Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
500 PM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-021045-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
500 PM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025
...SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT...
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...This Evening.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Significant.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...This Evening.
AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Northeast Oklahoma.
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DISCUSSION...
Strong southerly winds are expected persist through this evening
and into the overnight hours across the region in response to an
approaching storm system. Wind gusts as high as 35 to 45 miles per
hour are forecast across much of eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas.
Isolated storms are forecast to develop and move into eastern
Oklahoma by mid evening. The environment will be supportive of
supercells capable of producing higher end hazards including very
large hail, damaging winds, and potentially strong tornadoes.
Locations generally along and north of Interstate 44 are most at
risk for any evening storms and most likely timing is between 6 PM
and 12 AM.
A higher likelihood will come early Wednesday morning with a line
of storms expected to develop along the advancing cold front.
Instability and shear profiles will continue to be supportive of
severe storms, with damaging winds and tornadoes still a threat
along the leading edge of the line through the overnight hours
across eastern Oklahoma.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential
...High Wind Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...
...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The cold front will continue east through the day Wednesday with
severe weather potential continuing along and ahead of the front
into western Arkansas. Strong wind shear and instability will
support the potential for significant severe weather including
large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes. The severe storm
potential is expected to shift east of the region by early to mid
afternoon, however additional storms are likely to develop near
the Red River late Wednesday night and spread northeast through
the day Thursday. A few severe storms will be possible during this
time frame along with locally heavy rainfall.
The weather pattern remains favorable for multiple rounds of
heavy rain Friday through Saturday especially from southeast
Oklahoma through northwest Arkansas. Expect both flash flooding
and main stem river flooding concerns to increase both Friday
and Saturday.
Rain chances will gradually end during the daytime Sunday, with
breezy northerly winds persisting through the afternoon.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Severe weather and flooding impacts are likely to impact
parts of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas now through the
weekend. Multiple periods of response may be required.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
422 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025
ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-021000-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
422 AM CDT Tue Apr 1 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Gusty south and southeast winds will return to the state later
today as a new storm system organizes to the west. Sustained
wind speeds from 10 to 20 mph will be common, with gusts up to 30
mph possible. Boaters are urged to exercise caution if venturing
out on area lakes today.
Meanwhile, a warm front will be lifting northward across Arkansas
tonight. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
along and north of the front. However, the chances for severe
weather will remain low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday
Thunderstorms will become likely on Wednesday...with strong to
severe thunderstorms possible. All severe weather hazards will be
possible...with damaging winds...very large hail...and a few
tornadoes. There is some potential for an enhanced threat for strong
tornadoes for portions of the state on Wednesday afternoon/evening.
The threat for severe weather will decrease some for Thursday...but
will still see some threat for large hail...damaging winds...and an
isolated tornado. The threat will shift to be over southern to
southeast sections on Thursday.
A front will become stalled over some portion of Arkansas by late
Wednesday...remaining over the state into the weekend. Several
rounds of showers and thunderstorms are possible...resulting in
several inches of rainfall. The threat for flash and/or river
flooding will increase significantly by late this week.
.Spotter Information Statement...
Spotter activation may be needed Wednesday afternoon and evening
across the area.
&&
Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.
$$
