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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
254 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
192000-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
254 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected starting this afternoon in
western MN then gradually shifting east into southern and eastern
MN into western WI this evening through tonight. A few storms may
be severe, particularly in southwestern MN. The main hazards are
large hail and damaging winds, but a tornado or two cannot be
ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Increasing heat and humidity will return starting Tuesday and
lasting for much of next week, including heat index values
returning to the lower 90s.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation may be needed this evening across SW
MN.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
410 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-
098-NEZ013-014-SDZ038>040-050-052>071-192115-
Lyon-Osceola-Dickinson-Sioux-O`Brien-Clay-Plymouth-Cherokee-
Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Lincoln-Murray-Cottonwood-Nobles-Jackson-
Pipestone-Rock-Dixon-Dakota-Beadle-Kingsbury-Brookings-Gregory-
Jerauld-Sanborn-Miner-Lake-Moody-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Hanson-McCook-
Minnehaha-Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-Turner-Bon Homme-Yankton-
Union-
410 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Iowa, west central
Iowa, southwest Minnesota, northeast Nebraska, central South
Dakota, east central South Dakota, south central South Dakota and
southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Strong to severe storms return to the area this evening and tonight.
Storms look to develop along and north of US Highway 14 and push
southeastward during this period of time. Additional storms are
expected to develop near I-90 late this evening. Large hail up to 2
inches in diameter, damaging winds to 70 mph, a brief tornado, and
locally heavy rainfall are all possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Additional chances for showers and storms are possible over the
weekend with the highest chances (30-40%) coming Saturday night and
again Sunday night.

No break in shower and storm chances through the entirety of next
week. Details remain uncertain so continue to check the latest
forecast for the most up to date information.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Duluth MN
301 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

LSZ121-140>148-150-192015-
Bayfield to Oak Point WI-Grand Portage to Grand Marais MN-
Grand Marais to Taconite Harbor MN-
Taconite Harbor to Silver Bay Harbor MN-
Silver Bay Harbor to Two Harbors MN-Two Harbors to Duluth MN-
Duluth MN to Port Wing WI-Port Wing to Sand Island WI-
Sand Island to Bayfield WI-Oak Point to Saxon Harbor WI-
Outer Apostle Islands Beyond 5 NM from Mainland-
301 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Superior
and the Nearshore waters of western Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight

Non-severe thunderstorms are possible over western Lake Superior
this afternoon through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Additional thunderstorms are possible Monday afternoon into
Monday night and again late Tuesday and Wednesday.

$$

BJH

More information may be obtained at the following web address:
http://www.weather.gov/duluth

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Duluth MN
301 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-192015-
Koochiching-North St. Louis-Northern Cook/Northern Lake-
North Itasca-Central St. Louis-Southern Lake/North Shore-
Southern Cook/North Shore-North Cass-South Itasca-South Cass-
Crow Wing-Northern Aitkin-South Aitkin-Carlton/South St. Louis-
Pine-Douglas-Bayfield-Ashland-Iron-Burnett-Washburn-Sawyer-Price-
301 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight

A few non-severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and
tonight across the Northland.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Smoke will bring very poor air quality to much of the Northland Saturday
afternoon and continue into Monday. An Air Quality Alert has been
issued for northeastern Minnesota.

Additional thunderstorms will be possible on Monday into Monday
night and again late Tuesday and Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Skywarn spotter activation is not anticipated this afternoon or
tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
1157 AM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

MNZ039-046-SDZ008-011-018>023-191700-
Traverse-Big Stone-Roberts-Day-Spink-Clark-Codington-Grant-Hamlin-
Deuel-
1157 AM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Minnesota and
northeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a marginal to slight risk, levels 1 to 2 of 5, for severe
storms from mid afternoon into early this evening. Hail of 1 inch in
diameter and winds of 60 miles per hour are the main threats. A
tornado may also be possible with these storms, mainly south and east
of Watertown.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

There is a marginal risk, level 1 out of 5, for severe weather late
Sunday afternoon into Sunday night. Hail of 1 inch in diameter and
winds of 60 miles per hour are the main threats.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed. Weather spotters are
encouraged to submit reports to the National Weather Service in
Aberdeen. The public can submit reports on our web page, Facebook
page, or our X feed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
914 AM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

MNZ002-003-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ024-028>030-038-039-049-052-053-
191415-
Norman-Clay-Mahnomen-South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-
East Becker-Wilkin-West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-
Eddy-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-
914 AM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms expected across the region today. The
main hazard will be lightning, with a low chance for strong to
severe storms capable of gusty winds and small hail near the tri
state area of South Dakota, and North Dakota, and west-central
Minnesota late this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

There is a level 1 out of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms for
portions of southeast North Dakota late Sunday. The main hazards
will be hail and gusty winds.

There is a medium chance for strong thunderstorms Monday and Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
416 AM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-190930-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
416 AM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight

There is a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) severe weather in the
northwest this afternoon and tonight, followed by a Marginal Risk
elsewhere. Damaging winds are the primary threat. Large hail as
well as a tornado or two will be possible as well. Locally heavy
rainfall possible overnight in the north.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

There is a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for severe weather and
excessive rainfall on Saturday with damaging winds being the
primary severe threat. Chances for thunderstorms will persist
into early next week. The threat for severe weather will continue
to be evaluated. Heavy rain will continue to remain possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed today and tomorrow.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
321 AM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061-191100-
Mitchell-Howard-Winneshiek-Allamakee-Floyd-Chickasaw-Fayette-
Clayton-Wabasha-Dodge-Olmsted-Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Houston-
Taylor-Clark-Buffalo-Trempealeau-Jackson-La Crosse-Monroe-Juneau-
Adams-Vernon-Crawford-Richland-Grant-
321 AM CDT Fri Jul 18 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Minnesota...northeast Iowa and southwest into central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms will be possible tonight. Heavy rainfall could lead to
localized flooding. A few of these could be strong in southeast
Minnesota and northeast Iowa. The main threats are hail and
damaging winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Thunderstorms will be possible Saturday morning. A few of these
could be strong to severe in northeast Iowa and southwest
Wisconsin. The main threats are hail and damaging winds. In
addition, heavy rain may cause localized flooding south of
Interstate 90.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

No action needed.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

No webinar is scheduled.

$$

Boyne

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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