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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
259 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-202000-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
259 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
Severe thunderstorms will be possible late this afternoon and
evening across northern and western Oklahoma, possibly spreading
into central portions of Oklahoma late in the evening. Initially,
very large hail and damaging winds will be the main concerns
across western and northern Oklahoma, with the concern of mainly
damaging winds later in the evening across north central and
central Oklahoma.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...
Storm spotter groups and emergency management personnel across
northern, western, and central Oklahoma should be prepared for
severe weather operations from late this afternoon through
midnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorm potential returns Tuesday, with severe weather
possible across all but northwest Oklahoma. Episodes of severe
weather will continue Wednesday into next weekend.

.Flooding...
The potential for flooding rainfall will increase Wednesday and
Thursday, mainly across southeast Oklahoma.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
438 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
438 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Late evening.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Late evening.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Late evening.

DISCUSSION...
The southern end of a thunderstorm complex could impact parts of
northeast Oklahoma late this evening into the overnight. While
these storms will likely be weakening as they move east, there is
some threat of damaging wind gusts, mainly in areas west of
highway 75 and north of highway 412. Locally heavy rainfall is
also possible.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY THROUGH Thursday..Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A cold front Tuesday should increase the shower and thunderstorm
chances areawide. Severe weather is looking more likely with the
Tuesday storms, although details are uncertain at this time. Heavy
rainfall potential may increase by mid week as the front stalls in
the area. An active weather pattern will continue with periodic
thunderstorm chances through the end of next week.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
340 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-202045-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
340 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Late This Afternoon through Tonight

Supercell severe storms capable of tennis ball size hail,
destructive winds greater than 80 mph and tornadoes will affect
portions of central Kansas late this afternoon.

Additional supercell severe storms will be possible early this
evening before becoming more of a line of storms as they move across
central and south central Kansas during the mid to late evening.
These storms will still be capable of destructive winds greater than
80 mph, large hail to at least golf ball size and a tornado.

Strong to marginally severe storms will remain possible to a little
after midnight as they move east from the Flint Hills into parts of
southeast Kansas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Thunderstorm development appears unlikely Monday afternoon and
evening across much of the region. However, if a storm or two is
able to form, the environment will support severe weather.

Additional chances for severe storms exist over eastern Kansas
Tuesday afternoon and evening. Large hail, damaging winds, and a
few tornadoes are possible. Stay tuned for later outlooks.

Periodic thunderstorm chances remain in the forecast Thursday
through early next week. Stay tuned as we continue to refine the
potential for severe weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is likely through the evening, mainly west the
Kansas turnpike.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
326 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-202030-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
326 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

Showers and thunderstorms may impact portions of western Missouri
and far southeastern Kansas late tonight (after 10 PM) into the
early morning hours (before 8 AM). Any storms are expected to be
sub-severe, though small hail and an isolated damaging wind gust
could occur along the MO/KS border.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a conditional threat for showers and thunderstorms Monday
afternoon (15-30% chance) north of Highway 32/I-44. If storms do
form, a few could be capable of small hail and an isolated
damaging wind gust or two.

Thunderstorm chances increase Tuesday evening through Wednesday
evening bringing a greater potential for severe weather. Damaging
winds will be the main threat with these storms, but large hail, a
spinup tornado or two, and flooding are secondary threats.

Daily 30-50% chances for showers and thunderstorms exist through
the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation may be needed later today or tonight for
western Missouri and far southeast Kansas.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Price

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
253 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-200800-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
253 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for the northeast
Panhandles today for isolated storms capable of all hazards,
although the primary threat will be strong damaging winds and
large hail. Elevated Fire Weather will be possible for the western
Panhandles this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Elevated Fire Weather will be possible for the western Panhandles
on Monday. Temperatures will be very warm again Monday, and may
be close to Heat Advisory for the Palod Duro Canyon, however we`ll
have to watch for cloud cover that could limit the heating.
Otherwise, next hazard will be the potential for thunderstorms
Thursday afternoon and evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible this evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
201 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-201915-
Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho-
Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford-
Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble-
Mason-
201 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

High temperatures in the upper 90s to around 103 degrees
are expected this afternoon. The potential for heat-related
illnesses such as heatstroke and heat exhaustion will increase
as a result.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

High temperatures early this week will reach into the upper 90s
to around 103 degrees. This will increase the potential for heat-
related illnesses such as heatstroke and heat exhaustion.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1201 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-201715-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-
Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-
Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-
Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1201 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for our Four-State area of southern
Arkansas, northern Louisiana, eastern Texas and  southeast Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

A few thunderstorms will be possible in southeast Oklahoma late Tuesday
night as a frontal boundary begins to approach the I-30 corridor. As
this boundary slowly shifts southward and begins to stall across the
area on Wednesday, scattered to numerous thunderstorms are likely to
develop in it`s vicinity by the afternoon. Some of these
thunderstorms may be strong to severe and also carry the threat for
heavy rainfall. Another round of strong to severe thunderstorms will
be possible again on Thursday before the frontal boundary washes out
and drifts east of our Four-State area. Isolated thunderstorm
activity will continue each afternoon on Friday and Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1127 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

TXZ021>044-201630-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1127 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a chance for thunderstorms mainly to the east of the
Caprock escarpment Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
216 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-200730-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
216 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024 /116 AM MDT Sun May 19 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Sunday.

Numerous thunderstorms are expected Sunday afternoon and
evening. Some storms are expected to be severe with large hail
and damaging winds.

The highest risk of straight line wind damage will be east of
Dodge City Sunday evening, where gusts of 60-90 mph are expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Friday.

Additional, more isolated severe thunderstorms are possible
Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be required after 4 pm Sunday.

$$

Turner

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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