Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
257 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-061000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
257 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening, and
may become strong and severe, with the primary hazard being
damaging straight line winds.
Additionally, maximum temperatures in the mid-90s and abundant
low-level moisture will lead to heat indices in excess of 100
degrees across most of the state.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday Through Thursday
For Saturday and Sunday, with temperatures expected to climb into
the lower 90s and abundant moisture in place near the surface, heat
indices could approach or briefly exceed 100 degrees in some places.
As remnants of Tropical Storm Cristobal approach the state from the
south Monday into Tuesday, widespread rainfall can be expected.
Additional impacts from the system could include locally strong wind
gusts as well as isolated tornadoes. With potential impacts heavily
dependent on the future track of this storm, monitor the latest
forecast information for updates.
.Spotter Information Statement...
Spotter Activation May Be Needed
&&
Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
212 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-061915-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
212 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Limited hail risk.
Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
Limited lightning risk.
Limited excessive heat risk.
DISCUSSION...
Heat index values in the middle 90s to around 100 degrees will
continue into early this evening near and west of the Highway 65
corridor.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible across south-central
Missouri this afternoon into early this evening. A few storms may
produce locally damaging wind gusts and hail up to the size of
quarters.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
Afternoon heat indices of 95 to 105 are expected Saturday with
heat indices of 90 to 100 on Sunday.
The remnants of Tropical Storm Cristobal are expected to track
through the region from Monday night through Tuesday night. While
the exact track of this system is still unclear, it appears that
rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches may occur in its vicinity, with
locally higher amounts possible. If these rainfall amounts
materialize, it would lead to a flooding risk.
Wind gusts over 30 mph will also be possible with this system if
it tracks over the Missouri Ozarks.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Schaumann
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1238 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-061030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1238 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Carroll and Madison Counties in
northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Late afternoon.
DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Much of eastern Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DISCUSSION...
Much of eastern Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas is under a
Heat Advisory until 7 pm this evening. High temperatures
in the low to mid 90s will combine with high relative humidity
values to create heat index values of 100 to 107 across
much of the area today.
There is a slight chance of thunderstorms across extreme
northwest Arkansas late this afternoon as the airmass
becomes increasingly unstable and interacts with an outflow
boundary from previous storms. If any storms do develop,
they will have the potential to be strong to severe with
strong gusty winds the main concern.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
SUNDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
An upper level ridge will build into the area for the weekend,
leading to continued hot and humid conditions, as well as reduced
thunderstorm chances. A few storms may be possible across parts of
northwest Arkansas during peak heating Saturday afternoon. Triple
digit heat index values will be possible across both eastern
Oklahoma and western Arkansas into the weekend, with heat stress
impacts likely.
Thunderstorm chances and heavy rain potential will increase Monday
and into Tuesday as the remnants of Tropical Storm Cristobal move
across the parts of the area. Continue to monitor future
forecasts and statements for additional details, as the location
of greatest heavy rain impacts will depend on the eventual track
of the remnants.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1157 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-061215-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
1157 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
A weakening cluster of storms may approach parts of East Texas from
the northeast tonight. Severe weather is not expected at this time.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
There is a low chance for thunderstorms Saturday afternoon through
Monday night across far eastern portions of North and Central Texas.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
920 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
ARZ074-075-LAZ007-008-MSZ018-019-025-034-061430-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-
Washington-
920 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, north central Mississippi, and
northwest Mississippi.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Mainly Today
Severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon into this
evening. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to
70 mph and quarter size hail.
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
920 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
LAZ009-015-016-MSZ026>028-035-036-040>042-047-061430-
East Carroll-Richland-Madison LA-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-
Humphreys-Holmes-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Warren-
920 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and
west central Mississippi.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Mainly Today
Severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon into this
evening. Some thunderstorms could produce damaging winds to
70 mph and quarter size hail.
(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Memphis TN
730 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-061430-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lee AR-Lee MS-
Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-Panola-Pemiscot-
Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-Shelby-St. Francis-
Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-
Yalobusha-
730 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
A few severe storms are possible this afternoon into early this
evening mainly across eastern Arkansas, the Missouri Bootheel,
southwest Tennessee and northwest Mississippi. Damaging winds will
be the main threat.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday
Heat index values may reach 100 degrees Saturday afternoon.
The remnants of Cristobal are expected to track through Arkansas
Monday afternoon through Tuesday. Heavy rain and gusty winds are
possible across parts of the Mid-South. Additional impacts from
the system could include isolated tornadoes. Since potential
impacts depend on the track of this system, monitor the latest
forecast information for updates.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon into early this
evening.
$$
SJM
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
600 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-TXZ097-112-
126-138-151-153-166-167-061100-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-Bowie-Cass-Marion-Harrison-Panola-Shelby-
San Augustine-
600 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, east Texas and northeast Texas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible later this
afternoon and through the evening hours. Some storms could be
strong with gusty winds, frequent lightning, and small hail. In
addition, there is the potential for a squall line of storms to
move south out of Arkansas late today and bring locally severe
wind gusts, especially across the Arklamiss. Otherwise, expect hot
conditions with peak afternoon heat index values around 100
degrees.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will again be possible
Saturday afternoon into the early evening and some of these storms
could be strong with gusty winds, frequent lightning, and small
hail.
Cristobal, currently over the Yucatan Peninsula, is expected to
move north through Gulf of Mexico this weekend and make landfall
along the Louisiana coast Sunday night as a tropical storm. Showers
and a few thunderstorms associated with the outer bands of
Cristobal will begin to increase across the region late Sunday,
before becoming more numerous by Monday as this system moves
inland. As it does so, the threat for strong winds, locally heavy
rainfall, localized flooding, and even a few isolated tornadoes
will be possible Monday, especially over the Arklamiss. Keep in
mind these impacts may shift west or east, depending on the
eventual exact track of this system. These showers and embedded
thunderstorms will begin to diminish from west to east Tuesday as
the remnants of Cristobal lifts north out of the region. Finally,
the threat for isolated to widely scattered showers and
thunderstorms will exist Tuesday night and Wednesday near and
ahead of a weak cool frontal passage.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters may be needed for this afternoon
into this evening. Please relay any information about observed
severe weather to the NWS while following all local, state, and
CDC guidelines.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
600 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
OKZ077-TXZ096-108>111-124-125-136-137-149-150-152-165-061100-
McCurtain-Red River-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Wood-Upshur-Smith-
Gregg-Cherokee-Rusk-Nacogdoches-Angelina-
600 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible late this afternoon into
the evening hours. Otherwise, expect hot conditions with peak
afternoon heat index values around 100 degrees.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible Saturday
afternoon into the early evening and some of these storms could be
strong with gusty winds, frequent lightning, and small hail.
Cristobal, currently over the Yucatan Peninsula, is expected to
move north through Gulf of Mexico this weekend and make landfall
along the Louisiana coast Sunday night as a tropical storm. Showers
and a few thunderstorms associated with the outer bands of
Cristobal will begin to increase across the region Sunday night,
before becoming more numerous by Monday as this system moves
inland. As it does so, the threat for gusty winds and locally
heavy rainfall will be possible Monday. Keep in mind these
impacts be more significant if the forecast track of the system
shifts farther to the west. These showers and embedded thunderstorms
will begin to diminish from west to east Tuesday as the remnants
of Cristobal lifts north out of the region. Finally, the threat
for isolated showers and thunderstorms will exist Tuesday night
and Wednesday near and ahead of a weak cool frontal passage.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters should not be needed through
tonight.
$$
50
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
355 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-061000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
355 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast over parts of
southeast Missouri today, then again late this evening and
overnight. Damaging winds will be the main hazard with the
thunderstorms that develop tonight. Locally heavy rain and
lightning will also accompany these thunderstorms.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday
Thunderstorms are forecast early Saturday, then again Monday
through Thursday.
Heavy rain and gusty winds appear to be the primary hazards on
Tuesday and Tuesday Night as remnants of Cristobal are forecast
to move through the outlook area. At this time, rainfall amounts
of one to two inches are still possible along and west of the
Mississippi River into southeast Missouri. In addition, gusty
winds of 30 to 40 mph or higher will also be possible Tuesday with
the remnants of Cristobal.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Skywarn spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.
$$
Smith/CLW
