Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
503 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
503 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Primarily southeast of Interstate 44.
ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma through northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas.
ONSET...Afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms ongoing this morning across southeast
Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas will likely decrease in
coverage by mid to late morning. Additional isolated to scattered
thunderstorms are forecast for this afternoon primarily southeast
of Interstate 44. Locally heavy rainfall remains possible through
today across southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
Temperatures will trend upward today with lesser storm coverage
during the afternoon. Heat index values near 100 degrees are
forecast for portions of eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY through MONDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast both Wednesday
and Thursday. A weak cold front will attempt to move into
northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas on Thursday and may
provide a corridor of slightly higher thunderstorm chances.
The front will quickly lose definition with heat intensifying
from late week through next weekend. Heat index values of 100
to 105 degrees will be common during the afternoons across a
large portion of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
Any outdoor activities should plan for higher heat stress
conditions.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$