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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
245 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

TXZ021>044-010745-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
245 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon, though the
severe and flooding risk from storms that materialize this afternoon
is low.

A cold front is forecast to move through the region late tonight
into early Sunday morning. Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to
form along the front, and will be capable of producing heavy rain
rates per hour which may lead to localized flash flooding. An
isolated damaging wind gust up to 60 mph cannot be ruled out, though
the severe weather risk is low tonight into early Sunday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Scattered thunderstorms may again develop on Sunday afternoon and
evening. These storms may lead to localized flooding. A chance of
thunderstorms will linger across the area Monday through Thursday,
with heavy rain and isolated damaging wind gusts possible.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
1131 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-011645-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1131 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Heat...
Hot and humid conditions will continue this afternoon with heat
index values of 102 to 110 degrees.

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorm chances will return to the region this evening and
tonight. There is a marginal risk for severe storms across
northern Oklahoma. Damaging winds will be the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorm chances will continue Sunday and Sunday night in
association with a cold front. Some storms may produce strong wind
gusts and heavy rain. Storms may linger around southern Oklahoma
and north Texas into Monday morning.

Low chances for scattered thunderstorms will return Wednesday and
Thursday.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1118 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-011145-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
1118 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
Heat index values will top 105 across the vast majority of North and
Central Texas this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Heat index values will exceed 105 generally near and east of I-35
on Sunday.

Thunderstorm chances will return on Sunday and continue throughout
much of the upcoming week. The most widespread storms are expected
Sunday night into Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
722 AM MDT Sat Jul 31 2021

COZ058>089-093>099-011330-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
722 AM MDT Sat Jul 31 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SERIOUS FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS
A LARGE PART OF SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO.

Several inches of rain will be possible over parts of the region
today and tonight, and this heavy rain will have the potential to
cause serious flash flooding.

The greatest threat will be over all of the mountainous areas, with
the overall greatest threat in and around the burn scars. Rock
slides, debris flows, and washed out roadways will all be
possible. Travel conditions over the mountains could become very
dangerous today and into tonight.

Over the mountains, the heaviest rain will occur this afternoon into
the evening hours. Over the plains, the heaviest rains will occur
late this afternoon through the early morning hours.

In addition, storms across the far southeast Colorado plains could
produce isolated wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph this evening. There is
a very small chance for a damaging wind gust.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall, and the potential for
flash flooding, are expected to affect the mountains and valleys,
the Interstate-25 corridor, and possibly portions of the plains
each day from Sunday through at least Tuesday. This activity could
produce serious flash flooding over the mountains and valleys.
The risk for flooding could persist over the mountains and valleys
later in the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
highly likely over most of the plains and all of the mountains
and valleys today into tonight.

$$

34/COHEN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
435 AM MDT Sat Jul 31 2021

NMZ201>241-011045-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-
Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-
Upper Tularosa Valley-South Central Mountains-
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
435 AM MDT Sat Jul 31 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected today through the
overnight. Storm motions will be slow and rainfall could become
heavy. This may lead to localized areas of flash flooding,
especially over and near recent and older burn scars. Isolated
locations may receive up to 2 inches of rainfall. A few storms may
also produce small hail and wind gusts to 50 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A significant increase storm coverage and flash flood potential can
be expected Sunday into Monday, especially between the Continental
Divide to the high plains of eastern New Mexico. Storm motions will
be slow and rainfall could become intense at times. This may lead to
localized areas of flash flooding, especially over and near recent
and older burn scars. Isolated locations may receive up to 2 inches
of rainfall. A few storms may also produce small hail and wind gusts
to 50 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report rainfall amounts and any flooding
through the National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at
weather.gov/abq or by calling 1.888.386.7637.

$$

41

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
526 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-011030-
Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho-
Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford-
Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble-
Mason-
526 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible across the Northwest Hill
Country this afternoon, The main hazards will be dangerous
lightning and brief heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Showers and thunderstorms will be possible across all of West
Central Texas Sunday through the middle of next week. The main
hazards will be locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and dangerous
lightning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
503 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-011015-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
503 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Dangerous heat indices of 100 to 105 will continue to impact south
central and southeast Kansas this afternoon and early evening.
Please see the latest Heat Advisory and Excessive Heat Warning for
additional details.

Scattered storms are possible this afternoon through tonight. The
strongest storms could produce wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph and small
hail up to nickle size.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A few lingering storms will be possible early Sunday morning across
southern Kansas.

Chances for storms return Wednesday and Thursday. Severe storms not
expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ict

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
458 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-011000-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
458 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021 /358 AM MDT Sat Jul 31 2021/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------
Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will impact portions of the
southwest Kansas region late this afternoon through early Sunday.
There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms mainly across
south central Kansas for an isolated severe wind gusts to 60 mph.
There is also a marginal risk for excessive rainfall across mainly
far southwest Kansas later this evening into the overnight hours.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Limited risk
* Flooding: Limited risk
* Lightning: Significant risk
* Excessive heat: Elevated risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ddc

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
400 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-312100-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
400 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Thunderstorms are expected to develop across the Oklahoma and
Texas Panhandles late this afternoon through tonight. A storm or
two may become strong to severe, with damaging winds the primary
hazard. In addition, the strongest storms will be capable of
producing heavy rainfall, which may lead to localized flooding or
flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Thunderstorms will be possible across the Oklahoma and Texas
Panhandles Sunday and Sunday night. Any storms that form are
expected to remain below severe levels at this time. However, the
strongest storms will be capable of producing heavy rainfall,
mainly Sunday morning and afternoon, which could lead to localized
flooding or flash flooding.

Additional showers and thunderstorms may develop Monday through
Wednesday night across parts of the area. Any storms that form are
expected to remain below severe levels at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

02

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
307 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-010815-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
307 AM CDT Sat Jul 31 2021 /207 AM MDT Sat Jul 31 2021/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a chance of thunderstorms from the Big Bend to the Guadalupe
Mountains. Gusty wind, occasional lightning, and brief heavy rain
will be the main concerns.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Thunderstorm chances increase Sunday into next week. Areas of heavy
rain will be possible leading to localized flooding concerns.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines.

$$
This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1110 AM MDT Fri Jul 30 2021

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-311715-
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-
Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes-
Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-
Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa-
Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
1110 AM MDT Fri Jul 30 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Isolated lowland to scattered mountain showers and thunderstorms
are expected again. The main threats with these storms will be
heavy rain which could produce some localized flooding and wind
gusts to 45 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday
Thunderstorms will continue through much of the period with a
gradual increase in coverage this weekend into early next week.
Storm coverage is expected to be most widespread Monday and
Tuesday with storms moving very slowly which could lead to flash
flooding. Gusty winds and small hail will also be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activatiaon will not be needed, but any significant
rainfall reports are appreciated.

$$
26

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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