weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories
NWS Homepage

Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
650 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-180000-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
650 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central,
north central, and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Areas of fog may develop overnight, especially north of Interstate
70.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters will not be needed tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at...
http://www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
502 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
502 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Through Mid Evening.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Northwest Arkansas and Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...This Evening.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms will remain possible through the evening
hours along and north of a frontal boundary that will slowly work
it`s way to the south through the night. Storms this evening will
have the potential for some strong, damaging wind gusts and
possibly some small hail across northeast Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas. A low chance exist for a brief tornado as well, in close
proximity to the frontal boundary or any other outflow boundaries
that interact with a storm. More widespread storms are expected
overnight with the potential for locally heavy rainfall and
flooding of low lying areas in northwest Arkansas.

Heat index values around will improve across the area this evening as
the sun sets.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The potential for showers and storms will continue into Thursday
as the cold front continues to affect the area. Locally heavy
rains will continue to be possible during this time.

After dry conditions on Friday, the chances of showers and storms return
over the weekend and into early next week as a another cold front moves
into the area and stalls out. With several rounds of showers and storms
likely during this time, heavy rainfall totals are possible.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
452 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-172200-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
452 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Hit or miss showers and thunderstorms are expected across the
region tonight with the greatest chances over southeast Kansas. A
few strong storms capable of gusty winds, small hail and heavy
downpours are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Off-and-on chances for showers and thunderstorms are possible
Friday through at least early next week. There remains quite a bit
of uncertainty surrounding this period, so please stay tuned for
later forecasts.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ict

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
249 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-172000-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
249 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Elevated excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

Showers and thunderstorms will continue this afternoon for
locations east of Highway 65.

Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible this
evening across far southwest Missouri and southeast Kansas. Hail
to the size of quarters and damaging wind gusts will be possible
with the strongest storms.

Additional widespread showers and storms are expected to develop
tonight across southern Missouri and last through Wednesday
morning. Heavy rainfall and training storms may result in
localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Lingering showers will push southeast into Arkansas by early
Wednesday afternoon.

Drier and cooler weather is then expected for the rest of the
week before rain chances return to the area over the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Didio

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
236 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-171000-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
236 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Heat index values around 105 degrees will be possible into the
early evening hours, primarily over southern and western Arkansas.

Additionally, isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are
possible into the evening hours with the main concerns being
damaging winds, hail, and locally heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Showers and storms will continue into Wednesday, becoming more
widespread into the morning.

While the threat for organized strong to severe weather is
low...a few strong to briefly severe thunderstorms could be seen
across southern Arkansas Wednesday afternoon. Damaging winds and
locally heavy rainfall could be seen with the strongest storms.

Chances for thunderstorms decrease on Thursday. The threat for
hazardous weather will then be low through early Saturday. Chances
for thunderstorms return to the forecast over the weekend into
early next week.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Due to the localized and isolated nature of any severe threat,
spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

57/234/62

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
219 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-171000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
219 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms are most likely to occur across southeast
Missouri, and adjacent locations. Lightning and heavy rain will be
the main storm hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

An isolated afternoon thunderstorm is possible over the far
southeast portion of the western Kentucky Pennyrile region Friday.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are forecast across the
entire Quad State Saturday through Monday. Locally heavy rain and
lightning are the primary storm hazards to expect.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
452 AM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-171000-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
452 AM CDT Tue Aug 16 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms are possible today, with one to two inches
of rain possible. Flooding is not expected.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

There is a chance for additional showers and thunderstorms this
weekend.  These storms are not expected to be severe at this time.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE