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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
828 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-MNZ072-080-081-089-090-098-NEZ013-
014-SDZ071-151200-
Lyon-Osceola-Dickinson-Sioux-O`Brien-Clay-Plymouth-Cherokee-
Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Murray-Cottonwood-Nobles-Jackson-Rock-Dixon-
Dakota-Union-
828 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Iowa, west central
Iowa, southwest Minnesota, northeast Nebraska and southeast South
Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Scattered thunderstorms may spread in from the west Tuesday night. A
few of these may become strong to severe with hazards of hail up to
quarter size and wind gusts up to 70 mph. Additionally, heavy
downpours can be expected with storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed Tuesday evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
828 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

MNZ071-097-SDZ038>040-050-052>070-151200-
Lincoln-Pipestone-Beadle-Kingsbury-Brookings-Gregory-Jerauld-Sanborn-
Miner-Lake-Moody-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Hanson-McCook-Minnehaha-
Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-Turner-Bon Homme-Yankton-Clay-
828 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Minnesota, central
South Dakota, east central South Dakota, south central South Dakota
and southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop late Tuesday
afternoon into Tuesday night. A few of these may become strong to
severe with hazards of hail up to golf ball size, wind gusts up to
70 mph, and perhaps a brief tornado. Additionally, heavy downpours
can be expected with storms. A few locations may see rain amounts of
1 to 2.5 inches.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed Tuesday evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
414 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

MNZ001>009-013>017-022-023-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-
049-052-054-150915-
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-
West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake-
East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen-
South Clearwater-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-
Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-
Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Western Walsh-
414 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorm chances increase as we go thru the late afternoon and
into tonight.A few storms may be severe.  There is a level 1 out
of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms this evening into tonight. The
main hazards will be damaging wind gusts, large hail and heavy
rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required today.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
414 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

MNZ024-027>032-040-NDZ053-150915-
Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin-West Otter Tail-
East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Richland-
414 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorm chances increase as we go into tonight. A few storms
may be severe. There is a level 1 out of 5 risk for severe
thunderstorms this evening into tonight. The main hazards will be
damaging wind gusts, large hail and heavy rainfall.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Thunderstorm likely much of Tuesday. A few storms may be severe.
There is a level 1 out of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms Tuesday
afternoon. The main hazards will be damaging wind gusts, large
hail and heavy rainfall.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required today.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Duluth MN
405 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

LSZ121-140>148-150-150915-
Bayfield to Oak Point WI-Grand Portage to Grand Marais MN-
Grand Marais to Taconite Harbor MN-
Taconite Harbor to Silver Bay Harbor MN-
Silver Bay Harbor to Two Harbors MN-Two Harbors to Duluth MN-
Duluth MN to Port Wing WI-Port Wing to Sand Island WI-
Sand Island to Bayfield WI-Oak Point to Saxon Harbor WI-
Outer Apostle Islands Beyond 5 NM from Mainland-
405 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Superior
and the Nearshore waters of western Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a 50 percent chance of isolated thunderstorms over
western Lake Superior this evening. A few storms along the North
Shore could be strong, capable of producing gale force winds, hail
up an inch, and cloud-to-water lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Several chances of thunderstorms are forecast this week with best
chances Tuesday afternoon and evening. A few thunderstorms could
be strong.

$$

KML

More information may be obtained at the following web address:
http://www.weather.gov/duluth

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Duluth MN
405 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-150915-
Koochiching-North St. Louis-Northern Cook/Northern Lake-
North Itasca-Central St. Louis-Southern Lake/North Shore-
Southern Cook/North Shore-North Cass-South Itasca-South Cass-
Crow Wing-Northern Aitkin-South Aitkin-Carlton/South St. Louis-
Pine-Douglas-Bayfield-Ashland-Iron-Burnett-Washburn-Sawyer-Price-
405 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Wildfire smoke will linger today into this evening. Please refer
to the latest Air Quality Alerts for Minnesota and Wisconsin for
more details.

Thunderstorms are expected this evening across northern Minnesota.
A few storms may be strong to severe capable of producing hail up
to one and a half inches and damaging winds. Heavy rainfall may
lead to ponding or localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Additional thunderstorm chances are forecast through the end of
the week. A few strong to severe storms are possible again
Tuesday. Locally heavy rainfall may lead to localized flooding
Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Skywarn spotters are encouraged to report hail of any size and
rainfall amounts to the National Weather Service.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
329 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

MNZ039-046-SDZ003>011-015>023-033>037-045-048-051-150830-
Traverse-Big Stone-Corson-Campbell-McPherson-Brown-Marshall-Roberts-
Walworth-Edmunds-Day-Dewey-Potter-Faulk-Spink-Clark-Codington-Grant-
Hamlin-Deuel-Stanley-Sully-Hughes-Hyde-Hand-Jones-Lyman-Buffalo-
329 AM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 /229 AM MDT Mon Jul 14 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Minnesota,
central South Dakota, north central South Dakota and northeast
South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms northwest of a line
from Victor to Vivian this evening. The main threats will be strong
winds and quarter sized hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

There is a slight risk (2 out of 5) for severe thunderstorms Tuesday
southeast of a line from Watertown to Vivian with a marginal risk
elsewhere. Locally heavy rain is possible across northeast SD and
west central MN on Tuesday.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be requested. Weather spotters are encouraged
to submit reports to the National Weather Service in Aberdeen. The
public can submit reports on our web page, Facebook page, or our X
feed.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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