Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
437 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-160945-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-
Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-
Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-
Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
437 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Arkansas,
southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest Louisiana,
southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
Heavy rainfall returns to the forecast by Thursday, as the next
system pushes into the region. Another 2 to 4 inches of rainfall,
with isolated higher amounts, will be possible in some locations. A
Moderate Risk of excessive rainfall is in effect Thursday into Friday
morning. A new flood watch will likely be needed ahead of this
event, but there is still some uncertainty as to how far north the
heaviest rainfall axis will shift. In addition, the threat of a few
strong to severe storms cannot be ruled out during this late week
timeframe. Otherwise, improving weather conditions are expected by
this weekend through early next week, with temperatures climbing into
the lower 90s.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed Thursday and Friday.
$$
20
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
621 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
621 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This evening and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After 7 PM.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Significant.
AREA...Generally along and north of Interstate 40.
ONSET...After 7 PM.
AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Northeast Oklahoma.
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After 7 PM.
DISCUSSION...
Isolated thunderstorms continue across portions of northeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas this afternoon, the primary
focus for severe weather will be storms developing near the
Oklahoma Kansas border by early evening. These storms will
move east and southeast through the evening into early
morning hours bringing a risk of severe weather to areas
along and north of Interstate 40. The early evening storms
will pose a risk of large hail, damaging winds and possibly
a tornado. The risk for damaging winds and flash flooding
will become the primary hazards from the late evening into
early morning hours.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY...No Hazards.
SUNDAY through TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms may be ongoing early Thursday
and possibly persist through much of the day Thursday.
A limited risk of severe weather will be possible
through the day Thursday however widespread severe weather
appears unlikely. Thunderstorm chances may persist into
Friday before a brief dry period arrives for Saturday.
The active weather pattern returns for next week
with daily thunderstorm chances.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
604 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-161130-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
604 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
There is a slight chance of thunderstorms tonight, primarily west of
the I-35 corridor. Lightning will be the primary hazard, but the
stronger storms may have small hail associated with them.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
Widespread storms are expected Thursday into Thursday night. Some of
these storms could become severe with large hail and damaging winds.
A tornado or two may also occur. In addition, heavy rainfall may
lead to flooding, especially across Central and East Texas.
A slight chance of storms will continue into Friday. The main hazard
will be frequent lightning. A few storms may have small hail.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
322 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-162030-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
322 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...
.Thunderstorms...
Widespread thunderstorms are expected to begin late this
afternoon through the overnight hours. Some of these storms could
become severe with up to 80 mph downburst or microburst wind gusts
and up to baseball size hail as the two main severe hazards. The
severe risk expected to decrease well before sunrise.
.Flooding...
There is a risk for localized flooding this evening and tonight
wherever multiple rounds of thunderstorms end up occurring.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...
.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorms will be ongoing Thursday morning persisting through
Friday. Some of the storms on Thursday afternoon through the
evening could be low-end severe but limited across western north
Texas, with large hail & damaging wind gusts as the primary severe
hazards.
Thunderstorm chances will be returning both Sunday and Monday
nights across parts of northern Oklahoma.
.Flooding...
Localized flooding will be possible on Thursday primarily across
central and southern Oklahoma and western north Texas.
Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.
$$
