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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
547 AM MDT Tue Aug 21 2018

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-221200-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-
Upper Gunnison River Valley-Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-
Northwest San Juan Mountains-Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
547 AM MDT Tue Aug 21 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for eastern Utah and western
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms will be common across the entire
forecast area today as monsoonal moisture has returned. Some of
the convection will be heavy. A flash flood watch has been issued
for the burn scars across the area as low amounts of rainfall can
create flash flooding, mud slides, and debris flows. Rainfall will
continue overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Shower and storms will continue into Wednesday bringing more
precipitation to the area. Drying conditions will kick in Thursday
and Friday before another round of showers and storms moves in for
the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
800 PM MDT Tue Aug 21 2018

WYZ106-112-114-116-117-221015-
Central Laramie Range and Southwest Platte County-
Sierra Madre Range-Snowy Range-South Laramie Range-
South Laramie Range Foothills-
800 PM MDT Tue Aug 21 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Wyoming and southeast Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

The probability for hazardous weather is low tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.Spotter information statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1126 AM MDT Tue Aug 21 2018

COZ058>089-093>099-221730-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1126 AM MDT Tue Aug 21 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorm are expected to develop over the high
terrain late this morning and continue east across the plains
during the afternoon, lasting into the evening and overnight hours
for the far southeast plains. All storms will have the potential
to produce small hail, wind gusts to 40 mph, cloud to ground
lightning, and heavy rain. Flash flooding is possible, especially
with storms moving over burn scars and urban areas. Storms across
the plains will have the potential to produce large hail up to
the size of ping pong balls, and wind gusts to 60 mph late this
afternoon and evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Scattered thunderstorms are expected Wednesday across the district.
A few marginal severe storms will be possible, capable of producing
hail up the the size of quarter and wind gusts up to 60 mph. The
best chance for the stronger storms will be along and south of
Highway 50. Over the remainder of the region, thunderstorms will be
capable of locally heavy rain, small hail and gusty winds to 45 mph.

Through the remainder of the week, thunderstorm coverage will be
more isolated, Storms will be capable of gusty winds and small hail,
along with dangerous cloud to ground lightning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
possible across all of south central and southeast Colorado this
afternoon and evening.

$$

31/31

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
1027 AM MDT Tue Aug 21 2018

COZ030>051-221630-
Jackson County Below 9000 Feet-
West Jackson and West Grand Counties Above 9000 Feet-
Grand and Summit Counties Below 9000 Feet-
South and East Jackson/Larimer/North and Northeast Grand/
Northwest Boulder Counties Above 9000 Feet-
South and Southeast Grand/West Central and Southwest Boulder/
Gilpin/Clear Creek/Summit/North and West Park Counties Above
9000 Feet-Larimer and Boulder Counties Between 6000 and 9000 Feet-
Jefferson and West Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet/Gilpin/Clear
Creek/Northeast Park Counties Below 9000 Feet-
Central and Southeast Park County-
Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-
Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield
County-
North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and
Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-
Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet-
Northeast Weld County-Central and South Weld County-Morgan County-
Central and East Adams and Arapahoe Counties-
North and Northeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/North Lincoln
County-
Southeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/South Lincoln County-
Logan County-Washington County-Sedgwick County-Phillips County-
1027 AM MDT Tue Aug 21 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for northeast and north central
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and embedded thunderstorms are expected to track across
the outlook area through tonight. Rainfall rates are expected to
be light to moderate, bringing beneficial rain to the area. Most
locations should see total rainfall amounts between one quarter
and one half inch, with around an inch expected in areas that see
embedded stronger storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

It will remain relatively cool on Wednesday with highs in the
lower to mid 70s across the urban corridor and northeast plains.
Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible in the
morning as a storm system exits to the east. It will be a little
drier in the afternoon and evening across the northeast plains.
The best chance of showers and thunderstorms at that time will be
in the mountains. It will be drier Thursday through Saturday with
just a slight chance of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over
the mountains. There will be a better chance of thunderstorms over
the mountains on Sunday and Monday but it will remain mostly dry
across the northeast plains. Thursday through Monday, temperatures across
the urban corridor and northeast plains will be at or slightly
above normal with high temperatures in the mid to upper 80s.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
358 AM MDT Tue Aug 21 2018

UTZ001>016-019>021-517-518-WYZ021-221300-
Cache Valley/Utah Portion-Northern Wasatch Front-
Salt Lake and Tooele Valleys-Southern Wasatch Front-
Great Salt Lake Desert and Mountains-Wasatch Mountain Valleys-
Wasatch Mountains I-80 North-Wasatch Mountains South of I-80-
Western Uinta Mountains-Wasatch Plateau/Book Cliffs-
Western Uinta Basin-Castle Country-San Rafael Swell-
Sanpete/Sevier Valleys-West Central Utah-Southwest Utah-
Utahs Dixie and Zion National Park-South Central Utah-
Glen Canyon Recreation Area/Lake Powell-Central Mountains-
Southern Mountains-Southwest Wyoming-
358 AM MDT Tue Aug 21 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the western two thirds of
Utah and southwest Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Widespread showers and thunderstorms will bring a risk of flash
flooding near burn scars, slick rock, slot canyons and normally
dry washes.

Smoke will continue to affect northern Utah.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Moisture remains in place Wednesday which may lead to another
round of heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

$$

For more information from NOAA/s National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For information on potential road travel impacts visit...
http://www.udottraffic.utah.gov/roadweatherforecast.aspx

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
330 AM MDT Tue Aug 21 2018

NMZ501>540-221130-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
330 AM MDT Tue Aug 21 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Monsoon moisture will be on the increase across central and western
areas today. A few strong to severe storms are possible over far
northeast New Mexico this evening. Large hail and strong winds will
be the main threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue for all
but the eastern plains Wednesday and Thursday. Locally heavy
rainfall and flash flooding are possible as storms train or move
over the same area. Storm motion will be from southwest to northeast
Wedesday and from west to east Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report rainfall amounts and any flooding
through the National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at
weather.gov/abq or by calling 1.888.386.7637.

$$

33

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Riverton WY
201 AM MDT Tue Aug 21 2018

WYZ001>020-022>030-221100-
Yellowstone National Park-Absaroka Mountains-Cody Foothills-
North Big Horn Basin-Southwest Big Horn Basin-
Southeast Big Horn Basin-Owl Creek and Bridger Mountains-
Bighorn Mountains West-Bighorn Mountains Southeast-
Northeast Johnson County-Southeast Johnson County-
Teton and Gros Ventre Mountains-Jackson Hole-
Wind River Mountains West-Wind River Mountains East-
Upper Wind River Basin-Wind River Basin-Lander Foothills-
Green Mountains and Rattlesnake Range-
Natrona County Lower Elevations-Casper Mountain-Star Valley-
Salt River and Wyoming Ranges-Upper Green River Basin Foothills-
Upper Green River Basin-South Lincoln County-
Rock Springs and Green River-Flaming Gorge-East Sweetwater County-
201 AM MDT Tue Aug 21 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Western and Central Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Isolated to locally scattered thunderstorms, most numerous in
southern Wyoming.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Wednesday...Isolated thunderstorms in western and southern
Wyoming then spreading eastward in the late afternoon.

Thursday...Elevated fire weather conditions will develop across
central to southwest Wyoming due to drier conditions with gusty
west wind.

Friday through Monday...Elevated fire weather conditions across
the south and central with gusty wind and dry conditions in the
afternoons and early evenings.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are urged to report winds past 45 mph and hail. Thank
you.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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