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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
427 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-220930-
Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-
Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-
Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-
Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL-
Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO-
Saint Clair IL-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO-
427 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a chance of thunderstorms over the area through tonight.
Thunderstorms will become widespread with the potential for the rain
to be heavy at times over parts of central and northeast Missouri as
well as west central Illinois. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for
this area tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Thunderstorms are expected over the area Sunday into Sunday night.
Widespread rainfall of 2-3 inches is likely with locally heavier
amounts across northeast and central Missouri as well as west central
Illinois. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect.

In addition to heavy rainfall, a few of these storms could be strong
to severe on Sunday. The primary threats will be large hail and
damaging winds.

There is a chance of thunderstorms over parts of the area Tuesday
through Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

$$

Britt

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
314 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019

ILZ027>031-036-037-040-041-047>050-222015-
Cass-Fulton-Knox-Marshall-Mason-Menard-Morgan-Peoria-Schuyler-
Scott-Stark-Tazewell-Woodford-
314 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely through the rest
of today and tonight. There is a marginal risk of severe
thunderstorms posing a risk of locally damaging wind gusts late
this afternoon and evening. Heavy rainfall is also possible,
especially late tonight, potentially leading to isolated flash
flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Additional showers and thunderstorms will continue through Sunday.
Heavy rainfall potential will continue, and there is a marginal
risk for severe thunderstorms Sunday afternoon. Storm total
rainfall of 1 to 3 inches is expected.

Additional thunderstorms are possible beginning Tuesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible the afternoon and evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
314 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019

ILZ038-042>046-051>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-222015-
Champaign-Christian-Clark-Clay-Coles-Crawford-Cumberland-De Witt-
Douglas-Edgar-Effingham-Jasper-Lawrence-Logan-Macon-McLean-
Moultrie-Piatt-Richland-Sangamon-Shelby-Vermilion-
314 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois, east central Illinois and southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible
this evening and tonight, mainly north of I-70.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Additional showers and thunderstorms will continue through Sunday
night. Heavy rainfall potential will continue, and there is a
marginal risk for severe thunderstorms Sunday afternoon and
evening. Storm total rainfall of 0.5 to 2.0 inches is expected.

Additional thunderstorms are possible beginning Tuesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

$$

Deubelbeiss

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
258 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-222000-
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson-
Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson-
Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-
Warren-Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
258 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east
central Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A flash flood watch is in effect for the entire outlook area
through Sunday evening.

Scattered thunderstorms will develop today, but no severe weather
is expected. Widespread heavy rain and thunderstorms will produce
storm total rainfall of 1 to 3 inches, and isolated higher amounts
near 4 inches. This may result in flash flooding, areal flooding,
and significant rises on area rivers.

Area rivers are experiencing flooding. Please see the
latest Flood Statements and Flood Warnings for details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms are expected on
Sunday. The main threats will be lightning and flash flooding.

There is a chance of thunderstorms Tuesday night and Wednesday,
and again from Thursday night into next weekend. It is too early
to determine the threat for severe weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter and amateur radio activation is not anticipated for today
and tonight. However, reports of rainfall amounts over 1 inch,
and any flooding would be appreciated.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
106 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-221815-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
106 PM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited flooding risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the area
  today and tonight, especially over southeast Kansas into west
  central Missouri. Heavy rain will be possible as tropical
  moisture is in place over the region. If enough instability can
  develop, then wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph will be possible with
  the stronger storms tonight.

  Non thunderstorm wind gusts over 30 mph will be possible over
  western parts of Missouri into southeast Kansas through the
  afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

  Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain
  will be possible on Sunday and Sunday night. Some flooding will
  be possible over southeast Kansas into west central Missouri
  where two to over 3 inches of rain will be possible.

  Chances for showers and thunderstorms may then return by the
  middle of next work week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Titus

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
500 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-221000-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
500 AM CDT Sat Sep 21 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Widespread storms are expected to form late Saturday afternoon over
 NE KS and NW Missouri. Some of the storms may be strong to severe
 with damaging winds and large hail being the main threat initially.
 These storms will have high rainfall rates which could quickly lead
 to flash flooding if an area gets multiple storms. These storms
 will slowly track eastward leaving a widespread 3 to 5 inches of
 rainfall over the area along and south of I-70.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

 Heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and frequent lightning will remain
 over the area Sunday morning into the afternoon as a line of storms
 pushes through the area. Storms look to finally move out of the
 area by late Sunday afternoon.

Another round of storms are possible late Wednesday through
Thursday which could bring more severe weather and possible flooding
concerns back to the region.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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