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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Memphis TN
309 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-191015-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lee AR-Lee MS-
Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-Panola-Pemiscot-
Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-Shelby-St. Francis-
Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-
Yalobusha-
309 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A flash flood watch is in effect for the entire Midsouth today.
Heavy rainfall may lead to both river and flash flooding.

There is a Slight and Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms over
the Midsouth today. Most favored location is north Mississippi.
Primary threat is damaging winds. Secondary threats are brief
tornadoes and large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

No hazardous weather is anticipated at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed today.

$$

JAB

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
519 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-MSZ018-019-182000-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-Bolivar-Sunflower-
519 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today

Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall
due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph
being possible. High profile vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Some
thunderstorms could produce damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph, and
quarter size hail.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, heavy rainfall and areas of flash flooding are likely,
with some road closures possible due to flooding.  Two to four
inches of rain, with locally higher amounts over a short period
of time is expected. River flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
519 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

LAZ008-009-015-016-023>026-MSZ025-034-035-040>042-047-053-059>061-
182000-
West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-Madison LA-Franklin LA-
Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Leflore-Washington-Humphreys-Issaquena-
Sharkey-Yazoo-Warren-Claiborne-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-
519 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northwest Mississippi, southwest Mississippi, and west central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today

Today an tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph being
possible. High profile vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely, and a
strong tornado cannot be ruled out. Damaging wind gusts of 70 to
80 mph, and quarter size hail are likely as well.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, heavy rainfall and areas of flash flooding are likely,
with some road closures possible due to flooding.  Two to four
inches of rain, with locally higher amounts over a short period
of time is expected. River flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
519 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

MSZ026>030-032-033-036>038-043-044-048>050-054-055-062>064-182000-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Holmes-
Attala-Winston-Madison MS-Leake-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Copiah-Simpson-
Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-
519 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northeast Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today

Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall
due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph
being possible. High profile vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Today, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely, and a
strong tornado cannot be ruled out. Damaging wind gusts of 70 to
80 mph, and quarter size hail are likely as well.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today, heavy rainfall and areas of flash flooding are likely,
with some road closures possible due to flooding. Two to four
inches of rain, with locally higher amounts over a short period of
time is expected. River flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
519 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

MSZ031-039-045-046-051-052-056>058-065-066-072>074-182000-
Lowndes-Noxubee-Neshoba-Kemper-Newton-Lauderdale-Smith-Jasper-
Clarke-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
519 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, northeast Mississippi,
south central Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today through Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today through Tonight

Today into early this evening, severe thunderstorms and tornadoes
are likely, and a strong tornado cannot be ruled out. Damaging
wind gusts of 70 to 80 mph, and quarter size hail are likely as
well.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Today into tonight, heavy rainfall and areas of flash flooding
are likely, with some road closures possible due to flooding. Two
to four inches of rain, with locally higher amounts over a short
period of time is expected. River flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Today through tonight, weak trees and limbs may break and fall
due to sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph
being possible. High profile vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today
through tonight.

$$

19

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely
 due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts
 greater than 50 mph.
Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due
 to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for
 wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those
 in high profile vehicles.
Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
 sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph.
 High profile vehicles could also be affected.


...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
513 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-191000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
513 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Periods of showers and thunderstorms will continue to affect the
area today and into much of tonight. Some strong to severe storms
will be possible, primarily across the southeast portion of the
area. Heavy rainfall will lead to flash flooding in some areas,
especially over central and eastern Arkansas. The main threat for
severe weather will be damaging winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday Through Wednesday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation may be needed today.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

44

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
504 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-191015-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
504 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Middle
Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A strong cold front will sweep through Middle Tennessee this
evening. Widespread showers and thunderstorms will develop along
and ahead of the front. Some of the storms will be strong to
severe, with damaging straight-line winds the primary threat.
Brief, localized flooding may also occur in heavy downpours. Peak
time for thunderstorms will be during the late afternoon and
evening. Severe activity is most likely in areas near the Alabama
state line.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed late this afternoon and evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
434 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-191000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
434 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are possible across the region early this
morning, but they are expected to dissipate by late morning, and
are not expected to be severe. Widespread showers with embedded
thunderstorms will accompany a cold front as it slowly moves
southeast across the region from late morning through mid evening.

A few damaging wind gusts cannot be ruled out, especially along
the Kentucky-Tennessee border in the afternoon and evening.

Heavy rainfall will be the primary concern, and that may lead to
flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas. Refer to the Flood
Watch for more details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation cannot be ruled out along the Kentucky-Tennessee
border this afternoon and evening. Also, reports of flooding and
rainfall totals are appreciated.

$$

RJP

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
409 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-190015-
Lauderdale-Colbert-Franklin AL-Lawrence-Limestone-Madison-Morgan-
Marshall-Jackson-DeKalb-Cullman-Moore-Lincoln-Franklin TN-
409 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north Alabama and portions of
southern middle Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Thunderstorms will increase in coverage by the mid to late afternoon
as a strong cold front moves in from the west. Scattered severe
storms will be possible, mainly during the late afternoon and evening
hours. Damaging straight-line winds will be the primary threat with
the strongest activity, but an isolated tornado or two cannot be
ruled out. Locally heavy rainfall will also be a concern, which may
result in minor flooding of roads and low lying areas. The threat for
severe weather will diminish from west to east after midnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Excessive rainfall that may occur on Thursday could lead to
additional rises on a few rivers, and possible minor river flooding
late this week into the weekend.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management personnel will be
needed this afternoon and evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
325 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-190830-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
325 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

 Elevated flooding risk.
 Elevated lightning risk.
 Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

Showers and thunderstorms will continue to track across portions
of south central Missouri at times through much of the day. One to
three inches of rainfall are expected across far south central
Missouri with locally higher amounts possible through early this
evening. This rainfall may lead to the flooding of creeks,
streams, and low water crossings.

Gusty northerly winds up to 30 mph will occur at times today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

An unsettled period is expected from late Sunday into the middle
portion of next week. Several chances for thunderstorms will exist
during the period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected to be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Wise

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
829 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2019

ALZ011>015-017>050-190430-
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
829 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Minor flooding is occurring along the Tombigbee River basin. Please
refer to river warnings and statements for specific details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Severe thunderstorms are likely Thursday and Thursday night. Threats
include tornadoes and damaging winds up to 60 mph. Severe storms
could begin as early as 4 PM Thursday afternoon in western Central
Alabama and last as late as 4 AM Friday morning in southeast Central
Alabama.

Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible Thursday night, which
may result in localized flooding. Ahead of the line of
thunderstorms, breezy conditions are expected with gradient wind
gusts of 35 mph possible.

Minor flooding is expected to continue along the Tombigbee River
basin through at least Monday. Please refer to river warnings and
statements for specific details.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management may be needed
Thursday and Thursday night.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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