Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
944 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-160245-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
944 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight
Fog is possible across southeast Kansas late tonight into early
Tuesday morning.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
Thunderstorm chances will return from Wednesday night through
Saturday. A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible
through the period along with locally heavy rain.
Heat indices approaching 100 degrees are expected across central
and south central Kansas on Tuesday and then again areawide on
Wednesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0506 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-161006-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0506 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Several chances for storms Wednesday:
- Early morning storms possible for NW MO & NE KS.
- Afternoon storms possible, mainly north of the MO River. This
round heavily dependent on how morning activity evolves.
* Hot and humid Wednesday with heat index values of 100-105, mainly
south of Highway 36.
- Extent of high heat dependent on how storms evolve earlier in
the day.
* Several additional rounds of storms possible from Wednesday night
into Thursday afternoon.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
503 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
503 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Primarily southeast of Interstate 44.
ONSET...Ongoing.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma through northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas.
ONSET...Afternoon.
DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms ongoing this morning across southeast
Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas will likely decrease in
coverage by mid to late morning. Additional isolated to scattered
thunderstorms are forecast for this afternoon primarily southeast
of Interstate 44. Locally heavy rainfall remains possible through
today across southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
Temperatures will trend upward today with lesser storm coverage
during the afternoon. Heat index values near 100 degrees are
forecast for portions of eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY through MONDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast both Wednesday
and Thursday. A weak cold front will attempt to move into
northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas on Thursday and may
provide a corridor of slightly higher thunderstorm chances.
The front will quickly lose definition with heat intensifying
from late week through next weekend. Heat index values of 100
to 105 degrees will be common during the afternoons across a
large portion of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
Any outdoor activities should plan for higher heat stress
conditions.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
404 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-160915-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
404 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Kansas, east central
Kansas, north central Kansas and northeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Storms moving into north-central Kansas around midnight tonight may
pose a brief risk for damaging winds before weakening.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Heat indices 100 to 105 degrees are possible Wednesday, most likely
along and south of Interstate 70.
Strong to severe storms are also possible Wednesday into Wednesday
night, with damaging winds the main hazard.
&&
More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
359 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
161200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
359 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
This afternoon, heat index values as hot as 100 to 102 degrees
are forecast mainly south of a line from Cambridge Nebraska to
Beloit Kansas.
This evening through the overnight hours, a line of strong to
severe thunderstorms is expected to move through much of the
forecast area from northwest to southeast, with the potential to
produce damaging wind gusts near 70 MPH, hail up to the size of
golf balls, and very heavy rainfall rates. An isolated tornado is
not out of the question. The primary time frame of concern is 8 PM
to 2 AM.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
A few isolated storms may continue on into the daytime hours on
Wednesday, but better thunderstorm chances return for the evening
and overnight hours, especially for areas south of Interstate 80
and into north central Kansas. Some of these storms may be strong
to marginally severe, and also produce heavy rain.
Thursday is expected to remain dry for much of the area, with off
and on chances for thunderstorms returning Friday through Monday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters are encouraged to report strong wind gusts, hail of any
size, or any flooding that might occur this evening and tonight.
&&
More information may be obtained at the following web page:
https://www.weather.gov/hastings
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
334 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-160845-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
334 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /234 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
There is a very minimal chance for isolated thunderstorms across
west central Kansas and central Kansas in vicinity of the I-70
corridor tonight. However, severe potential is low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday
There is a marginal risk for strong to severe thunderstorms across
west central Kansas and portions of southwest Kansas late Wednesday.
The strongest storms will be capable of producing damaging winds in
excess of 60 to 70 mph. Quarter to half dollar size hail will also
be possible.
Thunderstorms will be also be possible Thursday. However, severe
potential is uncertain this far out.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
258 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-160800-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
258 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Elevated lightning risk.
Limited excessive rainfall risk
DISCUSSION...
Scattered shower and thunderstorm chances today, mainly south of
Interstate 44 and east of Highway 65. No severe weather expected
however expect lightning and locally heavy rainfall.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Daily afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances through the
end of the week. No severe weather expected however expect
lightning and locally heavy rainfall.
Temperatures climb back to around 90 by midweek, continuing to
gradually increase into the lower 90s through the weekend. Heat
index in the upper 90s to around 100 degrees from Wednesday
through the weekend.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Burchfield
