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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1013 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-202200-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
1013 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Thunderstorms will develop late this evening in central Kansas and
spread southeast during the night. Severe storms are possible this
evening roughly northwest of a line from Salina to McPherson and
Hutchinson. Winds to 65 mph and heavy rain are the main threats. Any
stronger storms that are isolated this evening could produce up to
golf ball sized hail. Strong storms are possible over the rest of
the area overnight, with winds to 50 mph and heavy rain the main
threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Storms will persist on Wednesday, with some severe storms possible
in the afternoon roughly east of I-35. The stronger storms could
produce winds to 65 mph and quarter sized hail.

Multiple rounds of storms are possible from Thursday through
Monday. Strong to severe storms are likely sometime during the
period. It is difficult to pinpoint times and locations of severe
threats during the period. However storms in general will be more
likely during the late night and early morning hours.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

There is slight chance of spotter activation northwest of a line
from Salina to Great Bend this evening.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Howerton

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
745 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-201200-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
745 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible through
early this evening. The primary threats will be 40 to 50 mph wind
gusts and locally heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

There is a chance of thunderstorms across the area from Wednesday
through Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Limited spotter activation may be needed across parts of south
central and southwest Illinois this evening.

$$

Glass

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
649 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-210000-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
649 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

 Limited lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

 Isolated thunderstorms will impact portion of central Missouri
 and the eastern Ozarks this evening before dissipating. These
 storms will produce locally heavy rainfall and lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Higher chances for showers and storms along with a limited
potential for severe weather will occur Wednesday afternoon and
evening. Large hail and strong wind gusts will be possible with
stronger storms.

Additional thunderstorms will then occur at times from Thursday
into the weekend as an active weather pattern develops.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Foster

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
614 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-201000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-
Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
614 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Some thunderstorms will be possible this evening into the early
overnight period across the southern third to half of the state.
While the severe weather weather threat is low...an isolated
strong storm may be seen...along with some locally heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday Through Monday

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will remain possible each
day into the weekend. The overall threat for organized or
widespread severe weather is expected to remain low at this time.
However...an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm may be seen
each day.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

62

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
449 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201100-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
449 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Much of southeast-far eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas,
near the Kansas border late.
ONSET...Ongoing...ending by 8 PM. The near Kansas border threat begins
after 2 AM.

DISCUSSION...

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible thru the afternoon across
southeast and far eastern Oklahoma as well as northwest Arkansas.
Dangerous lightning and gusty winds are possible. Severe weather
is not expected.

Storms developing out on the the high Plains of western Kansas
this afternoon will eventually grow upscale into a complex as they
merge with other storms coming in from Colorado. While this
complex is expected to weaken and dissipate tonight, the outflow
boundary from this activity may set off additional storms near the
Kansas border late tonight. This activity is not expected to be
severe.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY and MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

The boundary from tonight`s storms is expected to settle down into
northeast Oklahoma on Wednesday. The boundary will become a focus
for thunderstorm development over this region by afternoon, with
some potential for severe hail and winds as wind shear aloft
gradually strengthens with an approaching upper trough. Storms
may eventually congeal into one or more clusters and move toward
southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas Wednesday evening before
weakening. These clusters will initially have a damaging wind and
locally heavy rain threat.

After a relative lull in the activity Thursday and Thursday night
behind a cold front, the threat for severe storms will ramp back
up Friday night into Saturday as storms develop on the high Plains
and become a southeastward complex into the region. Strengthening
northwest flow aloft suggests that there is an elevated severe
weather threat with these storms. Severe storm potential increases
again on Saturday afternoon near lingering boundaries, with those
storms likely organizing into one more potentially severe southeastward
moving complexes again Saturday night. Locally heavy rainfall is
possible as well.

Some potential for storms will linger into Sunday along any
residual boundaries before the threat gradually comes to an end by
Monday of next week.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Lacy

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
338 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-201000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
338 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

A few thunderstorms will be possible over southeast Missouri and
southern Illinois through sunset. A brief heavy downpour and
lightning will be the primary concerns.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A good chance of thunderstorms is forecast throughout the region
Wednesday through Friday and again Saturday night and Sunday.
A small chance of thunderstorms is forecast for all or a portion
of the area Saturday and Monday. A few strong storms will be
possible Friday and Sunday, otherwise, locally heavy rainfall and
lightning will be the primary concerns.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
318 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-202030-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
318 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central...north
central and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and tonight.

There is the potential for severe thunderstorms mainly late
afternoon and this evening in north central Kansas, with the
primary hazard being damaging wind gusts. Locally heavy rainfall
is also possible which could result in flash flooding.

Thunderstorms are also possible overnight with the potential for
some damaging wind gusts with these storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

A few severe storms are possible Wednesday afternoon and evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at...
http://www.weather.gov/top/sitrep

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
457 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-201000-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
457 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms will occur throughout the day today, starting
over NW Missouri and slowly progressing south into the KC Metro area
by the afternoon. Some storms could be strong with large hail and
gusty winds possible. The main threat from these storms will be
localized flooding due to torrential rainfall potential these storms
will have with rainfall rates reaching 1 to 2 inches per hour
possible. A line of storms over the KC Metro area in the afternoon
could pose a potential flash flooding hazard if storms stall over the
city for a couple hours so caution will need to be taken if this
occurs as localized flooding is likely. The storms will start to
dissipate in the KC Metro around sunset but new storms look to
develop over NW Missouri continuing the trend of scattered storms
overnight in that region.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A cold front and low pressure system is expected to push through the
area Wednesday through Friday providing multiple rounds of
precipitation as it passes. Wednesday will have the best chances for
thunderstorms along the cold front, some could be strong with large
hail and heavy rain being the main threats. Prolonged light to
moderate rain looks to occur over northern Missouri Thursday through
Friday which could lead to some localized flooding and even potential
river flooding towards the Saturday timeframe. The system should move
out of the area by Saturday leading to a relatively dry Saturday
afternoon before another round of storms push through Saturday night
into Sunday morning.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

$$


Hydrologic Outlook


Hydrologic Outlook
MOC033-107-195-210222-


Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
923 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018


The National Weather Service In Pleasant Hill Has Issued A Hydrologic
Outlook For The Following Streams...

...Missouri River near Waverly

This hydrologic outlook is based on the forecast rainfall for the
next 24 hours and estimated runoff from earlier rainfall. Crests may
vary if actual rainfall or runoff is greater or less than
anticipated.

Location: Missouri River at Waverly
Flood stage: 20.0 feet
Latest stage: 14.9 feet at 8 PM Tuesday
Forecast crest: 20.1 feet Saturday Jun 23

Later statements...possibly warnings...may be issued as additional
information becomes available.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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