather Service in El Paso has issued a Red Flag
Warning for strong winds and low humidity, which is in effect
from noon Sunday to midnight MDT Sunday night. A Fire Weather
Watch has also been issued from Monday afternoon through Monday
evening.
* AFFECTED AREA...All of southwest and south-central New Mexico,
including the Gila Region and the lowland deserts. Also, El Paso
County in Texas. This area includes New Mexico Fire Weather
Zones 110, 111, and 112, and Texas Fire Weather Zone 055.
* TIMING...Red Flag Warning on Sunday from Noon through Midnight.
Fire Weather Watch for Monday afternoon and evening.
* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph on
Sunday, and slightly lower on Monday.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent.
* TEMPERATURES...Up to 90.
* LIGHTNING...None expected.
* EXPERIMENTAL RFTI...4 to 5.
* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
Outdoor burning is not recommended.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.
A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.
&&
$$
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY...
.An upper level trough carving out over the Central Rockies will
bring increasing southwest winds to the region over the next
couple of days, while Relative Humidity values remain very low,
and fuels remain critically dry. Winds aloft will begin to
increase late tonight, with favored downslope areas seeing near-
Red Flag conditions during the overnight and pre-dawn hours, as
gusty winds help to create very poor RH recovery. Winds will stay
strong along north and east-facing slopes Sunday night, and Red
Flag conditions may persist through Sunday Night into Monday in
those favored areas.
NMZ113-171200-
/O.UPG.KEPZ.FW.A.0009.260517T1800Z-260518T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.W.0013.260517T1300Z-260518T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.A.0010.260518T0600Z-260519T0400Z/
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SUNDAY NIGHT FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE SACRAMENTO
AND CAPITAN MOUNTAINS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR THE SAME AREA...
The National Weather Service in El Paso has issued a Red Flag
Warning for strong winds and low humidity which is in effect from
7 AM Sunday to midnight MDT Sunday night. A Fire Weather Watch
has also been issued from late Sunday night through Monday
evening.
* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zone 113 Capitan and Sacramento
Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ.
* TIMING...Near Red Flag conditions will develop this afternoon
along north and east facing mountain slopes. Winds may diminish
briefly in the evening, but will begin to ramp up again late in
the night. Relative humidity recovery will be very poor in these
locations, and Red Flag Conditions will develop by early morning
as winds increase further. Red Flag conditions will develop over
a wider area by late morning. Strong winds and poor RH recovery
are expected again Sunday night along north and east facing
slopes. This is a rare situation where Red Flag conditions may
last through the night in favored downslope wind areas. Thus, a
Fire Weather Watch is in effect starting Midnight Sunday night,
and through the day Monday, when stronger winds will develop
across a wider area again.
* WINDS...Southwest 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 to 8 percent with very poor
recovery along north and east facing slopes.
* EXPERIMENTAL RFTI...5 to 6.
* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
Outdoor burning is not recommended.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.
A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.
&&
$$
MPH
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY...
.An upper level trough carving out over the Central Rockies will
bring increasing southwest winds to the region over the next
couple of days, while Relative Humidity values remain very low,
and fuels remain critically dry. Winds aloft will begin to
increase late tonight, with favored downslope areas seeing near-
Red Flag conditions during the overnight and pre-dawn hours, as
gusty winds help to create very poor RH recovery. Winds will stay
strong along north and east-facing slopes Sunday night, and Red
Flag conditions may persist through Sunday Night into Monday in
those favored areas.
TXZ056-171200-
/O.CAN.KEPZ.FW.A.0009.260517T1800Z-260518T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.A.0010.260518T1800Z-260519T0400Z/
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
1114 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR HUDSPETH
COUNTY IN TEXAS...
...THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SUNDAY IN HUDSPETH COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
The National Weather Service in El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa has
issued a Fire Weather Watch for strong winds and low humidity,
which is in effect from Monday afternoon through Monday evening.
The Fire Weather Watch for Sunday has been cancelled, but only for
Hudspeth County.
* AFFECTED AREA...Texas Fire Weather Zone 056, Hudspeth County.
* TIMING...Monday early afternoon through evening.
* WINDS...West 16 to 22 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent.
* TEMPERATURES...Up to 93.
* LIGHTNING...None expected.
* EXPERIMENTAL RFTI...4 to 5.
* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
Outdoor burning is not recommended.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.
&&
$$
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1208 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026
TXZ021>025-027>031-033>037-039>043-170600-
/O.NEW.KLUB.FW.W.0027.260517T1700Z-260518T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KLUB.FW.A.0027.260518T1600Z-260519T0300Z/
/O.CON.KLUB.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-260517T0200Z/
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-Motley-
Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-
Kent-
1208 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE, THE SOUTH PLAINS, AND MOST OF THE ROLLING PLAINS...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE CAPROCK AND MOST OF
THE ROLLING PLAINS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE
CAPROCK AND ROLLING PLAINS...
The National Weather Service in Lubbock has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from noon to 9 PM CDT Sunday. A Fire
Weather Watch has also been issued for Monday. This Fire Weather
Watch is in effect from Monday morning through Monday evening.
* Wind...For today: Southwest at 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35
mph. For Sunday: Southwest at 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35
mph. For Monday: Southwest at 20-30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
* Humidity...For today and Sunday: As low as 5 percent. For
Monday: As low as 4 percent.
* Fuels...For today and Sunday: Critically dry. For Monday:
Critically dry to extremely dry.
* Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor
burning is discouraged.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.
A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.
&&
$$
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1208 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026
TXZ038-044-170600-
/O.NEW.KLUB.FW.A.0027.260518T1600Z-260519T0300Z/
King-Stonewall-
1208 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR ALL OF THE
CAPROCK AND ROLLING PLAINS...
The National Weather Service in Lubbock has issued a Fire Weather
Watch, which is in effect from Monday morning through Monday
evening.
* Timing...11 AM until 10 PM CDT Monday.
* Wind...Southwest at 20-30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
* Humidity...As low as 4 percent.
* Fuels...Critically dry to extremely dry.
* Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor
burning is discouraged.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.
&&
$$
Sincavage
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1145 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ SUNDAY FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF LESS THAN 15%, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS AND PLAINS, AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ MONDAY FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF LESS THAN 15%, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS AND PLAINS, AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...
NMZ116>119-TXZ045-046-270-271-273-171000-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0016.260517T1700Z-260518T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0016.260518T1700Z-260519T0200Z/
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-Chaves Plains-
Eddy Plains-Lea-Gaines-Dawson-Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-Eastern Culberson-
1145 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026 /1045 AM MDT Sat May 16 2026/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ SUNDAY FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF LESS THAN 15%, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS AND PLAINS, AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ MONDAY FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER,
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF LESS THAN 15%, AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SURROUNDING FOOTHILLS AND PLAINS, AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...
The National Weather Service in Midland/Odessa has issued a Red
Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from noon CDT /11 AM MDT/ to 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ Sunday. A
Fire Weather Watch has also been issued. This Fire Weather Watch
for wind and low relative humidity is in effect from Monday
afternoon through Monday evening.
* WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 5 percent.
* RFTI...5 to 8 or critical to extreme.
* IMPACTS...
* SEVERITY...
FUELS (ERC)...90th+ percentile...5 (out of 5).
WEATHER...Near Critical...2 (out of 5).
FIRE ENVIRONMENT...7 (out of 10).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now or will shortly. A combination of strong
winds, low relative humidity and warm temperatures will increase
potential for fire growth.
A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.
&&
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
243 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026
TXZ021>044-171945-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
243 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Critical fire weather conditions are expected today over much of the
region. A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for most of the region
until 9 PM.
Isolated thunderstorms may develop this afternoon and evening for
portions of the eastern Rolling Plains and far southeastern Texas
Panhandle. Storms that develop may be severe, with damaging wind
gusts in excess of 60 mph and large hail up two inches in diameter
possible. Dry lightning strikes may pose a risk for the ignition of
wildfires in areas that received minimal rainfall yesterday across
the Rolling Plains.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Chances for storms will continue for the Rolling Plains and
southeastern Texas Panhandle during the afternoon and evening hours
Sunday and Monday. A few storms may be severe. An overnight round of
storms may also develop over the southern portions of the South
Plains and into the Rolling Plains early Monday morning.
Critical fire weather conditions are expected to continue for most
of the region on Sunday and Monday. A Red Flag Warning is in effect
for the Caprock and most of the Rolling Plains between noon and 9 PM
CDT Sunday. A Fire Weather Watch is in effect area-wide Monday
between 11 AM and 10 PM CDT.
Additional chances for thunderstorms are forecast to arrive for
portions of the region Tuesday and through the end of the week.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
