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SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 192
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
335 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 192 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

KSC023-029-039-051-055-057-063-065-067-069-071-075-081-083-089-
093-101-105-109-119-123-129-135-137-141-143-147-153-157-163-165-
167-171-175-179-181-183-187-189-193-195-199-201-203-200400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0192.180619T2035Z-180620T0400Z/

KS
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHEYENNE             CLOUD               DECATUR
ELLIS                FINNEY              FORD
GOVE                 GRAHAM              GRANT
GRAY                 GREELEY             HAMILTON
HASKELL              HODGEMAN            JEWELL
KEARNY               LANE                LINCOLN
LOGAN                MEADE               MITCHELL
MORTON               NESS                NORTON
OSBORNE              OTTAWA              PHILLIPS
RAWLINS              REPUBLIC            ROOKS
RUSH                 RUSSELL             SCOTT
SEWARD               SHERIDAN            SHERMAN
SMITH                STANTON             STEVENS
THOMAS               TREGO               WALLACE
WASHINGTON           WICHITA
$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
850 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-201000-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
850 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
An area of thunderstorms is expected to move from the northwest into
northwestern Oklahoma early Wednesday. A slight risk for severe
thunderstorms exists north and west of Woodward. A marginal risk
extends south and east from Woodward to near Clinton and Enid. The
most likely time for severe weather is 1 am to 5 am. Quarter-size
hail and damaging wind gusts to around 60 mph may occur with the
strongest storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorm chances will continue through Monday, mainly from
late afternoons through early the following mornings. A Marginal
Risk of severe storms covers most of Oklahoma for Wednesday and
Wednesday night. Damaging wind gusts and locally heavy rainfall
will be the primary hazards.

.Heavy Rain...
Some of the thunderstorms will produce heavy rainfall, which may
lead to localized flooding, especially over northern Oklahoma.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
847 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-210200-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
847 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight...

Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will affect portions of
the Four-State Region this evening, with lull expected around
midnight, with redevelopment occurring overnight. No widespread
organized hazardous weather is expected. However, some storms
could produce gusty winds, brief heavy rainfall and occasional
lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Showers and thunderstorms will remain possible throughout the
work week and mainly during the afternoon, as this muggy tropical
moisture meets an approaching weak cool frontal boundary. A
couple of thunderstorms could be strong, but widespread organized
severe weather is not expected at this time. The weekend will
resort back to only isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms
with a climbing heat index.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters will not be needed through tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
649 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-210000-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
649 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

 Limited lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

 Isolated thunderstorms will impact portion of central Missouri
 and the eastern Ozarks this evening before dissipating. These
 storms will produce locally heavy rainfall and lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Higher chances for showers and storms along with a limited
potential for severe weather will occur Wednesday afternoon and
evening. Large hail and strong wind gusts will be possible with
stronger storms.

Additional thunderstorms will then occur at times from Thursday
into the weekend as an active weather pattern develops.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Foster

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
449 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-202200-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
449 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Heat indices near 100 will persist through 7 pm along and north of
Interstate 70.

Thunderstorms will develop late this afternoon and evening in
central Kansas and spread southeast during the night. Severe storms
are possible this evening roughly northwest of a line from Salina to
McPherson and Hutchinson. Winds to 65 mph and heavy rain are the
main threats. Any stronger storms that are isolated this evening
could produce up to golf ball sized hail. Strong storms are possible
over the rest of the area overnight, with winds to 50 mph and heavy
rain the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Storms will persist on Wednesday, with some severe storms possible
in the afternoon roughly east of I-35. The stronger storms could
produce winds to 65 mph and quarter sized hail.

Multiple rounds of storms are possible from Thursday through
Monday. Strong to severe storms are likely sometime during the
period. It is difficult to pinpoint times and locations of severe
threats during the period. However storms in general will be more
likely during the late night and early morning hours.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

There is slight chance of spotter activation northwest of a line
from Salina to Great Bend this evening.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Howerton

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
449 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201100-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
449 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Much of southeast-far eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas,
near the Kansas border late.
ONSET...Ongoing...ending by 8 PM. The near Kansas border threat begins
after 2 AM.

DISCUSSION...

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible thru the afternoon across
southeast and far eastern Oklahoma as well as northwest Arkansas.
Dangerous lightning and gusty winds are possible. Severe weather
is not expected.

Storms developing out on the the high Plains of western Kansas
this afternoon will eventually grow upscale into a complex as they
merge with other storms coming in from Colorado. While this
complex is expected to weaken and dissipate tonight, the outflow
boundary from this activity may set off additional storms near the
Kansas border late tonight. This activity is not expected to be
severe.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY and MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

The boundary from tonight`s storms is expected to settle down into
northeast Oklahoma on Wednesday. The boundary will become a focus
for thunderstorm development over this region by afternoon, with
some potential for severe hail and winds as wind shear aloft
gradually strengthens with an approaching upper trough. Storms
may eventually congeal into one or more clusters and move toward
southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas Wednesday evening before
weakening. These clusters will initially have a damaging wind and
locally heavy rain threat.

After a relative lull in the activity Thursday and Thursday night
behind a cold front, the threat for severe storms will ramp back
up Friday night into Saturday as storms develop on the high Plains
and become a southeastward complex into the region. Strengthening
northwest flow aloft suggests that there is an elevated severe
weather threat with these storms. Severe storm potential increases
again on Saturday afternoon near lingering boundaries, with those
storms likely organizing into one more potentially severe southeastward
moving complexes again Saturday night. Locally heavy rainfall is
possible as well.

Some potential for storms will linger into Sunday along any
residual boundaries before the threat gradually comes to an end by
Monday of next week.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Lacy

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
348 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-201100-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
348 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected. Some
thunderstorms may be strong to severe with damaging winds and
heavy rainfall being the main hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms are expected Wednesday through Saturday. Some
thunderstorms may be strong with winds up to 50 MPH and
heavy rainfall being the main hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Cockrell

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
312 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-201230-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
312 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible through
tonight with the best chances across Central Texas. Gusty wind,
brief heavy downpours and lightning will be the primary hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday
through Thursday with the best chances along and east of I-35. The
main hazards will be locally heavy rainfall, gusty wind and
lightning.

Some low thunderstorm chances will return to locations near the Red
River Saturday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
336 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-200845-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
336 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018 /236 AM MDT Tue Jun 19 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected late this afternoon
into the overnight period, first across west central Kansas
spreading southeast as the night progresses. The strongest storms
will be capable of producing hail around 2 inches and winds over
70 mph. An isolated tornado can not be ruled out across west
central Kansas late this afternoon.

A flash flood watch will be in effect along the I-70 corridor late
this afternoon into the overnight period. See the latest flood
product for more information.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Significant risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

A chance of thunderstorms will be possible across south central
Kansas Wednesday morning. These storms are not expected to be
severe at this time.

A chance of thunderstorms will be possible Friday night and again
Sunday. It is too early to tell if any of these storms will become
severe.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed first across west central Kansas
late this afternoon spreading southeast this evening into tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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