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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
227 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-171930-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
227 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
A few isolated thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon and
early evening across portions of western Oklahoma and western
north Texas. Gusty winds and cloud to ground lightning will be
concerns but the severe weather potential is expected to remain
low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

.Thunderstorms...
Scattered thunderstorms are expected Tuesday night and Wednesday
across portions of northern and western Oklahoma. Higher
thunderstorm chances are expected throughout the area late in the
week beginning Friday night or Saturday.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
311 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-172015-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
311 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms will continue across central Kansas through
late afternoon. Severe weather is not expected, though gusty winds,
small hail and heavy downpours will be possible.

Additional storms are possible across central Kansas overnight into
Tuesday morning. Again, severe weather is not expected but heavy
rain and small hail are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

There is a chance for thunderstorms late Tuesday night into
Wednesday, mainly from the Flint Hills westward across central and
south central Kansas where a couple of strong storms will be
possible.

A small chance exists for severe storms across central Kansas
Wednesday afternoon and evening. Any storm that is able to develop
will be capable of golf ball size hail and damaging winds up to 70
mph.

Better chances for more numerous thunderstorms areawide will
increase late Friday through the weekend. Strong to marginally
severe storms will be possible along with locally heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
250 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-172000-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
250 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited Fog risk.

DISCUSSION...

Light showers in the southeast are gradually ending this
afternoon.

Fog is expected during the early morning hours through sunrise,
potentially reducing visibility for the morning commute along I-44
northeast of Springfield and south around Branson.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Dry and much warmer than normal through the end of the week. The
next chance for rain will be this weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Nelson

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
235 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-170745-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
235 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Isolated thunderstorms may develop late this afternoon and evening
across the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles. If storms form, they are
expected to remain just below severe levels at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Thunderstorms will be possible across the Oklahoma and Texas
Panhandles Tuesday afternoon and night, over the southeast Texas
Panhandle Wednesday afternoon and evening, and then across all of
the area Friday afternoon through Saturday night. A few storms may
become severe over the western Panhandles late Tuesday afternoon
and evening, with large hail and damaging winds the primary
hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
122 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
122 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Mainly east of I-49 in Western Arkansas.
ONSET...This Afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
There is a limited chance for thunderstorms mainly east of I-49 in
western Arkansas this afternoon. Brief heavy downpours and
dangerous lightning would accompany any storms that develop.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY thru THURSDAY...No Hazards.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
SATURDAY and SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A ridge of high pressure aloft moves over the region Tuesday and
holds through the week allowing for warmer and more humid
conditions across eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Heat
index values by Friday are forecast to climb around 100 degrees
across much of the region. Shower and thunderstorm chances return
Friday night and into the weekend.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
516 AM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-171030-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
516 AM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024 /416 AM MDT Mon Sep 16 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected to develop this
afternoon across far southwest and far west central Kansas,
generally west of Highway 83 as relative humidity falls to 20 to
25 percent and south-southeast winds increase to 20 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are forecast to move east
across western Kansas Tuesday Night. At this time, the severe
weather risk is very low across southwest and much of west central
Kansas. Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will be
possible Friday into Saturday as another strong storm system
approaches western Kansas.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected today and tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
238 AM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

TXZ021>044-170745-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
238 AM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

An isolated thunderstorm or two remains possible across portions of
the far southeast Texas Panhandle and Rolling Plains this afternoon
and evening. Severe weather is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Thunderstorm chances are forecast across portions of the far
southern Texas Panhandle, South Plains, and Rolling Plains on
Tuesday and Wednesday. Strong wind gusts in excess of 50 mph will be
possible nearest the New Mexico state line on Tuesday evening.

Additional storm chances are forecast to return across the Caprock
and Rolling Plains on Friday and last through the weekend.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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