Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
100 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-211015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
100 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing...diminishing around sunset.
DISCUSSION...
Winds will continue to gust 20 to 30 mph through the afternoon
across portions of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Winds
will decrease around sunset.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY through SUNDAY...Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast late Wednesday night
into Thursday across northeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas.
A few strong to severe storms are possible. Additional storms may develop
later in the day Thursday into Thursday night further south across
portions of eastern Oklahoma as a weak cold front passes.
An unsettled weather pattern is expected Friday through the
holiday weekend. Multiple rounds of storms are forecast to impact
portions of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas during this time frame.
Strong flow aloft will support some severe weather potential, and heavy rainfall
which could lead to both flash flooding and river flooding concerns.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
216 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-211930-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
216 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Marginal hail risk.
Marginal thunderstorm wind damage risk.
Limited lightning risk.
DISCUSSION...
Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible along/east of
Highway 63 this afternoon and early evening as a cold front moves
from west to east. Lightning, hail up to half dollars, and gusty
winds up to 60 mph will be the main hazards with these storms. An
isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
There is a chance (30-40 percent) for isolated showers and
thunderstorms across southern Missouri Wednesday night. Lightning
and large hail would be the main hazards.
Daily and nightly 50 to 70 percent rain and thunderstorm chances
return for Memorial Day Weekend. There is potential for more
widespread rainfall amounts across the Ozarks.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Melto
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
248 AM CDT Tue May 20 2025
ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-202200-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
248 AM CDT Tue May 20 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
A few lines of storms continue to move from west to east across
Arkansas early this morning. A few strong to severe storms within
these lines of activity can be expected. The main threats will be
damaging wind gusts, large hail, and a spin-up tornado or two
cannot be ruled out across portions of central and southern
Arkansas through late morning.
An Enhanced Risk (level 3 out of 5) for severe weather has been
implemented for most of the eastern flank of Arkansas where strong
to severe storms are expected to re-develop this afternoon. A
Slight Risk (level 2 out of 5) for severe weather does exist
across central Arkansas where storms may initially develop, but
will encounter a better parameter space as the storms surge
eastward. The main hazards with activity that does develop will be
large hail, damaging wind gusts, and a few tornadoes cannot be
ruled out.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday
Rain and thunderstorms return to the forecast on Thursday and
become more widespread in coverage from Friday through Monday.
Confidence with this setup remains low for the organization of
any severe weather which is a trend that has continued from past
forecast packages. Flash flooding may become a concern on Saturday
as a Slight Risk (level 2 out of 4) for excessive rainfall has
been introduced. Trends will continue to be monitored closely with
Memorial Day Weekend approaching.
.Spotter Information Statement...
Spotter activation is not anticipated to be needed.
&&
Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.
$$
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