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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
345 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-171000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
345 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024 /445 PM EDT Thu May 16 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

A few thunderstorms may approach severe levels late this afternoon
and this evening, mainly over southeast Missouri. Isolated
damaging winds will be the main concern, but large hail cannot be
ruled out.

Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to bring heavy
rainfall to the Quad State through tonight. A Flood Watch has
been issued for potential flash flooding over southern portions
of southeast Missouri, the southern tip of Illinois and the
Purchase Area of Kentucky for tonight and Friday. PLease consult
the watch for details. Elsewhere, lightning and localized heavy
rainfall can be expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

A Flood Watch for flash flooding will continue through Friday for
southern portions of southeast Missouri, the southern tip of
Illinois and the Purchase Area of Kentucky. Please consult the
watch for details.

A chance of thunderstorms is forecast from Tuesday through
Wednesday. The best chances will be Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning as a cold front passes. Locally heavy rainfall and
lightning will be the primary concerns.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters over southeast Missouri should be prepared for activation
through early this evening. Spotters throughout the area are
encouraged to report any heavy rainfall and flooding issues they
encounter through Friday.

$$

DRS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1053 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-180400-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
1053 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible across southeast Missouri and
southern Illinois overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There is a chance of thunderstorms across parts of the area Friday
and Saturday. There is another chance of thunderstorms early Monday
through Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

19

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
759 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-180100-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
759 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited excessive rainfall risk
  Limited Fog risk.

DISCUSSION...

Scattered showers and a few rumbles of thunder will continue
overnight, mainly across portions of southern Missouri. The severe
threat has ended for the night.

Patchy fog is then expected over portions of the area early
Friday morning.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Thunderstorm chances will return to the area next week.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Melto

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
317 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-172030-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler-
Mason-Logan-De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Cass-Menard-Scott-
Morgan-Sangamon-Christian-Macon-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
317 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois, east
central Illinois, southeast Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue tonight. Severe
storms are not expected, but locally heavy rain is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There will be isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms Friday and
Saturday, mainly south of I-72. The probability of organized severe
weather is low, but locally heavy rain is possible.

Additional storms are expected early next week, some of which could
be strong to severe. However, the exact timing and location of any
severe thunderstorms remains uncertain at this range.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

$$

Erwin

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
337 PM EDT Thu May 16 2024

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-171945-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-
Boone-Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-
Putnam-Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-
Johnson-Shelby-Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-
Decatur-Knox-Daviess-Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
337 PM EDT Thu May 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.

Isolated to Scattered Thunderstorms are possible through tonight.
Severe weather is not expected, but lightning is a hazard with
any storm.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Periodic showers and storms expected Friday and Saturday with
additional thunderstorms next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at:

http://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ind
http://www.weather.gov/ind

$$

WFO IND

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
312 PM EDT Thu May 16 2024

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-171915-
Orange-Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-
Harrison IN-Floyd-Clark IN-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-
Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-
Scott KY-Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-
Nicholas-Nelson-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY-Larue-Marion-
Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-
Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-
Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
312 PM EDT Thu May 16 2024 /212 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Indiana, south central
Indiana, east central Kentucky, north central Kentucky, northwest
Kentucky and south central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms will develop just before daybreak on
Friday. A few stronger storms could produce locally heavy downpours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected Friday and
Saturday. The main threat from this activity will be brief heavy
downpours and localized minor flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:

Any thunderstorms overnight will move to the northeast at 15 to 20
mph.

Any users of this storm motion must be aware that thunderstorm activity
can be erratic and constantly evolving.  Please use this with caution
and be prepared for changing conditions.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

$$

BTN/RAS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
241 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024

ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-171000-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
241 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms are forecast today into tonight...initially across
northern sections of the state late this morning into the
afternoon hours...then chances increase further south by later
this afternoon into tonight. While the overall threat for seeing
severe weather is generally low...a few strong to severe
thunderstorms could be seen. Damaging winds and large hail will be
the primary threat with the strongest storms. Locally heavy
rainfall will also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Thunderstorms remain in the forecast across the area for Friday
into Friday night before chances decrease over the weekend. The
overall severe weather threat remains low at this time...but a
strong to severe thunderstorm is possible. Damaging winds and some
large hail could be seen with the strongest storms. Some locally
heavy rainfall could also be seen.

From Sunday through early next week...a period of above normal
temperatures is expected to persist across the state. Daily highs
are expected to approach or exceed 90 degrees in many
locations...with heat index values in the upper 90s at times.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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