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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0505 AM CST Mon Feb 09 2026

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-101105-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0505 AM CST Mon Feb 09 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Record high temperatures are possible this afternoon with
  highs likely reaching the lower 70s across eastern Kansas and
  far western Missouri.

- A cold front moves through the region overnight tonight into
  tomorrow morning, reducing temperatures for tomorrow afternoon
  (although remaining above normal).

- Cooler, but still above normal temperatures likely for the
  remainder of the week and into the weekend.

- Rain chances (20% to 50%) return Thursday into Friday.

- Rain chances increase further (50% to 60%) Friday night into
  Saturday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
440 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-101045-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
440 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Portions of Eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...This Afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
Patchy fog will be possible this morning across the area, with the
most likely areas being in sheltered valleys and near bodies of
water. The fog should dissipate not long after sunrise.

Well above normal temperatures are in the forecast for this
afternoon, which will combine with winds around 15 to 20 mph and
min RH values dropping to around 30 percent to pose limited fire
spread potential this afternoon. The most favorable fire
conditions will be across portions of eastern Oklahoma, primarily
north and west of I-44.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...No Hazards.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A cold front will bring gusty north winds to portions of northeast
Oklahoma mainly north of I-44 Tuesday.

A storm system and cold front are expected to bring a chance for
thunderstorms beginning late Thursday night and continuing
through Friday night. There will be a marginal or limited risk of
severe weather with these storms. Locally heavy rainfall is
forecast with this system by Saturday, with the more probable
location at this point being from east-central and southeast
Oklahoma into west-central Arkansas.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
306 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-100915-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
306 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Well above average temperatures and breezy southwest winds will
support very high grassland fire danger this afternoon, generally
along and west of the Flint Hills. Be mindful of anything that may
cause a spark.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

A few thunderstorms can`t be ruled out Saturday over southeast
Kansas, but severe weather is not expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
302 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-100915-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
302 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Kansas, east central
Kansas, north central Kansas and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

The Rangeland Fire Danger index will be in the Very High category
today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER MESSAGE...

Spotters will not be needed today or tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
158 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-100800-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
158 AM CST Mon Feb 9 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated fire weather risk.

DISCUSSION...

Elevated fire weather conditions will be possible west of Highway
65 this afternoon, as a warm and dry air mass combines with
southerly wind gusts up to 20mph at times.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Rain chances return Thursday into the weekend and there is a low
risk for some embedded lightning with this activity.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Wise

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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