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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
641 PM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-192345-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
641 PM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited flooding risk.
  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited excessive heat risk.

DISCUSSION...

A band of thunderstorms with very heavy rainfall and slow movement
was occurring from Laclede county southeastward into Oregon
county. Some localized flooding will be possible with the heavy
rain, with some 3 to 4 inches of rain possible.

Heat index values in the upper 90s to near 100 are expected over
extreme southeastern Kansas and far southwestern Missouri into
early this evening.

A complex of storms is expected to develop across the central
Plains this evening and spread southeast overnight and start to
spread into the area late tonight. Heavy rainfall will occur with
the storms, and a localized flooding will be possible where
multiple storms can track over the same locations. A few strong
storms with damaging straight line winds will also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Thunderstorm may be on going across portions of the area along
and east of Highway 65 Thursday morning. This activity will
spread east and out of the area by Thursday afternoon. A few
strong to severe storms will be possible Thursday morning into
early Thursday afternoon. Gusty winds will be the primary risk.
There will also be a localized flooding risk mainly north of I-44
and east of Highway 65.

Isolated afternoon and evening thunderstorms will be possible
Friday.

Heat index values of around 105 to near 110 are expected across
southeastern Kansas into southwestern Missouri Thursday. Heat
index values around 100 to near 105 degrees are expected across
the outlook area Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
327 PM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-192030-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
327 PM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

An isolated thunderstorm can`t be ruled out over the Missouri
Ozark Foothills this evening and tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible over southeast Missouri
and southwest Illinois on Thursday afternoon, and then over the
entire area Thursday night through Friday night. The chance of
thunderstorms will linger this weekend into Monday, mainly over
the eastern half of the area. A slight chance of thunderstorms
returns for the entire area on Tuesday.

Severe storms will be possible mainly west of the Mississippi
River later Thursday afternoon and evening and then mainly east of
the Mississippi River Friday afternoon through Friday night.
Large hail and damaging winds will be possible, and a few
tornadoes cannot be ruled out. Otherwise, locally heavy rainfall
and lightning will be the primary concerns.

Afternoon heat index values may reach triple digits over southeast
Missouri Thursday and over the southwest half of the area Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed Thursday afternoon and evening
and again Friday afternoon through Friday night.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
247 PM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-191000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-
Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
247 PM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon through Tonight

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible through tonight
over much of Arkansas. An isolated strong to briefly severe storm
will also be possible. Stronger storms will be capable of
producing gusty winds, dangerous lightning and localized heavy
rainfall. The heavy rain may produce localized flooding.

Portions of southern Arkansas may see heat index values in the 90s
to around 105 degrees through sunset.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday Through Tuesday

The chance for thunderstorms will gradually lower toward the end
of the week, and especially over the weekend. Only an isolated
strong to severe thunderstorm will be possible through the
period.

Heat index values will remain a concern through much of the
period as well. Most locations will see heat index values in the
upper 90s to around 105 degrees. Some areas may see heat index
values exceed 105 degrees during the afternoon and evening hours,
particularly Thursday and Friday.


.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

67

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
241 PM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

MSZ026>028-037-043-044-049-050-055-056-063>065-072-073-191945-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Attala-Madison MS-Leake-Rankin-Scott-
Simpson-Smith-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Marion-Lamar-
241 PM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, south central
Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Thursday afternoon

Temperatures warming into the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity to produce heat indices aroound 105 during the
afternoon Thursday. Precautions should be taken to avoid strenuous
outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable to heat stress.
Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices 105 to 110 each
afternoon from Friday through Monday. Precautions should be taken
to avoid strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable
to heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted
clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Tuesday.

$$

26

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*EXCESSIVE HEAT*
Extreme...Maximum heat index greater than 110 degrees for 3 or
 more days in a row and/or air temperatures greater than 107
 degrees.
Significant...Maximum heat index greater than 110 degrees
 and/or air temperatures greater than 105 degrees.
Elevated...Maximum heat index 105 to 110 degrees and/or air
 temperatures greater than 103 degrees.
Limited...Maximum heat index near 105 degrees and/or air
 temperatures 100 to 103 degrees.


...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/srh/tropical?office=jan
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
241 PM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025-034>036-
040>042-047-048-053-054-059>062-191945-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Issaquena-Sharkey-
Yazoo-Warren-Hinds-Claiborne-Copiah-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-
Lincoln-
241 PM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, south central Mississippi,
southwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Thursday afternoon

Temperatures warming into the upper 90s will combine with high
humidity to produce heat indices from 105 to 110 mainly during the
afternoon Thursday. Precautions should be taken to avoid
strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable to heat
stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday

High temperatures from the upper 90s to near 100 will combine
with high humidity levels to produce heat indices around 110 each
afternoon from Friday through Monday. Precautions should be taken
to avoid strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable
to heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted
clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Tuesday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
227 PM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-191030-
Lauderdale-Colbert-Franklin AL-Lawrence-Limestone-Madison-Morgan-
Marshall-Jackson-DeKalb-Cullman-Moore-Lincoln-Franklin TN-
227 PM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north Alabama and portions of
southern middle Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

Isolated thunderstorms may impact portions of northwest Alabama this
afternoon and evening, as a weak cold front pushes slowly southward
into the region. Frequent lightning and locally heavy rainfall will
be the main threats with this activity.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible mainly south of the
Tennessee River on Thursday, and across the entire region Thursday
night. However, storm coverage and intensity is expected to
increase from Friday afternoon into Saturday. Strong to severe
thunderstorms will be possible during this period producing damaging
winds.

Although coverage will diminish on Sunday, scattered afternoon
thunderstorms will still be possible.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management personnel is
not anticipated at this time.

$$

20

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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