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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
350 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-152100-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
350 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
Isolated weak elevated thunderstorms will be possible early
Wednesday morning across northern into portions of central
Oklahoma. Severe storms are not expected tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorms will be possible on Wednesday afternoon through
Friday as a storm system comes through. Some of these storms could
become severe on Wednesday afternoon into early Thursday morning
and again on Thursday afternoon through the evening hours. Large
hail up to golf ball size and damaging wind gusts of 60-80 mph
will be the severe hazards for Wednesday and Thursday.

Thunderstorms will again be possible late Monday.

.Flooding...
With recent rains saturating the soils across much of Oklahoma and
western north Texas, additional heavy rain from thunderstorms
Wednesday and Thursday could lead to flash flooding and some river
flooding.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
937 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

TXZ021>044-160245-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
937 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is a chance of severe thunderstorms Wednesday across the
entire area, with the highest coverage of storms expected be located
across the far Southern Texas Panhandle and northern portions of the
South Plains. In addition to severe wind gusts and large hail,
locally heavy rainfall and flooding is possible.

Scattered shower and thunderstorm activity is also expected across
the outlook area on Thursday, with a potential for severe weather
focused on the central and southern Rolling Plains.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
915 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-160215-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
915 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase from the west
overnight. The stronger storms will be capable of pea to dime size
hail, 50 mph winds, and brief heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Hit-or-miss showers and thunderstorms will linger across mainly
eastern Kansas Wednesday morning, with a continued threat for small
hail and gusty winds.

Thunderstorm chances will increase Wednesday late afternoon and
evening across central, south-central, and southeast Kansas. The
strongest activity will be capable of quarter to ping-pong ball
size hail, 60 to 70 mph winds, and perhaps an isolated tornado or
two. In addition, pockets of very heavy rainfall and localized
flooding is possible. The greatest severe weather threat will be
across mainly southern Kansas.

Periodic chances for thunderstorms will remain in the forecast for
Thursday and Friday. A few strong storms look possible through this
time frame.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
811 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-160115-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
811 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited Fog risk.

DISCUSSION...

Isolated showers and non-severe thunderstorms will continue to
push east and dissipate over the next few hours. These short-
lived semi- discrete storms could bring heavy rainfall and reduced
visibility as they pass through.

Dense fog is possible Wednesday morning, especially west of
Highway 65 and in the eastern Ozarks in valleys and near lakes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Additional shower and thunderstorm chances will occur at times
from late Wednesday evening into Friday. A few strong to
marginally severe storms are possible, along with locally heavy
rainfall and a minor localized flooding risk.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Soria

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
516 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-151000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
516 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northwest Arkansas and Far Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Late Tonight.

DISCUSSION...
Patchy fog may develop late tonight across parts of northwest
Arkansas and far northeast Oklahoma.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY through FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY...No Hazards.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY...High Wind Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
There is a low chance of thunderstorms Wednesday morning and
early afternoon across northeast Oklahoma. More widespread showers
and storms are forecast across eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas Wednesday night through Friday. Storms will be capable of
producing locally heavy rainfall which may lead to areas of flash
flooding or rises on rivers and streams. The heaviest rainfall is
expected to occur across northeast Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas. Periodic showers and thunderstorms may impact the region
early next week, but uncertainty remains regarding timing and
spatial extent.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
223 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-151930-
Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho-
Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford-
Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble-
Mason-
223 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

An isolated strong to severe thunderstorm is possible for the
western Big Country, Concho Valley and into southeastern parts of
the area late this afternoon and evening. Damaging wind gusts and
hail up to quarter size will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A few thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday evening, mainly in
the Big Country, Concho Valley and Northern Edwards Plateau. A
strong storm will be possible with gusty winds and hail, mainly
in the northwestern Big Country.

A larger part of the area will have an increased chance of storms
Thursday into Thursday night. A few severe storms will be possible
with large hail, damaging winds and dangerous lightning the main
threats. Locally heavy rainfall may bring a threat of localized
flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed Thursday afternoon and evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
159 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-150700-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
159 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

There is a slight chance for thunderstorms this afternoon and
evening. A small potential exist for developed thunderstorms to
become severe with damaging winds and large hail. Some strong to
severe wind gusts may accompany just showers across the northern
combined Panhandles due to dry surface conditions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Severe thunderstorms will be possible across the combined
Panhandles tomorrow afternoon into evening. Damaging winds and
large hail will be the main threat. There is also a chance for
thunderstorms on Thursday. Thunderstorms on Thursday may
potentially reach severe criteria especially in the southeastern
Texas Panhandle.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1137 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-151645-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-
Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-
Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-
Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1137 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Arkansas,
southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest Louisiana,
southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Heavy rainfall returns to the forecast by Thursday, as the next
system pushes into the region. Another 3-5 inches of rainfall will
be possible in some locations, with a Moderate Risk of excessive
rainfall late Thursday into Friday morning. A new flood watch will
likely be needed ahead of this event, but there is still some
uncertainty as to how far north the heaviest rainfall axis will
shift. In addition, the threat of a few strong to severe storms
cannot be ruled out during this late week timeframe. Otherwise,
improving weather conditions are expected by this weekend through
early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

19

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
305 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-150815-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
305 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024 /205 AM MDT Tue May 14 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Marginal risk of severe weather tonight between highway 50 and
I-70 where the storms could have wind gusts to 60 mph and hail up
to nickel size.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Marginal risk of severe weather for all of southwest Kansas
Wednesday night. Greatest probability of severe storms will be
between highway 50 and the Oklahoma border where storms could have
hail up to golf ball size and wind gusts to 60 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation won`t be needed.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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