Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
104 PM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-051030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
104 PM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northwest Of Interstate 44 in Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...West of Highway 75 and South of U.S. Highway 412 in
   Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
South to southeast winds gusting 20 to 25 mph this afternoon will
continue this afternoon over northeast Oklahoma as temperatures
climb well above average for this time of year. The warm and
breezy conditions are more supportive of limited grassland fire
spread, especially in parts of northeast Oklahoma to the west of
Highway 75 and south of Highway 412 where it has been a month
since appreciable rainfall has fallen. Fire weather concerns
should improve this evening as humidity level begin to recover and
winds weaken.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Warm and breezy conditions are expected again on Sunday afternoon,
especially to the west of Tulsa. These conditions will raise fire
weather concerns, especially west of Highway 75 and south of
Highway 412.

Isolated afternoon pop-up thunderstorms are forecast Monday
afternoon, primarily over far eastern Oklahoma into western
Arkansas. A frontal boundary will bring low chances for rain
showers to northeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas Monday night.
Shower and thunderstorm chances continue Tuesday with the greater
potential over southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas before the
boundary exits Tuesday evening. Severe weather is not expected,
but gusty winds and locally heavy downpours will accompany storms
that develop.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$