Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1247 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-181900-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
1247 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025 /147 PM EST Mon Nov 17 2025/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Scattered thunderstorms are expected late tonight. A few stronger
storms could produce small hail.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected Tuesday.
Scattered small hail and isolated large hail is possible with
stronger storms Tuesday morning.
Scattered thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening
will pose a greater risk of severe weather. Scattered large hail
and an isolated tornado is possible.
Isolated thunderstorms are possible Wednesday night through
Friday. Strong storms are possible Thursday into Friday, along
with brief heavy rain.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed on Tuesday.
$$
DW
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
343 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
ILZ044-051>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-182145-
Piatt-Sangamon-Christian-Macon-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
343 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois, east
central Illinois and southeast Illinois.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Scattered thunderstorms are possible tonight. Severe weather is not
anticipated.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
There is a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) for severe weather along and
south of I-72 (east of Springfield) on Tuesday. The main hazard is
large hail, but a tornado or two cannot be ruled out.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.
$$
NMA
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
248 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-182100-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
248 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
There is a chance of thunderstorms tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Additional thunderstorms are possible Tuesday and again Wednesday
night through Friday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Kimble
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
307 PM EST Mon Nov 17 2025
INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-182015-
Orange-Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-
Harrison IN-Floyd-Clark IN-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-
Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-
Scott KY-Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-
Nicholas-Nelson-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY-Larue-Marion-
Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-
Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-
Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
307 PM EST Mon Nov 17 2025 /207 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Indiana
and central Kentucky.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Thunderstorms will be possible early Tuesday morning, bringing
lightning and possibly small hail.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday as a warm front develops across
central Kentucky. Isolated strong to severe storms may produce small
hail, brief heavy rainfall, and a brief spin-up tornado.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.
$$
SRW
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
158 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-182000-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
158 PM CST Mon Nov 17 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Marginal hail risk.
Limited lightning risk.
Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.
Elevated fire weather risk.
DISCUSSION...
Gusty winds will remain possible the afternoon into the early
evening with some gusts of 25 to 35 mph. An elevated fire risk
will persist into the early evening over the eastern Ozarks where
relative humidity values sink into the 20s and 30s this afternoon.
Strong to severe storms will be exiting the area to the north in
central MO this afternoon. Large hail will be possible with the
stronger storms until they push out of the area.
Additional storms will be possible late tonight as a warm front
moves into the area. Some storms may be capable of hail to the
size of quarters.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Widespread moderate to heavy rain will occur at times from late
Wednesday into Friday as showers and thunderstorms move across
the area. Severe storms are not expected across the area at this
time. Localized flooding may be possible for locations which
received multiple rounds of heavy rain.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Lindenberg