weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories
NWS Homepage

Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
404 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
160915-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
404 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Outside of central Minnesota, afternoon heat index values will
increase into the middle to upper 90s, resulting in dangerous heat
levels for those active outdoors for a prolonged period of time.

Numerous thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening.
Scattered severe thunderstorms will be possible across western
and central Minnesota into northwest Wisconsin. Large hail and
damaging wind gusts will be the primary threats. In addition,
locally heavy rainfall could lead to areas of flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation may be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
404 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-160915-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
404 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are possible late tonight into Wednesday
over western Iowa. A few storms could become strong to severe at
times, with damaging winds and locally heavy rain the main
threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Additional showers and storms are expected at times Wednesday into
Thursday and again Friday into the weekend. Isolated strong to
severe storms are possible at times with this activity Wednesday
into Thursday. More details are expected to be known in the coming
days.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not needed at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
351 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-
098-NEZ013-014-SDZ038>040-050-052>071-160900-
Lyon-Osceola-Dickinson-Sioux-O`Brien-Clay-Plymouth-Cherokee-
Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Lincoln-Murray-Cottonwood-Nobles-Jackson-
Pipestone-Rock-Dixon-Dakota-Beadle-Kingsbury-Brookings-Gregory-
Jerauld-Sanborn-Miner-Lake-Moody-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Hanson-McCook-
Minnehaha-Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-Turner-Bon Homme-Yankton-
Union-
351 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Iowa, west central
Iowa, southwest Minnesota, northeast Nebraska, central South
Dakota, east central South Dakota, south central South Dakota and
southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to form over
central South Dakota this afternoon into the evening. Risks include
hail to the size of a ping-pong ball, wind gusts to 70 mph, heavy
rainfall, and possibly a tornado or two. Rainfall totals of 1-2
inches are expected with isolated pockets of up to 3 inches
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Lingering, light showers continue Wednesday morning, ending by
afternoon. Cooler temperatures will prevail through the end of the
week. The next chance for showers and thunderstorms comes Friday
night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
310 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061-161215-
Mitchell-Howard-Winneshiek-Allamakee-Floyd-Chickasaw-Fayette-
Clayton-Wabasha-Dodge-Olmsted-Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Houston-
Taylor-Clark-Buffalo-Trempealeau-Jackson-La Crosse-Monroe-Juneau-
Adams-Vernon-Crawford-Richland-Grant-
310 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Minnesota...northeast Iowa and southwest into central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms will be possible late tonight, primarily for
portions of both southeast Minnesota and west central Wisconsin. A
stronger storm cannot be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday and few of these could
be strong to severe. Heavy rainfall could lead to localized
flooding on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

No action needed.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

No webinar is scheduled.

$$

Cecava

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
309 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

MNZ039-046-SDZ003>011-015>023-033>037-045-048-051-160815-
Traverse-Big Stone-Corson-Campbell-McPherson-Brown-Marshall-Roberts-
Walworth-Edmunds-Day-Dewey-Potter-Faulk-Spink-Clark-Codington-Grant-
Hamlin-Deuel-Stanley-Sully-Hughes-Hyde-Hand-Jones-Lyman-Buffalo-
309 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /209 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Minnesota,
central South Dakota, north central South Dakota and northeast
South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a slight risk (2 out of 5) for severe thunderstorms
southeast of a line from Vivian to Wheaton, MN. There is a marginal
risk elsewhere for this afternoon and evening. The main threats will
be strong winds, quarter sized hail and heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be requested. Weather spotters are encouraged
to submit reports to the National Weather Service in Aberdeen. The
public can submit reports on our web page, Facebook page, or our X
feed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Duluth MN
911 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

LSZ121-140>148-150-160215-
Bayfield to Oak Point WI-Grand Portage to Grand Marais MN-
Grand Marais to Taconite Harbor MN-
Taconite Harbor to Silver Bay Harbor MN-
Silver Bay Harbor to Two Harbors MN-Two Harbors to Duluth MN-
Duluth MN to Port Wing WI-Port Wing to Sand Island WI-
Sand Island to Bayfield WI-Oak Point to Saxon Harbor WI-
Outer Apostle Islands Beyond 5 NM from Mainland-
911 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Superior
and the Nearshore waters of western Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

There is a 50 percent chance of isolated thunderstorms over
western Lake Superior this evening. A few storms along the North
Shore could be strong, capable of producing gale force winds, hail
up an inch, and cloud-to-water lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Several chances of thunderstorms are forecast this week with best
chances Tuesday afternoon and evening. A few thunderstorms could
be strong.

$$

Britt

More information may be obtained at the following web address:
http://www.weather.gov/duluth

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Duluth MN
911 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-160215-
Koochiching-North St. Louis-Northern Cook/Northern Lake-
North Itasca-Central St. Louis-Southern Lake/North Shore-
Southern Cook/North Shore-North Cass-South Itasca-South Cass-
Crow Wing-Northern Aitkin-South Aitkin-Carlton/South St. Louis-
Pine-Douglas-Bayfield-Ashland-Iron-Burnett-Washburn-Sawyer-Price-
911 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Wildfire smoke will linger overnight. Please refer to the latest
Air Quality Alerts for Minnesota and Wisconsin for more details.

Thunderstorms are expected this evening across northern Minnesota.
A few storms may be strong to severe capable of producing hail up
to one and a half inches and damaging winds. Heavy rainfall may
lead to ponding or localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

An Air Quality Alert remains in effect for northern MN through
11 PM Tuesday.

Additional thunderstorm chances are forecast through the end of
the week. A few strong to severe storms are possible again
Tuesday. Locally heavy rainfall may lead to localized flooding
Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Skywarn spotters are encouraged to report hail of any size and
rainfall amounts to the National Weather Service.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE