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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
315 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-170815-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
315 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019 /215 AM MDT Tue Jul 16 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

There will be a chance for rain showers and possibly even a few
isolated thunderstorms early this morning. Wind gusts up to 40 mph
and lightning will be the main hazards this morning.

Highs today will be around 100 degrees and the afternoon heat
index will range from 98 to around 103 between 1 and 6 pm.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Excessive heat: Elevated risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

There will be a slight chance for thunderstorms Wednesday night.
The main hazards from these storms will wind gusts of 45 to 55
mph and lightning.

The high temperatures Wednesday through Saturday will range from
100 to 104. The afternoon heat index each day late week will range
from 100 to around 104 degrees.

Fire Risk levels will be on the increase Thursday and Friday west
of highway 83.


Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Elevated risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Excessive heat: Elevated risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Excessive heat: Significant risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Significant risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Elevated risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
854 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-170200-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
854 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

A Heat Advisory is in effect for Palo Duro Canyon this afternoon
with an expected high temperature of 105 degrees.

An isolated thunderstorm is possible this morning across the
northeastern Panhandles and this evening across the far western
Panhandles. Thunderstorms are not expected to reach severe
limits.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms are possible Wednesday, Saturday, Sunday, and
Monday. Chances for thunderstorms reaching severe limits remain
low at this time.

A heat advisory maybe needed for Palo Duro Canyon as high
temperatures on Thursday and Friday will be very warm around 105
to 106 degrees.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
852 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-171400-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
852 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Heat indices from 100 to 103 are likely across nearly all of
central and south central Kansas this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

The heat will become increasingly dangerous from Wednesday through
late Saturday afternoon. An Excessive Heat Watch remains in effect
for all areas from around noon Wednesday until early Saturday
evening, and should be referred to for further details.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
551 AM MDT Tue Jul 16 2019

COZ058>089-093>099-171200-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
551 AM MDT Tue Jul 16 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop over the mountains
around noon, with thunderstorms spreading off into the adjacent
plains during the afternoon and evening.  The main risks with
thunderstorms today will be locally heavy rainfall, erratic wind
gusts up to 50 mph, and dangerous cloud to ground lightning. Some
brief small hail will be possible across the localized stronger
storms. While drier air will reduce the threat for flash flooding on
the Junkins, Hayden Pass and Spring burn scars today, there is still
a low end risk for flash flooding should a stronger storm impact one
of these areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms capable of
producing gusty winds, lightning and brief periods of heavy rain
is expected from Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday evening.

Then, basically dry conditions in combination with very warm to
hot temperatures as well as near critical to localized critical
fire weather conditions are expected Thursday and Friday.

Increased atmospheric moisture levels will then allow for higher
chances of showers and thunderstorms from later Saturday into
Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
possible across south central and southeast Colorado this afternoon
and evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
513 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
171015-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
513 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

There is a small chance for lingering thunderstorms this morning
in central Nebraska. This activity is not expected to be strong or
severe.

Tonight there is another chance for showers and thunderstorms
mainly along and north of I-80. Some of these storms could have
hail to the size of quarters and damaging winds to 60 mph.

Heat index values will hover around 100 across much of the area.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The primary weather hazard this week will be a multiple-day
stretch of very hot weather, especially Wednesday through Friday,
and an Excessive Heat Watch is in effect for the entire outlook
area. Please refer to the latest watch message for additional
information.

There is a chance for showers and thunderstorms to develop along a
front Wednesday afternoon and evening. Some of this activity could
be strong to severe and much of the area is in a Day 2 Marginal
Risk.

There is another chance for thunderstorms Saturday night and
Sunday as a front moves through the area. There is uncertainty on
the timing and location during this time period, stay tuned to the
forecast.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation should not be needed through tonight on a
widespread basis, but any reports of possible strong thunderstorm
winds or hail tonight would be appreciated.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

$$

Billings Wright

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
350 AM MDT Tue Jul 16 2019

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-171200-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
350 AM MDT Tue Jul 16 2019 /450 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible west of a line from
near Trenton to Colby and Tribune from late this afternoon through
mid evening. The primary threat will be wind gusts to 55 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

There is a marginal threat of severe thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon
and evening along and east of a line from Stratton Nebraska to
Goodland Kansas and Towner Colorado. The primary threat will be wind
gusts in excess of 60 mph. This may also create some blowing dust and
reduced visibilities.

Hot temperatures in the upper 90s to around 105 degrees are expected
Wednesday through Friday. Heat index values of 102 to 107 degrees
are expected generally east of a line from near Trenton to Colby and
Russell Springs. Be mindful of the heat as heat exhaustion may set
in quickly.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
432 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-170945-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
432 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible this morning across
far northwest Oklahoma. Severe weather is not expected with this
activity.

Isolated thunderstorms will also be possible this afternoon
across parts of southeastern Oklahoma. A strong storm, capable of
producing marginally severe hail and strong wind gusts will be
possible.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

.Heat...
Heat index values are expected to range from 100 to 105 degrees
across much of the area from Wednesday through Sunday.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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