Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
151 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-181900-
Monona-Harrison-Shelby-Pottawattamie-Mills-Montgomery-Fremont-Page-
Knox-Cedar-Thurston-Antelope-Pierce-Wayne-Boone-Madison-Stanton-
Cuming-Burt-Platte-Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-Saunders-Douglas-
Sarpy-Seward-Lancaster-Cass-Otoe-Saline-Jefferson-Gage-Johnson-
Nemaha-Pawnee-Richardson-
151 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Iowa, west central
Iowa, east central Nebraska, northeast Nebraska and southeast
Nebraska.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop after 4 PM,
initially across northeast Nebraska before spreading south and east.
Large hail (2+ inches), damaging wind gusts, and a few tornadoes
(possibly strong) are the expected hazards. Heavy rain due to
several storms moving over the same area may result in some concerns
for flash flooding. A Tornado Watch has been issued for the northern
portion of the outlook area through 10 PM.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Additional strong to severe storms are forecast for Monday
afternoon, with an increased threat for large hail (2-4+ inches) and
strong tornadoes. Additional chances for heavy rainfall on top of
what has already fallen since Friday night will result in a potential
for flash flooding, particularly for portions of southeastern
Nebraska. Chances to see severe storm activity is maximized over
southeast Nebraska.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed. Any reports of hail, strong winds,
tornadoes, flooding or damage are greatly appreciated today and
Monday.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
430 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
IAZ004>007-015>017-023>027-033>037-044>047-057>059-070-071-081-
182130-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Sac-Calhoun-Webster-
Hamilton-Hardin-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-Boone-Audubon-Guthrie-
Dallas-Cass-Adair-Adams-
430 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.
.DAY ONE...Tonight
There is an Enhanced Risk (level 3 of 5) for severe storms today.
Storms are expected to move into the area after 7PM this evening,
continuing to move across Iowa throughout Monday morning. Damaging
winds, large hail and tornadoes are all possible.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday
There is an Enhanced Risk (level 3 of 5) for severe weather on
Monday. All hazards will be possible.
Heavy rainfall is expected to occur at times with Monday`s severe
storms. Flash flooding concerns are limited, with the highest
risk in cities and towns.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed at times through Monday.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
430 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
IAZ028-038-039-048>050-060>062-072>075-082>086-092>097-182130-
Bremer-Grundy-Black Hawk-Story-Marshall-Tama-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Union-Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-
Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-Appanoose-Davis-
430 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.
.DAY ONE...Tonight
There is a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for severe storms tonight.
Damaging winds are the primary threat though localized large hail
and a tornado are also possible. Storms are expected to move
into central Iowa late tonight and last through mid- morning on
Monday.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday
There is an Enhanced Risk (level 3 of 5) for severe weather on
Monday. All hazards will be possible.
Heavy rainfall is expected to occur at times with Monday`s severe
storms. Flash flooding concerns are limited, with the highest
risk in cities and towns.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed at times through Monday.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
326 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-182030-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
326 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
east central Kansas, north central Kansas, and northeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Gusty south winds from 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph
through early evening.
Scattered severe storms are possible after 5 PM across north central
Kansas. These storms may form into a line as they move east southeast
this evening. Very large hail, damaging wind gusts, and a few
tornadoes are the main hazards. Localized flooding is also a
concern if storms train over areas that received heavy rain the
previous evening.
A Flood Watch remains in effect from 7 PM this evening through 7
AM Tuesday morning for areas along and north of I-70. Widespread
rainfall totals of 2-4 inches are expected with locally higher
amounts could lead to flooding.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday
Gusty south winds return across the Flint Hills Monday morning and
afternoon with sustained winds of 20-30 mph and gusts upwards of
45 mph into the early evening. A Wind Advisory remains in effect
for Dickinson, Morris, Lyon, Geary and Wabaunsee counties from 9
AM to 9 PM Monday.
The greatest chance for severe weather is still shaping up to be
Monday afternoon and Monday night. There is good confidence in
storms developing over north central KS by the early evening and
move across all of northeast and east-central Kansas through the
night. Storms will be capable of producing tornadoes, very large
hail, damaging winds and flash flooding. People should be prepared
for thunderstorms impacting the area.
A Flood Watch remains in effect from 7 PM this evening through 7
AM Tuesday morning for areas along and north of I-70. Widespread
rainfall totals of 2-4 inches are expected with locally higher
amounts could lead to flooding.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
255 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-182000-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-Grant-
Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-Logan-
Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
255 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 /155 PM MDT Sun May 17 2026/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central Nebraska.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Severe thunderstorms are likely across portions of western and
central Nebraska. This will likely occur in two regimes: one with
storms moving into southwest Nebraska from Colorado and two, along a
frontal boundary around central and eastern Nebraska. The overall
environment will be supportive of very large hail (2"+), damaging
wind gusts (75+ mph), and a tornado or two. Timing will favor late
afternoon into the early evening.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Isolated showers and a few thunderstorms are possible on Monday
across central Nebraska. The threat for severe weather appears low.
Falling temperatures Monday night may lead to a brief transition
from rain to a rain/snow mix. At this time, any impacts are expected
to remain minor.
Beyond Monday, the potential for widespread hazardous weather is
low.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will likely be needed.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
Issued by National Weather Service Lincoln IL
129 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-
098-NEZ013-014-SDZ038>040-050-052>071-181830-
Lyon-Osceola-Dickinson-Sioux-O`Brien-Clay-Plymouth-Cherokee-
Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Lincoln-Murray-Cottonwood-Nobles-Jackson-
Pipestone-Rock-Dixon-Dakota-Beadle-Kingsbury-Brookings-Gregory-
Jerauld-Sanborn-Miner-Lake-Moody-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Hanson-McCook-
Minnehaha-Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-Turner-Bon Homme-Yankton-
Union-
129 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Iowa, west central
Iowa, southwest Minnesota, northeast Nebraska, central South
Dakota, east central South Dakota, south central South Dakota and
southeast South Dakota.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
A significant severe weather event is possible this afternoon and
evening. Very large hail, damaging wind gusts, and tornadoes are all
possible. If you have outdoor plans know where your nearest shelter
is located. Please ensure you have multiple ways to receive warnings.
Have a plan to take shelter and act immediately if your area comes
under a severe weather warning.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Strong to severe storms are possible again Monday afternoon and
evening, particularly over northwest Iowa and southwest Minnesota.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will likely be needed this afternoon and evening.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
126 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
181200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
126 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
The threat for severe weather returns late this afternoon and
evening, primarily for areas near and east of Highway 281. Threats
include hail to the size of baseballs, damaging wind gusts near
70 MPH, and a few tornadoes. The main timeframe for severe storms
will be 5pm to 10pm, although a few storms could develop earlier
than that window or persist a bit later than that.
In addition to the severe weather potential today, near critical
to critical fire weather conditions are expected, and a Red Flag
Warning is in effect for portions of the area from 1PM to 9PM.
Please refer to the warning statement for more specific
information.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Severe weather concerns continue on Monday as a cold front moves
across the area. The best potential for severe weather will be in
northern Kansas and along and east of the Highway 81 corridor in
Nebraska. The main timeframe of concern is 3PM to 8PM.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters are encouraged to report any hail, damaging wind, or
tornadoes to the National Weather Service.
&&
More information may be obtained at the following web page:
https://www.weather.gov/hastings
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0506 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-181006-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0506 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Lingering Storms This Morning
- Strong Storms Possible Late Tonight
- Notable Severe Weather Threat Monday
$$