Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
440 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-292245-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
440 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025


...WINTRY WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...9pm to 11pm.

DISCUSSION...
A few thunderstorms are expected to develop in eastern Oklahoma
this evening and spread into western Arkansas during the night. Severe
weather is not expected. The stronger cells could produce small hail.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
SUNDAY...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY...Winter Weather Potential.
TUESDAY through THURSDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Any overnight storms will exit the area early Saturday. A couple of
additional storms are possible in southeast Oklahoma and west-central
Arkansas Saturday afternoon ahead of strong cold front that will cross
the area Saturday. Gusty winds will occur both ahead of and behind the
front.

A system will come into the area on Monday. Areas of light precipitation
will occur with the system. The most persistent wintry weather is expected
along and north of I-40, but a mix of wintry precipitation is possible
south of I-40, especially in the higher terrain areas.

Limited winter weather impacts are possible in the higher terrain and along and
north of I-40 where both a trace of ice and sleet accumulation and snow amounts from
a trace to an inch are currently forecast.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Emergency managers and public safety officials should continue to monitor the
last information. Winter Weather Advisories could be needed for parts of the area.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
144 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-291945-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
144 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

Winds will begin to increase through the remainder of today,
becoming breezy tonight with gusts up to 25-35 mph. A few gusts
above 40 mph cannot be ruled out.

As winds increase, rain chances will also increase, peaking at 85
to 100 percent tonight. There is a low 10 to 20 percent chance
for a stray thunderstorm or two after midnight tonight. Lightning
would be the main hazard.

Some snow may mix in with the rain after midnight tonight along
and east of Highway 63. Little to no wintry impacts are expected
from this, though there may be a brief period of slushy road
conditions tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

There is an 90 to 100 percent chance for rain Saturday, with
diminishing precipitation chances into Saturday night. There
exists a low 10 to 20 percent chance for a thunderstorm or two.

Wind gusts could reach 30 to 40 mph Saturday and Sunday.

Another system will move towards the area Monday which could
cause additional winter precipitation, however confidence is low
at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Hatch