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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
604 AM MDT Sat Oct 24 2020

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-251215-
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-
Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes-
Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-
Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa-
Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
604 AM MDT Sat Oct 24 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Breezy to low end windy conditions expected on Sunday with near
Red Flag conditions. Isolated showers possible on Monday as our
upper level system and cold front approach. By Monday night, rain,
and higher elevation snows, break out and continue through Tuesday
night. Wintry weather with a general 2-4" of snow possible across
the Black Range and higher elevations of the Gila, with 3-6"
across the Sacramento mountains. Lowland locations may see some
rain and snow mix, especially northern areas across Sierra county
where a few inches may fall. In addition to the wet/white weather,
breezy to gusty east winds expected Monday night, especially
along west facing slopes. Precipitation likely ends early on
Wednesday with chilly high temperatures. A warming trend will
develop and continue through the end of the week with dry
conditions.

This scenario is still highly dependent on the track and exact
location of the upper level system (in addition to exact
temperature profiles across the lowlands), which is why snowfall
amounts are not the highest of confidence at this time.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
416 AM MDT Sat Oct 24 2020

NMZ201>241-251100-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-
Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-
Upper Tularosa Valley-South Central Mountains-
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
416 AM MDT Sat Oct 24 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong gusty winds will impact the Sangre de Cristo Mountains into
the northeast highlands this afternoon. Hazardous crosswinds could
impact portions of Interstate 25.

Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are forecast over the
northern and northeast parts of New Mexico. Outdoor burning is not
recommended during this time. Ongoing and/or new wildfires will be
able to spread rapidly under these conditions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A significant winter storm will impact northern and central New
Mexico Sunday evening through at least Tuesday night. Expect the
first hard freeze of the season over the eastern plains on Sunday
night, expanding to include western and central New Mexico Monday
night. Meanwhile, an extended period of winter precipitation over
much of the region in the form of widespread snow, brief sleet and
freezing rain can be expected. A flash freeze situation may evolve
across eastern New Mexico on Sunday as an arctic air mass spreads
over warm ground conditions, enhancing the hazardous travel risks.
Below canyon winds may develop within the Rio Grande Valley Sunday
night through Monday, creating strong crosswinds. There is also a
threat for isolated power outages as well as hazardous wind chills
with this winter storm.

There is still uncertainty on when this storm system will exit the
area. A slower progression may support an extended period of winter
weather across eastern New Mexico into Wednesday or Wednesday night.
Persons in the region should stay tuned to the latest forecasts and
statements from the National Weather Service.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Contact your local law enforcement at 911 and the National Weather
Service at 1.888.386.7637 to report wildfire outbreaks.

Spotter activation may be required Sunday night through Tuesday to
report winter precipitation accumulations and weather impacts.

$$

DPorter

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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