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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
837 PM CDT Tue May 21 2019

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-230145-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
837 PM CDT Tue May 21 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight...

.Flooding...
Recent heavy rainfall will continue to create many flooded
roadways, streams, and creeks today. Many streams and rivers
throughout Oklahoma will remain near or above flood stage.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

.Thunderstorms...
There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms across central
sections of Oklahoma and parts of western north Texas Wednesday
afternoon. Increasing southerly low level winds will bring rich
low level moisture quickly back northward during the day
Wednesday. By mid afternoon, a developing dryline will be located
near the I-44 corridor. There is a chance for a few isolated to
widely scattered thunderstorms to develop along and ahead of this
dryline. If these storms develop, they will be in an environment
favorable for supercell thunderstorms capable of producing very
large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes.

There is also a chance for severe thunderstorms across parts of
northern and western Oklahoma and western north Texas Thursday and
again Friday across parts of northern Oklahoma.

.Heavy Rainfall and Flooding...
Organized heavy rainfall is not expected after Tuesday morning,
but with extremely saturated soils across the region, it will not
take much to cause flooding. In addition, many streams and rivers
throughout Oklahoma will be near or above flood stage at least
through Wednesday.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1234 AM CDT Wed May 22 2019

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-230545-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
1234 AM CDT Wed May 22 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited flooding risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Flooding and flash flooding will continue through morning
  across the area from the past 2 days of heavy rain.

  Wind gusts may gust up to 30 mph at times early this morning.

  Another round of thunderstorms is expected mainly for areas
  along and north of Interstate 44 This evening and into
  tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

  Intermittent storm activity is expected from Thursday through
  the coming holiday weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Hatch

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
756 PM CDT Tue May 21 2019

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-222245-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
756 PM CDT Tue May 21 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Widespread flooding and river flooding will continue across the
region. All flood-related products should be monitored closely
through tonight. For more information please check flood warnings
and statements for additional details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Severe storms will be possible across mainly southeast Kansas for
late Wednesday afternoon and evening. Hail up to the size of golf
balls, damaging winds of 60 to 70mph, and an isolated tornado will
be possible. In addition, rainfall from these thunderstorms could
worsen the on going flooding in the region.

An active weather pattern will continue to affect much of the region
for Thursday through Memorial Day. More rounds of severe weather
and flooding weather are likely during this period.

Widespread flooding and river flooding will continue across the
region. For more information please check latest flood warnings and
statements for additional details.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated this afternoon or tonight,
however activation may be needed for Wednesday through Memorial Day.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
500 PM CDT Tue May 21 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
500 PM CDT Tue May 21 2019



This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.


SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing, but diminishing late evening.


DISCUSSION...
Southwest winds gusting near 25 miles an hour will occur through
the evening across parts of eastern Oklahoma.

While a break from thunderstorms will occur tonight and into the afternoon
tomorrow, areal and river flooding will continue across most of eastern
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
FRIDAY through SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances will continue through the weekend, mainly across parts
of northeast Oklahoma. Severe potential exists Wednesday, otherwise
severe weather chances will remain on the low end for the remainder of the week
and weekend.


weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
336 PM CDT Tue May 21 2019

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-220845-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
336 PM CDT Tue May 21 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Wind highlights continue for the southwest portions of the
Panhandles. All areas are expected to remain fairly breezy, but
the southwest is expected to have the strongest sustained winds
and gusts. This will continue through 8PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Severe Weather expected early thursday morning, right now hail is
the main threat, but can`t rule out all hazards. Thursday
afternoon and evening could see another round of severe weather
with all hazards in play. Looks like it will be from Amarillo
east.

Friday through Monday will continue to have a chance of
thunderstorms, some may be severe. Given the continued chances of
rain all weekend, we will have a flooding threat Friday through
Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1156 AM CDT Tue May 21 2019

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>012-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165-221200-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-
Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-
Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-
1156 AM CDT Tue May 21 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected this
afternoon over much of East Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, Southwest
Arkansas, and possibly extreme Northwest Louisiana, before
spreading east into Southcentral Arkansas and Northcentral
Louisiana this evening. This will occur as an upper level
disturbance ejects northeast across Northeast Texas, Southeast
Oklahoma, and Southwest Arkansas this afternoon, ahead of the
dryline that will mix east into Eastcentral Texas. Given the
extent of instability, wind shear, and low level moisture in
place, an isolated severe weather threat will be possible, with
damaging winds, an isolated tornado or two, and brief heavy
rainfall possible. These storms will shift east and gradually
diminish tonight over Deep East Texas, North Louisiana, and
Southcentral Arkansas.

In addition, strong southerly winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts to
35 mph will continue this afternoon, before diminishing by early
evening. Thus, a Lake Wind Advisory remains in effect until 7 PM
this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

No hazardous weather is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency managers, spotter networks, and amateur
radio operators, may be needed this afternoon for any isolated
severe thunderstorms that may develop.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
503 AM CDT Tue May 21 2019

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-221100-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
503 AM CDT Tue May 21 2019 /403 AM MDT Tue May 21 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Locally heavy rain will move through central and parts of southwest
Kansas this morning. There will be a threat for flooding with the
rain. See the latest Flash Flood Watch product for additional details.
Scattered thunderstorms are expected to redevelop this afternoon.
A few of these storms could become severe with large hail, damaging
wind and isolated tornadoes. The greatest threat for severe weather
will be around central Kansas.

Low temperatures tonight are expected to dip into the mid and upper
30s over far west central Kansas. Areas of frost will be possible.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Elevated risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Flooding: Elevated risk
* Lightning: Elevated risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Elevated risk
* Freeze: Elevated risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop late Wednesday night
into Thursday. Severe thunderstorms are expected with the greatest
potential to the east of a Hays to Liberal line. Large hail, damaging
winds, tornadoes and locally heavy rain will be possible.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk
  - Freeze: Elevated risk

* Thursday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Elevated risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon east of Highway 83.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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