Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
348 PM CDT Thu May 13 2021
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-142100-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
348 PM CDT Thu May 13 2021
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight
Scattered thunderstorms are possible tonight, especially across
northern and eastern Kansas. The threat of severe weather through
tonight looks low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
An increased risk of thunderstorms is expected from Friday afternoon
through Friday night. Wind gusts of 40-60 mph and hail up to half-
dollar size is possible.
The risk of thunderstorms may continue well into next week, but
confidence on location and severity is very low. Should multiple
rounds of thunderstorms occur, the risk of flooding would increase
by next week. Stay tuned for updates.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ict
$$
Martin
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
307 AM CDT Fri May 14 2021
KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-150815-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
307 AM CDT Fri May 14 2021 /207 AM MDT Fri May 14 2021/
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Day 1 Discussion
----------------
Severe weather is expected across southwest Kansas late Friday
afternoon through the early morning hours Saturday. Thunderstorms
will develop over the higher terrain in eastern CO and spread east
with time, encountering an environment favorable for severe hail
and wind gusts. A few instances of significant severe (2+" hail,
65+ mph wind gusts) are also possible as both semi-discrete
supercells and bowing segments are possible, especially near the
I-70 corridor.
Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------
Convective potential will continue through the weekend as
thunderstorms are once again expected to form over the higher
terrain in eastern CO and move east into western KS. There is some
uncertainty regarding how much of southwest KS will be within the
buoyant sector both Saturday and Sunday, but current thinking is
at least some of southwest KS will be within a favorable
environment for severe hail and wind gusts.
Early next week, all of southwest KS is expected to be well north
of the warm front, and most, if not all, of the expected
precipitation will be stratiform in nature, which will eliminate
any severe potential.
Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Saturday
- Lightning: Limited risk
- Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk
- Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
* Sunday
- Lightning: Elevated risk
* Monday
- Lightning: Limited risk
* Tuesday
- Lightning: Limited risk
- Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
* Wednesday
No hazards.
* Thursday
- Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
For more details visit our webpage
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ddc
$$
SPRINGER
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Hastings NE
936 PM CDT Thu May 13 2021
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
141200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
936 PM CDT Thu May 13 2021
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Overnight.
Thunderstorms are possible anywhere in the outlook area
overnight, as at least isolated to scattered activity moves
through the area from northwest to southeast. Any threat for
severe storms appears to have largely diminished. However, a few
storms could be strong enough to produce winds up to around 50
MPH and perhaps hail up to around nickel size, mainly within
counties west of the Highway 281 corridor. Any of these possible
stronger storms would most likely occur before 3 AM.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Another round of strong to severe storms is possible Friday
evening into the overnight, mainly along and south of Highway
6 in south central Nebraska. Daily chances for thunderstorms
continue for portions of the outlook area this weekend through
the middle of next week. Details remain uncertain, but at least
some strong to severe weather is possible, at times.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters are encouraged to report any possible instances of wind
gusts of at least 45 MPH and/or hail of at least dime size.
&&
More information may be obtained at the following web page:
https://www.weather.gov/hastings
$$
Pfannkuch
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
445 PM CDT Thu May 13 2021
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-141030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
445 PM CDT Thu May 13 2021
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected through tonight.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY through WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain
Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Rain chances will return Friday morning with several rounds of
showers and thunderstorms expected Friday night into Saturday mainly
across northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Storm chances
become more widespread next week as an unsettled weather pattern
sets up across the region. Heavy rainfall will likely be the main
concern with 3 to 5 inches of rain forecast to be common across the
area with locally higher amounts possible. There will also be the
potential for some strong to severe storms throughout the period.
Some degree of uptick in severe potential may develop mid week with
an upper low moving closer to the area.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
322 PM CDT Thu May 13 2021
KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-142030-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
322 PM CDT Thu May 13 2021
This hazardous weather outlook is for east central...north
central and northeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and tonight.
Thunderstorms will be possible after midnight across the outlook
area. Severe weather is not expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
A few strong to severe storms are possible across parts of north
central Kansas Friday night, then south of a Minneapolis to
Burlington line Saturday night. Locally heavy rainfall is
possible Saturday night and Sunday, mainly south of Interstate 70
which may lead to flash flooding as well as flooding of creeks
and rivers.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at...
http://www.weather.gov/top/sitrep
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1125 AM CDT Thu May 13 2021
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-141630-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1125 AM CDT Thu May 13 2021
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.
.DAY ONE...Through Tonight...
.Thunderstorms...
A few thunderstorms may affect portions of northern OK early
Friday. The severe potential will be low.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...
.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorms will be possible across portions of Oklahoma and
western north Texas Friday night through at least Wednesday. A
few strong to severe storms will be possible, but organized
significant severe weather appears unlikely at this time.
Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.
$$
