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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
206 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

LAZ008-009-015-016-023-025-MSZ035>058-202015-
West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Tensas-
Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-
Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-
Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-
206 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight,  Rainfall amounts of two to three inches with locally
higher amounts in a short amount of time, will be possible through
tonight. This will likely lead to areas of flash flooding and worsen
ongoing river flooding.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Tuesday.

$$

15

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.


...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
206 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

ARZ075-LAZ007-024-026-MSZ027-032-034-059>066-202015-
Chicot-Morehouse-Catahoula-Concordia-Carroll-Choctaw-Washington-
Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-
Covington-Jones-
206 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, and south central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight,  Rainfall amounts of one to two inches in a short amount of
time, will be possible through tonight. This may lead to localized
flash flooding and worsen ongoing river flooding.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Tuesday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1024 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

ALZ051>055-057-058-MSZ067-210430-
Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Butler-Crenshaw-Wayne-
1024 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Alabama,
southwest Alabama and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Moderate to locally heavy rain will spread across interior portions
of southeast Mississippi and southwest and south central Alabama
beginning tonight.

There is a MODERATE RISK of rip currents tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Moderate to locally heavy rain will spread across interior portions
of southeast Mississippi and southwest and south central Alabama
through Thursday afternoon. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with
locally higher totals over 3 inches will be possible, especially
along and north of a Waynesboro to Grove Hill to Luverne line.

There is a MODERATE RISK of rip currents through Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of SkyWarn Severe Storm Spotter networks is not
expected through Tuesday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1024 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

ALZ056-059-060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ075-076-078-079-210430-
Conecuh-Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-
Mobile Central-Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-
Escambia Inland-Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Perry-Greene-
Stone-George-
1024 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Alabama,
southwest Alabama, northwest Florida and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a MODERATE RISK of rip currents tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There is a MODERATE RISK of rip currents through Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of SkyWarn Severe Storm Spotter networks is not
expected through Tuesday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
848 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

ALZ011>015-017>050-210600-
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
848 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Outlook through Tonight.

A Flash Flood Watch has been issued for areas south of a line from
Wedowee to Clanton to Livingston. Rainfall totals of 1.5 to 2 inches
are possible through 6 pm Thursday.

Many river basins across Central Alabama are above flood stage.
Please see the latest river statements for specific details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

A Flash Flood Watch will be in effect for areas south of a line from
Wedowee to Clanton to Livingston through 6 pm Thursday. Rainfall
totals of 1.5 to 2 inches are possible. These rain amounts falling
on saturated ground may produce some flooding.

River basins will continue to experience flooding over the next
several days. Please see the latest river statements for specific
details.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management may become
necessary on Thursday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1009 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-201615-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1009 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Rain showers will gradually increase in coverage and intensity
through today and especially tonight as an upper level disturbance
advances into the region. Rainfall amounts could exceed an inch
through tonight, mainly along and south of Interstate 20. Given
the already saturated soil conditions, some minor flooding of
low-lying and poor drainage areas remains possible, and this may
contribute to additional rises on area rivers, lakes, and bayous.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

Expect rain showers to continue through Thursday morning before
gradually tapering off during the afternoon as the upper level
disturbance shifts east of the region. Additional light rainfall
amounts from a quarter to near one half inch will be possible on
Thursday morning before the rain gradually diminishes later in the
day.

No hazardous weather is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio
operators, and storm spotters will not be needed through tonight.

$$

44

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
414 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-201100-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
414 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Precipitation is expected to develop this evening over southwest
Arkansas and spread across the remainder of the state through the
night. The best chances of rain will be across the south with a
lesser chance of precipitation over the north. Some of the
precipitation over the higher terrain areas of the north could be
a light wintry mix but no impacts are anticipated.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday Through Tuesday

Light to occasionally moderate rain is expected to be on going
across central and southern Arkansas Thursday morning. Across the
north, moisture will be more scarce but temperatures will be just
cold enough to support a light wintry mix across the higher
terrain areas of the Ozark Mountains. Amounts are expected to be
light with minimal impacts. Precipitation is forecast to come to
an end by Thursday afternoon.

Another storm system will arrive late in the weekend but
temperatures will be warm enough that only rain is expected.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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