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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
457 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-201000-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
457 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms will occur throughout the day today, starting
over NW Missouri and slowly progressing south into the KC Metro area
by the afternoon. Some storms could be strong with large hail and
gusty winds possible. The main threat from these storms will be
localized flooding due to torrential rainfall potential these storms
will have with rainfall rates reaching 1 to 2 inches per hour
possible. A line of storms over the KC Metro area in the afternoon
could pose a potential flash flooding hazard if storms stall over the
city for a couple hours so caution will need to be taken if this
occurs as localized flooding is likely. The storms will start to
dissipate in the KC Metro around sunset but new storms look to
develop over NW Missouri continuing the trend of scattered storms
overnight in that region.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A cold front and low pressure system is expected to push through the
area Wednesday through Friday providing multiple rounds of
precipitation as it passes. Wednesday will have the best chances for
thunderstorms along the cold front, some could be strong with large
hail and heavy rain being the main threats. Prolonged light to
moderate rain looks to occur over northern Missouri Thursday through
Friday which could lead to some localized flooding and even potential
river flooding towards the Saturday timeframe. The system should move
out of the area by Saturday leading to a relatively dry Saturday
afternoon before another round of storms push through Saturday night
into Sunday morning.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
814 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

IAZ023>028-033>039-044>050-057-058-061-062-070>075-081>086-
092>097-201315-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Jasper-Poweshiek-Cass-
Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-Clarke-Lucas-
Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-Appanoose-Davis-
814 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight

Periodic thunderstorms are expected today into this evening, with
thunderstorms becoming more widespread late tonight. There is a
threat of heavy rainfall and an isolated severe thunderstorm.
Damaging winds gusts will be the main severe threat in addition to
the possibility of flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Periodic thunderstorms are forecast Tuesday through Friday.
Although the severe weather potential is low, a few isolated
strong to severe storms cannot be ruled out at times with the
threat of large hail and damaging wind. The primary concern is
heavy rain this week as significant rainfall totals are possible
through the period, leading to the potential for river flooding
as well as flash flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters might be needed at times this week.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
557 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-201100-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
557 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Heat indices near 100 are forecast along and north of Interstate 70
for this afternoon.

Thunderstorms will become likely this afternoon and during the
overnight. There is a chance for severe thunderstorms in Central
Kansas with half dollar sized hail and 70mph winds this afternoon
and the early this evening. During the overnight hours, the severe
threat will diminish but strong storms are still likely region wide.
Small hail, and 50 mph winds can be expected with the strongest
storms. Very heavy rain is also possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorms activity will abate some Wednesday but, thunderstorms
will again become possible Wednesday night through Monday. Some
storms could be strong with small hail and gusty winds. Heavy rain
will also be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

ELM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
437 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-200000-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
437 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A dangerous combination of heat and humidity will persist today
across central and eastern Missouri as well as southwest
Illinois. A Heat Advisory and an Excessive Heat Warning remain in
effect through early evening for these areas.

A few strong to severe thunderstorms are possible today across
northeast Missouri and west central Illinois. The primary threats
are hail, damaging wind gusts, and locally heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

There is a chance of thunderstorms across the area from Wednesday
through Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and this evening
across parts of northeast Missouri and west central Illinois.

$$

Kanofsky

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
429 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-192330-
Monona-Harrison-Shelby-Pottawattamie-Mills-Montgomery-Fremont-
Page-Knox-Cedar-Thurston-Antelope-Pierce-Wayne-Boone-Madison-
Stanton-Cuming-Burt-Platte-Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-
Saunders-Douglas-Sarpy-Seward-Lancaster-Cass-Otoe-Saline-
Jefferson-Gage-Johnson-Nemaha-Pawnee-Richardson-
429 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest
Iowa...west central Iowa...east central Nebraska...northeast
Nebraska and southeast Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected
over portions of eastern Nebraska and southwest Iowa this morning
and again this afternoon and tonight. Locally heavy rain, damaging
winds, and lightning will be the primary hazards. An isolated
tornado and some hail cannot be ruled out though due to the very
unstable conditions developing this afternoon.

The storms this morning and this afternoon should mostly be over
southeast Nebraska and southwest iowa with additional storms
developing after 4pm and tonight over a larger area of eastern
nebraska and western Iowa.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorm chances will remain in the forecast Wednesday and
Thursday. Periods of heavy rain are possible. Thunderstorm chances
return to part of the area Saturday and Saturday nigh and last
into early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Storm spotter activation may be needed for parts of the area on
in southeast Nebraska and possibly southwest Iowa this afternoon
and tonight.

$$

Zapotocny

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
425 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-201000-
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson-
Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson-
Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-
Warren-Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
425 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east
central Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to occasionally move across
the Outlook area today and into tonight. The coverage is expected
to be higher along and south of Interstate 80 by this afternoon
and evening. A few storms may become strong to severe with
damaging winds the primary threat. The Storm Prediction Center has
placed areas along and south of the Highway 20 corridor in a
marginal risk for severe weather today.

A more widespread threat will be from very heavy rainfall and
possible flash flooding where the thunderstorms occur repeatedly.
Again, areas more favored for this potential appear to along and
south of the Interstate 80 corridor this afternoon and evening.
The highway 20 corridor which received very heavy rainfall last
night especially in northwestern Illinois, is more prone to flash
flooding should widespread heavy rain-producing thunderstorms can
move across these areas again. But currently only isolated to
widely scattered storms are expect across these northern areas
today and tonight.

Although not quite reaching heat advisory criteria, some areas
south of the Interstate 80 corridor may have heat index readings
in the mid to upper 90s before storms hit and cool things down
later in the afternoon.

Area rivers are experiencing flooding. Please see the latest
Flood Statements and Flood Warnings for details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

Expect periods of thunderstorms from Wednesday through Friday. The
severe weather risk is low, but additional rounds of moderate to
heavy rainfall may lead to flooding problems.

Flooding is expected to continue on some tributary rivers.
Rounds of heavy rainfall may also cause additional river sites to
rise later this week. Please see the latest Flood Statements and
Flood Warnings for details.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

There is a low chance that spotter activation will be needed today
and tonight. Any reports flooding or high water would be
appreciated.

$$

12/RP Kinney

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
353 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-200900-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
353 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central...north
central and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible this morning through late tonight,
though the greater chances will be from the middle of the
afternoon onward. There is some potential for severe thunderstorms
mainly this afternoon and this evening, with the primary hazard
being damaging wind gusts. Locally heavy rainfall is also possible
which could result in flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

A few severe storms are possible Wednesday afternoon and evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at...
http://www.weather.gov/top/sitrep

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
339 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-200845-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
339 AM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited excessive heat risk.

DISCUSSION...

Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the
entire area today with the greatest chances north of Interstate
44 closer to central Missouri. While cloud to ground lightning is
the main threat, an isolated strong storm with winds up to 50 mph
can not be ruled out.

Heat indicies will reach the middle to upper 90s across southeast
Kansas into central Missouri Today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Higher chances for showers and storms and the potential for
severe weather will occur on Wednesday. Large hail, damaging wind
gusts and cloud to ground lightning will be the primary risks
with the most intense storms Wednesday and Wednesday night.

Additional thunderstorms will then occur at times from Thursday
into next weekend as an active weather pattern develops.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Burchfield

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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