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Gale Warning


Offshore Waters Forecast
NWS Ocean Prediction Center Washington DC
344 AM EST Tue Feb 25 2020

West central North Atlantic continental shelf and slope waters
beyond 20 nm to 250 nm offshore, including south of Georges Bank
from 1000 fm to 250 nm offshore.

Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.

ANZ920-252000-
Baltimore Canyon to 69W east of 1000 FM and south of 38.5N to
250 NM offshore-
344 AM EST Tue Feb 25 2020

...GALE WARNING...

.TODAY...S winds 20 to 30 kt, increasing to 25 to 35 kt, then
becoming SW. Seas 6 to 10 ft, building to 8 to 14 ft. Scattered
showers and tstms early, then rain and scattered tstms.
.TONIGHT...SW winds 25 to 35 kt, diminishing to 20 to 30 kt.
Seas 8 to 15 ft. Rain and scattered tstms, tapering to showers.
.WED...W to SW winds 10 to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 15 kt.
Seas subsiding to 6 to 10 ft. Chance of showers.
.WED NIGHT...S winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming S to SW 20 to 30 kt.
Seas 6 to 10 ft. Chance of showers early, then rain and scattered
tstms.
.THU...W winds 20 to 30 kt, increasing to 25 to 35 kt. Seas
building to 9 to 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.FRI...W winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W to NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.SAT...W to NW winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.

$$


Small Craft Advisory


URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
346 AM EST Tue Feb 25 2020

ANZ350-353-355-252130-
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0025.200226T0900Z-200226T2300Z/
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
346 AM EST Tue Feb 25 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Seas 3 to 6 ft expected.

* WHERE...The ocean waters south of Long Island out 20 nm.

* WHEN...From 4 AM to 6 PM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/okx


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
622 AM EST Tue Feb 25 2020

ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ011-013-014-016>018-508-VAZ052>057-261130-
Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD-
Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD-
Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD-
Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD-
Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA-
Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD-
Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD-
Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA-
Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor-
Chester River to Queenstown MD-Eastern Bay-
Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River-
Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD-
Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth
Island-District of Columbia-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-
Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Southeast Harford-
Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax-
Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-
King George-
622 AM EST Tue Feb 25 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Maryland portion of the
Chesapeake Bay, Tidal Potomac River, and adjacent counties in
central Maryland and northern Virginia as well as the District of
Columbia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Areas of dense fog are anticipated tonight. A Dense Fog Advisory
may be necessary.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A line of storms is expected to develop along a strong cold front
late Wednesday into Wednesday evening. A few damaging wind gusts
are possible.

Gale conditions are possible over the waters Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
622 AM EST Tue Feb 25 2020

MDZ003>006-501>507-VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-501>508-WVZ050>053-
055-501>506-261130-
Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-
Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany-
Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-
Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-
Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-
Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-
Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Highland-
Eastern Highland-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-
Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge-
Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-Western Grant-
Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-Western Pendleton-
Eastern Pendleton-
622 AM EST Tue Feb 25 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern West Virginia,
northern and central Virginia, and central and western Maryland
with the exception of Garrett County.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Areas of dense fog are anticipated tonight. A Dense Fog Advisory
may be necessary.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A line of storms is expected to develop along a strong cold front
Wednesday afternoon into early evening. A few damaging wind gusts
are possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

DHOF/LFR

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
448 AM EST Tue Feb 25 2020

NYZ036-037-045-046-057-062-261000-
Madison-Southern Oneida-Chenango-Otsego-Delaware-Sullivan-
448 AM EST Tue Feb 25 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Several inches of snow could accumulate quickly Wednesday night and
Thursday morning...especially across the higher terrain of the
southern Tug Hill Plateau above 1100 feet.

A period of lake effect snow will develop Thursday and continue
into the weekend. Snow totals around a foot or more are possible
over a three to four day period in northern Oneida County.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
434 AM EST Tue Feb 25 2020

ANZ350-353-355-261100-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
434 AM EST Tue Feb 25 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Westerly gale force wind gusts are possible Thursday and Thursday
night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
429 AM EST Tue Feb 25 2020

ANZ430-431-450>455-260930-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
429 AM EST Tue Feb 25 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters and
Delaware Bay Waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Gale force winds becoming more likely Thursday into Thursday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

$$


Hydrologic Outlook


Hydrologic Outlook
NYC007-015-017-023-025-053-065-067-077-097-099-101-105-107-109-
123-PAC015-069-079-103-115-127-131-271700-

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1200 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

...BELOW AVERAGE FLOOD POTENTIAL THROUGH MARCH 5...

This is the fourth in the series of regularly scheduled
hydrologic outlooks issued during the Winter and Spring season.
This outlook is designed to provide a general overview of river
flood potential (not flash flooding) across Central New York and
Northeast Pennsylvania for the next two weeks...February 20th to
March 5th.

...SUMMARY...

Although snow cover has increased across the Central New York
basins, snow depths and water equivalent remain generally only
near to below average in most locations, and especially across
Northeast Pennsylvania. The major rivers and headwater tributaries
are running slightly higher than typical for this time of year,
but there is no significant ice cover. Ground states remain
unusually moist and partially frozen. With a lack of significant
rainfall, or warmer than seasonally average temperatures expected
for the next two weeks, the overall assessment of the flood
potential for the NWS Binghamton hydrologic outlook area is BELOW
AVERAGE.

...CURRENT CONDITIONS...

.CHEMUNG BASIN...
.Precipitation (past 14 days): Above average.
.Snow Cover: Below average. Local areas near average.
.Snow Water Equivalent: Below average. Local areas near average.
.14-Day Average Streamflow: Average to above average
.River Ice: Below normal. No ice.
.Ground State: Very moist. Partially frozen.

.NORTH BRANCH SUSQUEHANNA BASIN (NY)...
.Precipitation (past 14 days): Above average.
.Snow Cover: Below average. Local headwaters above average.
.Snow Water Equivalent: Below average. Local headwaters above average.
.14-Day Average Streamflow...Above average.
.River Ice...Below normal. No ice.
.Ground State... Very moist. Partially frozen.

.UPPER MAIN STEM SUSQUEHANNA BASIN (PA)...
.Precipitation (past 14 days)...Above average.
.Snow Cover...Below average.
.Water Equivalent...Below average.
.14-day Average Streamflow...Above average.
.River Ice...Below normal. No ice.
.Ground State...Unusually moist. Partially frozen.

.UPPER DELAWARE BASIN...
.Precipitation (past 14 days)...Above average.
.Snow Cover...Below average.
.Water Equivalent...Below average.
.14-Day Avg. Streamflow...Much above average.
.River Ice...Below normal. No ice.
.Reservoir Levels...Above the long term median.
.Ground State...Unusually moist. Partially frozen.

.OSWEGO DRAINAGE / FINGER LAKES...
.Precipitation (past 14 days)...Above average.
.Snow Cover...Below average.
.Water Equivalent...Below average.
.14-Day Average Streamflow...Average.
.River Ice...Below normal. No ice.
.Lake Levels...Normal winter pools.
.Ground State...Extremely moist. Partially frozen.

...FORECAST OUTLOOK...

.FUTURE WEATHER CONDITIONS: The official 6 to 14 day outlook
indicates colder than seasonal mean temperatures and above
average precipitation. Ensemble mean forecast guidance confirms a
colder than usual temperature outlook, but suggests only a near
to below average precipitation profile through March 5th.

.LONG RANGE RIVER MODELING AND PROBABILITY FORECASTS:
The ensemble of river forecast system guidance suggests a limited
chance (10% or less chance) of minor flooding through early March
at some of the more sensitive headwater basins of the Susquehanna
and Upper Delaware basins. When comparing current hydrologic
forecast modeling against historical flows, most basins were
indicating an average to below average risk of flooding into the
first week of March.

...IN CONCLUSION...

This outlook estimates the potential for river and lake flooding
based on a current overview of hydro-meteorological factors which
contribute to flooding.

It is important to note that significant flooding does not occur
from snow melt alone. Rainfall is the most important factor in
determining the occurrence and severity of flooding in our area.

The next Winter/Spring Flood Outlook will be issued by this
office on March 5th 2020. If conditions change in the interim:
Flood Watches, Warnings or Advisories will be issued as
necessary.

$$

JAB

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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