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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
539 AM CDT Fri May 7 2021

TXZ021>044-081045-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
539 AM CDT Fri May 7 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible across the
far southern Texas Panhandle and South Plains later this evening and
tonight. A few of these storms may produce strong to marginally
severe wind gusts up to 60 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Hot and very dry conditions combined with gusty southwesterly winds
will elevate the fire weather across the Caprock Saturday afternoon.
The chances of thunderstorm development late Saturday afternoon and
evening over the eastern Rolling Plains are very slim, but if any do
develop, they will bring the threat of severe weather.

The potential for hazardous weather Sunday through Thursday is very
low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
549 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021

COZ058>089-093>099-081200-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
549 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Red Flag conditions expected today across the San Luis Valley.

Strong to severe thunderstorms possible this afternoon and evening
over portions of the eastern plains, mainly south of Highway 50 and
east of Highway 287. Strong damaging wind gusts and large hail,
around 1 inch in diameter, are the greatest risks with the storms
today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible on Saturday
across the southeast plains. Hail up to 1.50 inches in diameter
and wind gusts up to 70 mph will be possible northeast of a line
from Colorado Springs to Kim. The greatest hail risk will be north
of highway 50 with thunderstorms carrying a greater strong wind
threat to the south of highway 50. Blowing dust will be possible
and could briefly reduce visibility to under 1/2 mile. Isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the
mountains and central valleys with gusty winds up to 50 mph,
lightning and brief light to moderate rainfall possible.
Meanwhile critical fire weather conditions will be possible across
the San Luis Valley on Saturday due to gusty winds, low humidity
and dry fuels.

Cooler and wetter weather will spread across southern Colorado
for Sunday through Tuesday with the heaviest precipitation
concentrated across the southeast mountains and Pikes Peak region.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible across the mountains and
valleys each day, a few of which may move off into the adjacent
plains. These could produce locally heavy rainfall, small hail,
and locally gusty winds. Burn scar flash flooding will be possible
on Sunday should a stronger storm impact these areas. The
greatest risk will be south of highway 50 where snow levels will
remain above 10000 feet.

Snow levels will drop Sunday night across the mountains with
several inches of heavy wet snow possible across the higher
elevations of the central and southeast mountains. A few inches of
wet snow accumulations will be possible across the Palmer Divide
Sunday night and again Monday night, mainly on grassy surfaces as
snow levels waver down to around 7000 feet.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms continue into
Tuesday before the storm system moves out of the region during the
afternoon. Drier and warmer weather returns for the latter part of
the work week. -KT

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
possible this afternoon across the southeast plains.

$$

55/31

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
435 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-081045-
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-
Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes-
Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-
Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa-
Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
435 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected on Friday along
and east of the Rio Grande. Cloud to ground lightning, gusty
winds, and perhaps some hail are the main threats with the
strongest activity. Blowing dust is possible along gust fronts in
the lowland deserts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

Breezy to windy conditions are possible on Saturday which could
lead to areas with blowing dust. Dry conditions and gusty winds
will lead to increased fire danger across the area on Saturday
too. Otherwise, no hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed. However, any reports
associated to storms in the area will be appreciated.

$$

29

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
500 AM CDT Fri May 7 2021

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-081000-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
500 AM CDT Fri May 7 2021 /400 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated strong to marginally severe thunderstorms will be possible
across Southeast New Mexico, the Guadalupe mountains, and the Van
Horn/Highway 54 corridor this afternoon and evening. Severe wind
gusts will be possible with any storm that develops.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Critical to extreme fire weather conditions are expected across the
Sacramento Foothills, Southeast New Mexico plains, and the Guadalupe
and Delaware Mountains on Saturday afternoon. A Fire Weather Watch
is in effect.

High winds are expected in the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains
Saturday afternoon through Saturday evening. A High Wind Watch is in
effect.

Isolated strong to marginally severe storms are possible across the
Southeast Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos Saturday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines.

$$
This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
325 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021

NMZ201>241-081100-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-
Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-
Upper Tularosa Valley-South Central Mountains-
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
325 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern and
central New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Increased moisture will lead to scattered thunderstorms this
afternoon, mainly across central to eastern New Mexico. Some storms
may turn strong to possibly severe. Brief downpours and gusty to
potentially damaging winds will be the most likely threats, but large
hail cannot be ruled out. Thunderstorms in western New Mexico will
produce little to no rainfall today, and dry lightning strikes will
pose a concern for new wildfires.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Strengthening winds will return to many areas of northern and central
New Mexico on Saturday where low humidity will also develop. This
could create a few to several hours of critical fire weather
conditions in the afternoon and early evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should report severe weather through the National Weather
Service Albuquerque web site or by calling 1.888.386.7637. You can
also submit storm reports and photos on our Facebook page or via
Twitter using the hashtag nmwx.

$$

52

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
357 AM CDT Fri May 7 2021

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-080900-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
357 AM CDT Fri May 7 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
A few isolated thunderstorms may occur this morning across parts
of north central Oklahoma. No severe weather is expected with this
activity.

Later today, thunderstorms are expected to develop across the
high plains to the west of Oklahoma. This activity will then move
east toward western and northwestern Oklahoma late this afternoon
and this evening. A few strong to severe storms will be possible
with wind gusts of up to 60 mph and hail to the size of quarters being
the main hazards. This activity is expected to weaken as it move
farther east during the evening hours.

.Fire Weather...
Warm and windy conditions will result in elevated fire weather
conditions across parts of western Oklahoma and western north
Texas this afternoon.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

.Thunderstorms...
There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms across parts of
north central Oklahoma, near the Kansas border with a marginal
risk much of the remainder of northern, central and western
Oklahoma and western north Texas Saturday. Although a strong cap
will inhibit the development of thunderstorms through much of the
day Saturday. A few storms will be possible by Saturday evening
along a dryline and an advancing cold front. Large hail and
damaging wind gusts will be the primary hazards.

Thunderstorm chances persist each day through Wednesday across
portions of our area. A few strong storms will be possible Sunday
across far southeast Oklahoma. Otherwise severe weather is not
anticipated at this time beyond Sunday.

.Fire weather...
Fire weather conditions will be elevated over western Oklahoma
Saturday afternoon including western north Texas with very warm
temperatures, low humidity, and windy conditions.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
336 AM CDT Fri May 7 2021

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-081000-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
336 AM CDT Fri May 7 2021 /236 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

There will be a chance for strong to severe thunderstorms late
this afternoon and early this evening. The main hazards from these
storms today will be quarter to near ping pong ball size and wind
gusts of 60 mph.

Gusty winds and low afternoon relative humidity values will
produce elevated to near critical fire weather conditions west of
a Garden City to Liberal line.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Hail: Limited risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Limited risk
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
* Fire weather: Significant risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Severe thunderstorms will be possible Saturday afternoon and early
Saturday night. Hail larger than two inches, wind gusts in excess
of 60 mph and heavy rainfall can be expected from the stronger
storms. A few tornadoes will also be possible.

Critical to near critical fire weather conditions will be possible
Saturday afternoon west of a Garden City to Liberal line.


Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Saturday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Extreme risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed after 3 pm this
afternoon...mainly south of a Johnson City to Sublette line.

&&

For more details visit our webpage
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ddc

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
328 AM CDT Fri May 7 2021

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-072100-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
328 AM CDT Fri May 7 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon and evening
across the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles. Some storms may become
strong to severe with large hail and damaging winds the primary
hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Thunderstorms will be possible across much of the Oklahoma and
Texas Panhandles late Sunday afternoon through Tuesday evening.
Any storms that form are expected to remain below severe levels at
this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter groups and emergency management officials should remain
alert and be ready for possible activation later this afternoon
and evening.

$$

02

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
321 AM CDT Fri May 7 2021

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-080830-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
321 AM CDT Fri May 7 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this morning into
the early afternoon across central and eastern portions of Kansas.
While widespread severe weather is not expected, a few storms may
be capable of dime to quarter size hail.

An isolated storm cannot be ruled out this evening across south-
central Kansas. Strong wind gusts would be the primary hazard.

Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop
tonight across far eastern and northeast Kansas. Dime size hail will
be the primary hazard.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Severe storms are expected to develop by Saturday evening across
central and north-central Kansas, spreading east and southeast
during the overnight hours. The best chance for severe weather will
be generally before midnight. The primary hazards will be large
hail and damaging winds, although an isolated tornado cannot be
ruled out as well.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ict

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE