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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
253 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-170700-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
253 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms this afternoon and
tonight...with strong gusty winds the primary hazard.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
253 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

NYZ001>003-170700-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-
253 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms and excessive
rainfall this afternoon and evening...with strong gusty winds and
localized heavy rainfall the primary hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
253 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

NYZ004-005-013-014-170700-
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-
253 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms and excessive
rainfall this afternoon and evening...with strong gusty winds and
localized heavy rainfall the primary hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There is a marginal risk for excessive rainfall Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
253 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

NYZ006-007-170700-
Oswego-Jefferson-
253 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms and excessive
rainfall late today and tonight...with strong gusty winds and
localized heavy rainfall the primary hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms and excessive
rainfall Thursday...with strong gusty winds and localized heavy
rainfall the primary hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
253 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

NYZ008-170700-
Lewis-
253 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms and excessive
rainfall late today and tonight...with strong gusty winds and
localized heavy rainfall the primary hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms and excessive
rainfall Thursday...with strong gusty winds and localized heavy
rainfall the primary hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
253 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

NYZ010-011-170700-
Northern Erie-Genesee-
253 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms and excessive
rainfall this afternoon and evening...with strong gusty winds and
localized heavy rainfall the primary hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
253 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

NYZ012-019>021-085-170700-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
253 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms and excessive
rainfall this afternoon and evening...with strong gusty winds and
localized heavy rainfall the primary hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There is a marginal risk for excessive rainfall Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
253 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

SLZ022-024-170700-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
253 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the
Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms late today and
tonight...with strong gusty winds the primary hazard.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms Thursday...with
strong gusty winds the primary hazard.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

$$

JJR

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
930 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-161200-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
930 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely on Wednesday. A few
thunderstorms may produce strong wind gusts Wednesday afternoon and
evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
930 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

OHZ009>014-019>023-028>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-161200-
Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Huron-Medina-
Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-
Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-
Southern Erie-
930 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday. Heavy
rainfall is expected to accompany thunderstorms, which may lead to
isolated flash flooding, especially during the afternoon and
evening. A few thunderstorms may produce isolated damaging wind
gusts Wednesday afternoon and evening.

There is a moderate swim risk for the beaches of Lake Erie on
Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
132 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NYZ009-022-044>046-057-062-161745-
Northern Oneida-Steuben-Cortland-Chenango-Otsego-Delaware-Sullivan-
132 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
132 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NYZ015>018-023>025-036-037-055-056-161745-
Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-
Madison-Southern Oneida-Tioga-Broome-
132 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
132 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-161745-
Bradford-Susquehanna-Northern Wayne-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-
Southern Wayne-
132 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The combination of heat and humidity can lead to heat indices
reaching into the 90s Wednesday and Thursday, especially in valley
locations and urban areas. There will also be the potential for
additional showers and thunderstorms bringing locally heavy rainfall
with isolated flash flooding possible Wednesday into Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. Please relay
any information about severe weather to the NWS.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Burlington VT
122 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NYZ029>031-034-VTZ003-004-006>008-010-011-016>021-161730-
Southeastern St. Lawrence-Southern Franklin-Western Clinton-
Western Essex-Orleans-Essex-Lamoille-Caledonia-Washington-Orange-
Western Rutland-Eastern Franklin-Eastern Chittenden-Eastern Addison-
Eastern Rutland-Western Windsor-Eastern Windsor-
122 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern New York, central
Vermont, northeast Vermont, northwest Vermont and southern Vermont.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Air Quality Alerts are in effect across much of the region,
excluding Rutland and Windsor Counties in south central Vermont,
until midnight tonight. Sensitive groups should take appropriate
precautions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Heat and humidity will peak Wednesday and Thursday, with heat index
values reaching into the low 90s. Please follow heat safety
precautions, especially if you have to be outdoors.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Burlington VT
122 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NYZ026>028-035-087-VTZ001-002-005-009-161730-
Northern St. Lawrence-Northern Franklin-Eastern Clinton-
Eastern Essex-Southwestern St. Lawrence-Grand Isle-Western Franklin-
Western Chittenden-Western Addison-
122 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern New York, central
Vermont and northwest Vermont.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Air Quality Alerts are in effect across much of the region,
excluding Rutland and Windsor Counties in south central Vermont,
until midnight tonight. Sensitive groups should take appropriate
precautions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Heat and humidity will peak Wednesday and Thursday, with heat index
values reaching into the low to mid 90s. A Heat Advisory is in
effect from noon to 8 PM Wednesday. Please follow heat safety
precautions, especially if you have to be outdoors.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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