Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
523 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-161030-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
523 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Thunderstorms are possible this morning. The strongest storms will
be capable of pea to dime size hail, 50 mph winds, and brief heavy
rain.
Thunderstorm chances will increase late this afternoon and evening
across central, south central, and southeast Kansas. The strongest
activity will be capable of quarter to ping-pong ball sized hail, 60
to 70 mph winds, and a tornado can`t be ruled out. In addition,
pockets of very heavy rainfall and localized flooding is possible.
The greatest severe weather threat will be across mainly southern
Kansas.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
Periodic chances for thunderstorms will remain in the forecast for
Thursday, Friday, and Sunday through Tuesday. A few storms could be
strong to severe Thursday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
455 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
455 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
...SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL INCREASES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Along and West of Highway 75 in Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Late Afternoon.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Far Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Late Afternoon.
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Early Evening.
POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DISCUSSION...
An elevated threat for severe weather exists from late this
afternoon into the evening and overnight, focused across portions
of northeast and east central Oklahoma mainly along and northwest
of Interstate 44. Large hail and damaging winds will be the main
severe weather hazard, although areas along and west of Highway 75
will have a limited tornado threat, especially during the evening
hours. Thunderstorms that develop across northeast Oklahoma and
also to the west of the area will progress eastward overnight,
although the severe weather threat is expected to decrease with
time and with eastward progress toward the Oklahoma and Arkansas
border. Heavy rainfall and localized flash flooding could occur
primarily across parts of northeast Oklahoma.
Showers and isolated thunderstorms are ongoing early this morning
in parts of northeast Oklahoma, with additional development
possible into late morning. Although a strong storm cannot be
ruled out, severe weather is not expected with the morning
thunderstorms.
In addition, reduced visibilities due to patchy fog in valley
areas of far northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas should
improve by mid morning.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY...No Hazards.
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Shower and thunderstorm coverage will increase during the day
Thursday and continue into Thursday night, due to an upper level
storm system to the west. Heavy rain and flash flooding is
expected to be the main concern, although a limited threat for
severe weather will exist. Thunderstorm chances should end from
southwest to northeast Friday as the storm system lifts northeast
of the region.
After a dry and hot weekend, low chances for thunderstorms return
to primarily parts of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas
both Sunday night and Monday night as overnight thunderstorm
complexes to the north brush portions of the area. By Tuesday, an
approaching cold front could bring another round of thunderstorms
to the region.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
449 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-161000-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
449 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Patchy dense fog is expected this morning occasionally reducing
visibilities to a mile or less...use caution if traveling.
A few strong storms will be possible tonight...with the main threat
being gusty winds and small hail.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
Additional storms are expected Thursday and Friday. Severe weather
is not anticipated however a few strong storms may be possible.
In addition, minor flooding may be possible with several rounds
of storms expected.
More detailed information can be accessed at...
https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
432 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-160945-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
432 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central,
north central and northeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Scattered thunderstorms are possible through the day today with
the better chances during the late afternoon and through the
evening. There could be an isolated storm or two that strengthens
enough to produce hail around an inch in diameter and wind gusts
up to 60 mph.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters should not be needed today or tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf
$$
Wolters
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
352 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
161200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
352 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Thunderstorm chances continue across the outlook area today
through tonight, though chances look to drop off quickly near and
after midnight. This afternoon and early evening, there will be
the potential for some storms to be strong to severe, mainly along
and southeast of a line from Fullerton to Beaver City, and into
north central Kansas. Hail near the size of quarters and wind
gusts near 60 MPH look to be the primary threats.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
Sunday through Tuesday, periodic thunderstorm chances return to
the outlook area. It is too early at this point to confidently
assess the potential for severe weather with these chances.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and early evening,
mainly for areas along and southeast of a line from Fullerton to
Beaver City and into north central Kansas.
&&
More information may be obtained at the following web page:
https://www.weather.gov/hastings
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
318 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-160830-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
318 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024 /218 AM MDT Wed May 15 2024/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Slight to enhanced risk of severe weather mainly along and south
of highway 50. Storms will have the greatest risk of being severe
mainly along the Oklahoma border with hail up to golf ball size,
wind gusts over 60 mph and an isolated tornado is possible.
Further north storms will be more isolated in nature however
large hail and damaging winds can`t be ruled out.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
Hazardous weather isn`t expected.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation won`t be needed.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
238 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-160745-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
238 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...
.Thunderstorms...
Widespread thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon
and persist through daybreak on Thursday. Severe weather is
probable, particularly in northern and western Oklahoma. Damaging
winds to 80 mph are the primary concern, but there is a risk for
large hail and a low risk for tornadoes.
.Flooding...
There is a risk for localized flooding this evening and tonight
wherever multiple rounds of thunderstorms end up occurring.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...
.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorms will continue on Thursday and through Friday
afternoon. There is a risk for severe storms on Thursday
particularly across western north Texas, where hail to the size of
golf balls will be the primary concern.
.Flooding...
Flooding will be possible on Thursday primarily across central
and southern Oklahoma and western north Texas.
Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
211 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-160715-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
211 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Limited hail risk.
Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
Elevated lightning risk.
Limited excessive rainfall risk
Elevated Fog risk.
DISCUSSION...
There is the potential for areas of dense fog early morning,
especially in valleys and near lakes. Visibilities could drop to
one mile or less at times.
Thunderstorms are expected to develop across portions of central
Oklahoma and Kansas this evening and push east into the area late
this evening into the overnight hours. There will be the
potential for damaging straight line winds and hail up to the size
of quarters for locations along and west of Interstate 49 with a
few of the storms. Cloud to ground lightning and locally heavy
rain are the expected risk east of Interstate 49 tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
Showers and thunderstorms will likely be moving east across the
area Thursday morning. Additional storms may develop Thursday
afternoon and evening. If enough instability can develop after the
morning convection a few strong storms with hail and gusty winds
will be possible. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible and
could lead to a localized flooding risk on Thursday.
Additional showers and thunderstorms will move across the region
late Thursday through the day on Friday. Locally heavy rainfall
and a minor localized flooding risk will occur again on Friday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Wise
