Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
346 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-160900-
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson-
Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson-
Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-
Warren-Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
346 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east
central Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast
Missouri.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
Very warm and humid conditions are expected today, with afternoon
heat index readings in the middle 90s.
Some area rivers are experiencing flooding. Please see the latest
Flood Statements and Flood Warnings for details.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
Very warm and humid conditions are expected Wednesday, with
afternoon heat index values in the upper 90s and low 100s.
There is a Slight (level 2 out of 5) Risk for severe storms
Wednesday afternoon and evening along and east of a line from
Dubuque to Tipton. Damaging winds, heavy rain, and a low risk for
tornadoes will be the primary threats.
There will be periodic chances of thunderstorms Thursday through
Sunday. It is too soon to determine the threat for severe weather.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight.
$$
GROSS
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
506 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-161015-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler-
Mason-Logan-De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Cass-Menard-Scott-
Morgan-Sangamon-Christian-Macon-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
506 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois, east
central Illinois, southeast Illinois and west central Illinois.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will develop this afternoon, with
locally heavy rainfall and damaging wind gusts possible along with
cloud to ground lightning strikes.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Hot and humid conditions will push heat index values around 100
degrees Wednesday afternoon.
Scattered thunderstorms are expected Wednesday afternoon through
Thursday evening, and again Saturday through Sunday, with locally
heavy rainfall possible along with cloud to ground lightning strikes.
There is a marginal risk of severe storms late Wednesday afternoon
and evening. Damaging winds appear to be the primary hazard at this
point in time, though a brief tornado cannot be ruled out.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.
$$
MJA
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0506 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-161006-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0506 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Several chances for storms Wednesday:
- Early morning storms possible for NW MO & NE KS.
- Afternoon storms possible, mainly north of the MO River. This
round heavily dependent on how morning activity evolves.
* Hot and humid Wednesday with heat index values of 100-105, mainly
south of Highway 36.
- Extent of high heat dependent on how storms evolve earlier in
the day.
* Several additional rounds of storms possible from Wednesday night
into Thursday afternoon.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville IL
426 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
ILZ003>006-008-010>013-019>021-023-032-033-039-103>108-INZ001-002-
010-011-019-160930-
Winnebago-Boone-McHenry-Lake IL-Ogle-Lee-De Kalb-Kane-DuPage-
La Salle-Kendall-Grundy-Kankakee-Livingston-Iroquois-Ford-
Northern Cook-Central Cook-Southern Cook-Northern Will-
Southern Will-Eastern Will-Lake IN-Porter-Newton-Jasper-Benton-
426 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /526 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northeast Illinois and northwest Indiana.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Limited Thunderstorm Risk south of I-80.
DISCUSSION...
Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into
early this evening. Where there is a slight chance of
thunderstorms as far north as I-80, the greatest coverage of
storms will likely be near and south of Highway 24.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Wednesday afternoon and evening...
Elevated Thunderstorm Risk...with an associated:
Level 2 of 5 Severe Thunderstorm Risk.
Elevated Flooding Risk.
Limited Excessive Heat Risk.
Thursday...
Limited Thunderstorm Risk south of I-80.
Limited Flooding Risk well south of I-80.
Saturday...
Elevated Flooding Risk.
Limited Thunderstorm Risk.
Sunday and Monday...
Limited Thunderstorm Risk.
DISCUSSION...
Peak heat indices Wednesday afternoon are expected to be around
100 degrees.
Thunderstorms are likely Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday
evening, mainly across northern Illinois. There is the threat that
some of the storms could become severe, posing a risk of locally
damaging winds. In addition, thunderstorms will be capable of
producing torrential downpours which could lead localized flash
flooding.
There will be periodic bouts of showers and thunderstorms
Saturday through Monday. Any one of which could produce very heavy
rainfall and flooding.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be necessary through tonight.
GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:
Moving toward the northwest at around 20 mph.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
404 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-160915-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
404 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight
Scattered thunderstorms are possible late tonight into Wednesday
over western Iowa. A few storms could become strong to severe at
times, with damaging winds and locally heavy rain the main
threats.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday
Additional showers and storms are expected at times Wednesday into
Thursday and again Friday into the weekend. Isolated strong to
severe storms are possible at times with this activity Wednesday
into Thursday. More details are expected to be known in the coming
days.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not needed at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
310 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061-161215-
Mitchell-Howard-Winneshiek-Allamakee-Floyd-Chickasaw-Fayette-
Clayton-Wabasha-Dodge-Olmsted-Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Houston-
Taylor-Clark-Buffalo-Trempealeau-Jackson-La Crosse-Monroe-Juneau-
Adams-Vernon-Crawford-Richland-Grant-
310 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Minnesota...northeast Iowa and southwest into central Wisconsin.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Thunderstorms will be possible late tonight, primarily for
portions of both southeast Minnesota and west central Wisconsin. A
stronger storm cannot be ruled out.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday
Thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday and few of these could
be strong to severe. Heavy rainfall could lead to localized
flooding on Wednesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
No action needed.
.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...
No webinar is scheduled.
$$
Cecava
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
250 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-160800-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
250 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon. Locally heavy
rainfall is possible.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Thunderstorms are possible every day, mainly during the afternoon.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Kimble
