Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
802 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-170115-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
802 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Daily afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances through the
end of the week. While severe weather is not expected, lightning
and locally heavy rainfall will be possible.
Temperatures climb back to around 90 by midweek, continuing to
gradually increase into the lower 90s through the weekend. Heat
index values will gradually increase this week, reaching the
100-105 degree this weekend into early next week.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Melto
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
517 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
517 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Mainly Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and West-Central Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will continue into this
evening, especially from southeast Oklahoma into northwest
Arkansas. Severe weather is not expected, but locally heavy
rainfall and gusty winds remain possible with the strongest
storms. Heat index values from 95 to 105 degrees will be common
early this evening across eastern Oklahoma and west central
Arkansas before decreasing.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
FRIDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast both Wednesday
and Thursday. A weak cold front will attempt to move into
northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas on Thursday and may
provide a corridor of slightly higher thunderstorm chances. The
front will quickly lose definition with heat intensifying from
late week through next weekend. Heat index values of 100 to 105
degrees will be common during the afternoons across a large part
of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas, with some values
exceeding 105 degrees later this weekend into early next week. Any
outdoor activities should plan for higher heat stress conditions.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
322 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-161200-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
322 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /422 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected into early this
evening. A storm or two may briefly become strong to severe with
gusty to damaging winds the main threat. Torrential rainfall will
accompany any storms and flash flooding may develop where any
storms persist.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected each afternoon
through Monday. Isolated strong to severe storms are possible and
all storms will be capable of brief torrential rainfall.
Afternoon heat indices will climb into the 100 to 105 degree range
throughout the Quad State Wednesday through Sunday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
247 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-162000-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
247 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Widely scattered thunderstorms will continue into this evening. The
strongest storms may produce gusty winds and locally heavy downpours.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday night.
Some storms may be strong to severe, mainly along and north of I-70.
50-60 mph wind gusts are the primary threat from these storms.
Thunderstorms are possible for the rest of the Tuesday through next
Monday period as well, mainly during the afternoon.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Carney
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0506 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-161006-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0506 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Several chances for storms Wednesday:
- Early morning storms possible for NW MO & NE KS.
- Afternoon storms possible, mainly north of the MO River. This
round heavily dependent on how morning activity evolves.
* Hot and humid Wednesday with heat index values of 100-105, mainly
south of Highway 36.
- Extent of high heat dependent on how storms evolve earlier in
the day.
* Several additional rounds of storms possible from Wednesday night
into Thursday afternoon.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
404 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-160915-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
404 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Kansas, east central
Kansas, north central Kansas and northeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Storms moving into north-central Kansas around midnight tonight may
pose a brief risk for damaging winds before weakening.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Heat indices 100 to 105 degrees are possible Wednesday, most likely
along and south of Interstate 70.
Strong to severe storms are also possible Wednesday into Wednesday
night, with damaging winds the main hazard.
&&
More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf
$$
