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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1000 PM CDT Fri May 24 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1000 PM CDT Fri May 24 2019


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Mainly Northwest of Interstate 44.
ONSET...Ongoing.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

Greatest Area of Concern...Northwest Of A Line From Bristow To Nowata.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms are expected to continue to spread across Northeast
Oklahoma and into parts of Northwest Arkansas tonight. The
greater thunderstorm potentials are forecast along and northwest
of a line from Okemah to Miami. Overall severe potentials are
forecast to be limited overnight...though an isolated severe
potential will remain possible with locally damaging winds being
the main threat over Northeast Oklahoma.

Heavy rainfall will also be main concern with thunderstorms
through tonight. Additional rainfall amounts locally reaching up
around 2 inches and greater may be possible which will likely
lead to flash flooding and excessive runoff on already saturated
grounds. The areas of greater concern are forecast along and
northwest of a line from Bristow to Nowata in Northeast Oklahoma.
A flash flood watch is in effect for most locations along and
northwest of Interstate 44.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy
  Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances will remain possible across Northeast
Oklahoma into far Northwest Arkansas through the weekend as a
series of upper level impulses move over the region.
Again...additional rainfall would likely continue flash flooding
concerns as well as the expected long duration mainstem river
flooding. Additional thunderstorm chances are forecast to increase
Tuesday into Wednesday as a low pressure system lifts northeast
through the Plains. Severe weather and also heavy rainfall will
be possible with this system.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
837 PM CDT Fri May 24 2019

TXZ021>044-251345-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
837 PM CDT Fri May 24 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Isolated to scattered severe storms will remain possible through
the late evening hours over much of the South Plains and Rolling
Plains. Torrential rainfall and hail to golf ball size will be
possible with the strongest storms. A Flood Watch remains in
effect for the southeast Texas Panhandle and most of the South
Plains and Rolling Plains through 7 am Saturday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Daily chances for severe storms are expected Saturday through
Monday as an active pattern continues across much of the region.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
327 PM CDT Fri May 24 2019

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-251100-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
327 PM CDT Fri May 24 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
There is a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms this afternoon and
evening.

Location...
The slight risk for severe thunderstorms is generally along and
northwest of Interstate 44. More numerous thunderstorms are
expected across western and northern Oklahoma, especially during
the afternoon and evening hours.


Timing...
through midnight.

Impacts...
Up to golf ball size hail.
60 to 70 mph winds.
Very low tornado risk.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...
Storm spotter groups and emergency management personnel should
prepare for severe weather operations this afternoon and evening.

.Heavy Rainfall and Flooding...
Additional rainfall may cause flooding due to saturated soils
across the region and any residual flooding ongoing from rainfall
earlier this week. The highest risk for flooding is across
northern Oklahoma.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

.Thunderstorms...
There is a risk for severe thunderstorms on Saturday, Sunday and
Tuesday. On Saturday, the greatest risk for severe thunderstorms
is across northwest Oklahoma. On Sunday, the greatest risk is
across western Oklahoma and adjacent parts of north Texas. The
risk for severe weather will be across much of the area on
Tuesday.

.Heavy Rainfall and Flooding...
Flooding will be a continued risk with any additional rainfall
through at least Tuesday of next week.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
230 PM CDT Fri May 24 2019

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-251930-
Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho-
Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford-
Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble-
Mason-
230 PM CDT Fri May 24 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon and evening across
northern and western areas. A few storms may be severe along and
west of a Throckmorton to Abilene to Mertzon to Ozona line. The
main hazards will be large hail, damaging winds and cloud to
ground lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Thunderstorm chances will continue through the weekend and into
next week across West Central Texas. However, it appears that the
risk of widespread severe weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be requested this afternoon and evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1203 PM CDT Fri May 24 2019

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-251715-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1203 PM CDT Fri May 24 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

No hazardous weather is expected through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage on Tuesday
as a cold front slowly moves southeast towards the area. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms will persist through Thursday as the
front becomes nearly stationary over the ArkLaTex.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters will not be needed through tonight.

$$

07

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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