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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
826 PM CDT Sat Mar 22 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-240130-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
826 PM CDT Sat Mar 22 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Slight hail risk.
  Marginal thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Elevated fire weather risk.

DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions persist through this evening with widespread
Elevated Fire Danger. Relative humidity values around 20 to 30%
with southeast winds around 10 to 15 mph will continue until rain
chances arrive later tonight.

Thunderstorms will likely develop across northeast Oklahoma after
9pm and then move into the area overnight with a 60 to 90% chance
of showers and thunderstorms. There is a slight chance (15%) for
a few isolated severe thunderstorms tonight. This will mainly be
for large hail up to the size of golf balls, especially west of
Highway 95 and south of Highway 32. Wind gusts up to 60 mph will
also be possible. Frequent cloud to ground lightning will
accompany the storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Shower and thunderstorms exit the the area from west to east
through Sunday morning.

Elevated fire risk returns Sunday afternoon and persists through
Tuesday with modest winds and relative humidity hovering between
20 and 35 percent each day.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed tonight across the area.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Burchfield

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
640 PM CDT Sat Mar 22 2025

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-232345-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
640 PM CDT Sat Mar 22 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible late tonight
mainly east of I-135. The strongest activity may be capable of
producing nickel to quarter sized hail and a brief wind gust to 50
or 60 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Very high grassland fire danger will impact much of the area Sunday
due to gusty northwest winds, low humidity, and mild temperatures.
Pockets of very high grassfire danger are possible again Thursday
and Friday.

Off-and-on chances for showers and thunderstorms are possible
late Wednesday night through next weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
506 PM CDT Sat Mar 22 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
506 PM CDT Sat Mar 22 2025


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After 8pm...ending around 1am.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Diminishing after 8pm.


DISCUSSION...
A warm front will lift north across northeast Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas late this evening and tonight.  A few thunderstorms
will develop near and north of the front after 8pm.  There
is the potential for hail to half dollar size with the strongest
storms...along with gusty winds.  This activity will move
beyond the area after 1am.

Elevated fire weather conditions will continue into the evening
hours.  Increasing humidity from south to north and some drop
in wind speeds will take the edge off the fire spread potential
by late this evening.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY and MONDAY...No Hazards.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The wind will be gusty for a time on Sunday both in advance of and
behind a cold front that will pass through the region.  The wind
will generally start to relax during the afternoon.

A disturbance aloft could result in a few thunderstorm in parts of
southeast Oklahoma on Tuesday.

Increasing southerly winds late next will week will bring deeper
moisture into the region and a few thunderstorms could occur
in the area as a result.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
233 PM CDT Sat Mar 22 2025

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-230745-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
233 PM CDT Sat Mar 22 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

A Red Flag Warning is in effect until 9 PM tonight for the
Western Texas Panhandle as well as portions of the Central and
Southern Texas Panhandle. Meanwhile, elevated fire weather
conditions are expected across the Northeastern Panhandles through
this early evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

A 10 to 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms remains present
across the Southern Panhandles for Wednesday and Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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