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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1145 AM MDT Thu Aug 13 2020

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-141745-
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-
Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes-
Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-
Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa-
Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
1145 AM MDT Thu Aug 13 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Record heat continues to be the big story. Just enough moisture
exists for a few thunderstorms to develop mainly over higher
terrain and adjacent lowlands, with outflows possibly spawning a
storm or two over more distant lowlands such as the El Paso metro
(mainly evening hours). The latter is quite random under the
current scenario.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
Friday...Similar to today. Record heat with a few afternoon storms
over higher terrain and random storms here and there over the
lowlands during the evening.

Saturday through Wednesday...A "cooling" trend with a slight
increase in thunderstorm coverage is in store. The upper high
responsible for our current record heat by this time will have
drifted west and northwest, and temperatures will decrease to a
little above normal (meaning still hot, just not at record
levels). Moisture will increase a little as well. What will need
to be watched for is any upper impulses within the northerly flow
as well as weak backdoor fronts. These could bring an uptick in
storms, making it more like a normal August for a few days? We can
only hope.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Fausett

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
221 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2020

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-141930-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
221 PM CDT Thu Aug 13 2020 /121 PM MDT Thu Aug 13 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected through early this evening
across parts of the West Texas Trans Pecos, the central and southern
Permian Basin, and Stockton Plateau.

Thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening, mainly over
southeast New Mexico and the Guadalupe Mountains. Any storms that do
develop may be accompanied by frequent lightning, small hail, gusty
winds, and brief, heavy rainfall.

A Heat Advisory is in effect this afternoon and early evening for
much of West texas and most of southeast New Mexico.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

A Heat Advisory is in effect for Friday afternoon and early evening
for much of West Texas and most of southeast New Mexico.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines.

$$
This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
301 AM MDT Thu Aug 13 2020

NMZ201>241-141100-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-
Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-
Upper Tularosa Valley-South Central Mountains-
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
301 AM MDT Thu Aug 13 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Hot temperatures are in store today with near to record breaking heat
across much of central and eastern NM. A Heat Advisory is in effect
for the Chaves County Plains and Roosevelt County from 1 PM to 8 PM
MDT. Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will be possible for
the northern mountains as well as areas south of I-40. However, these
thunderstorms will remain dry with gusty, erratic winds most likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The hot temperatures will continue through Saturday with dry
thunderstorms possible for the high terrain areas. A slight cooldown
arrives on Sunday, and storm chances will trend upward for the east
through the middle of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

15

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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