Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
448 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-151030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
448 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Northeast Oklahoma and Far Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After Midnight.
DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered showers and storms are forecast for much of
eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas into early evening. Then
mainly over southeast and far eastern Oklahoma as well as western
Arkansas tonight as an area of low pressure lifts over the region.
Slow storm motions combined with abundant amounts of moisture
will continue a heavy rain threat that could lead to flash
flooding through tonight. A Flood Watch is in effect from
southeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas through Tuesday
morning. Severe weather is not currently anticipated.
Also overnight tonight into early Tuesday morning, there remains a
potential for patchy fog development over far northeast Oklahoma
into far northwest Arkansas. Conditions should improve by mid
morning Tuesday.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Storms will continue to focus across southeast Oklahoma and
western Arkansas Tuesday before dissipating Tuesday evening. A
weak front will bring low chances for storms closer to the Kansas
and Missouri borders Thursday. Storm chances will dwindle by the
end of the week as ridging builds in aloft. As this occurs
temperatures will climb, with afternoon heat indices 100 to 105
each day over the weekend and into next week.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
633 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-152345-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
633 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight
Isolated storms are possible through 8 PM across far southeast
Kansas. The main concerns include wind gusts up to 50 mph and heavy
rain.
Patchy fog is possible across southeast Kansas late tonight into
early Tuesday morning.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
Thunderstorm chances will return from Wednesday night through
Saturday. A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible
through the period along with locally heavy rain.
Heat indices approaching 100 degrees are expected across central
and south central Kansas on Tuesday and then again areawide on
Wednesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
401 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-152115-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
401 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Limited lightning risk.
Limited excessive rainfall risk
DISCUSSION...
20-45% chance of scattered pop-up showers and thunderstorms along
and south of I-44 this afternoon and evening. Most will stay dry,
and any thunderstorms that form today are expected to remain sub-
severe.
The only hazards associated with these storms would be briefly
gusty winds to 30 mph with downbursts or outflow boundaries,
lightning, and brief downpours. Localized rainfall rates between 1
and 1.5 inches per hour could cause ponding and nuisance flooding
in low-lying areas with poor drainage and urban areas that are
prone to flooding.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Daily pop-up thunderstorm chances will occur through the week.
Rainfall accumulations will generally stay under 0.25" and most
of this activity will stay sub-severe.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Camden
