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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
416 AM MDT Sat Oct 24 2020

NMZ201>241-251100-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-
Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-
Upper Tularosa Valley-South Central Mountains-
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
416 AM MDT Sat Oct 24 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong gusty winds will impact the Sangre de Cristo Mountains into
the northeast highlands this afternoon. Hazardous crosswinds could
impact portions of Interstate 25.

Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are forecast over the
northern and northeast parts of New Mexico. Outdoor burning is not
recommended during this time. Ongoing and/or new wildfires will be
able to spread rapidly under these conditions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A significant winter storm will impact northern and central New
Mexico Sunday evening through at least Tuesday night. Expect the
first hard freeze of the season over the eastern plains on Sunday
night, expanding to include western and central New Mexico Monday
night. Meanwhile, an extended period of winter precipitation over
much of the region in the form of widespread snow, brief sleet and
freezing rain can be expected. A flash freeze situation may evolve
across eastern New Mexico on Sunday as an arctic air mass spreads
over warm ground conditions, enhancing the hazardous travel risks.
Below canyon winds may develop within the Rio Grande Valley Sunday
night through Monday, creating strong crosswinds. There is also a
threat for isolated power outages as well as hazardous wind chills
with this winter storm.

There is still uncertainty on when this storm system will exit the
area. A slower progression may support an extended period of winter
weather across eastern New Mexico into Wednesday or Wednesday night.
Persons in the region should stay tuned to the latest forecasts and
statements from the National Weather Service.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Contact your local law enforcement at 911 and the National Weather
Service at 1.888.386.7637 to report wildfire outbreaks.

Spotter activation may be required Sunday night through Tuesday to
report winter precipitation accumulations and weather impacts.

$$

DPorter

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
604 AM MDT Sat Oct 24 2020

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-251215-
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-
Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes-
Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-
Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa-
Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
604 AM MDT Sat Oct 24 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Breezy to low end windy conditions expected on Sunday with near
Red Flag conditions. Isolated showers possible on Monday as our
upper level system and cold front approach. By Monday night, rain,
and higher elevation snows, break out and continue through Tuesday
night. Wintry weather with a general 2-4" of snow possible across
the Black Range and higher elevations of the Gila, with 3-6"
across the Sacramento mountains. Lowland locations may see some
rain and snow mix, especially northern areas across Sierra county
where a few inches may fall. In addition to the wet/white weather,
breezy to gusty east winds expected Monday night, especially
along west facing slopes. Precipitation likely ends early on
Wednesday with chilly high temperatures. A warming trend will
develop and continue through the end of the week with dry
conditions.

This scenario is still highly dependent on the track and exact
location of the upper level system (in addition to exact
temperature profiles across the lowlands), which is why snowfall
amounts are not the highest of confidence at this time.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
419 AM MDT Sat Oct 24 2020

COZ058>089-093>099-251030-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
419 AM MDT Sat Oct 24 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Critical fire weather conditions are expected over the San Luis
Valley, the Wet Mountain Valley, Fremont and Teller Counties, as
well as the I-25 corridor. Gusty winds and dry conditions accompany
the critical fire weather conditions. A cold front will pass
overhead late this evening, bringing gusty winds over the plains.
Light snow will begin to fall over the Continental Divide during the
overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A winter storm will impact the region Sunday into Tuesday morning.
There is very high confidence that this system will bring very
cold air into the region, and temperatures are expected to be 30
to 40 degrees below normal for this time of the year, especially
on Monday. Snow is near certain for most of the area, but how much
snow we will get still needs to be determined. In either case,
snow packed and icy roadways will be possible starting Sunday and
lasting into Tuesday. Monday mornings commute will likely be
difficult due to the snow packed roadways and very cold air.

For the San Luis Valley region and the San Juan mountain areas,
the brunt of the cold air and snow will arrive late Sunday or
Sunday night and last into early Tuesday. Significant accumulating
snow is possible for these regions, especially the western
sections of the San Luis Valley and eastern slopes of the San Juan
mountains.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
possible this tonight over the Continental Divide.

$$

SKELLY/Hodanish

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
453 AM CDT Sat Oct 24 2020

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-242100-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
453 AM CDT Sat Oct 24 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Below freezing temperatures will continue across the Oklahoma and
Texas Panhandles this morning. A Freeze Warning remains in effect
for the eastern Oklahoma Panhandle and all of the Texas Panhandle
until 9 AM this morning.

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected to develop this
afternoon into early this evening across the western Texas
Panhandle due to southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with higher gusts
along with minimum relative humidity values of 18 to 25 percent.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

A wintry mix of precipitation is possible at times across the
Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles Sunday night through Wednesday
night. The exact precipitation type, accumulations and impacts
remain uncertain at this time. Winter weather headlines may
become necessary during parts of this time period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

Area fire managers and emergency officials in the western Texas
Panhandle should be alert for elevated fire weather conditions
this afternoon into early this evening.

$$

02

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
312 AM MDT Sat Oct 24 2020

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-251300-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-
Upper Gunnison River Valley-Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-
Northwest San Juan Mountains-Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
312 AM MDT Sat Oct 24 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for eastern Utah and western
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Snow showers will develop over the northern mountains and valleys
late this evening as a strong, cold and slow system moves into the
region. Travel could be impacted over mountain passes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Widespread valley rain/snow mixes and mountain snow will continue
on Sunday with shower activity favoring the central and southern
mountains on Monday. Travel will be impacted over mountain passes
and may be challenging in some valleys. Bitterly cold temperatures
will move into the area with this system with widespread sub-
freezing temperature expected from Sunday night onwards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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