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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
434 AM MDT Mon May 16 2022

COZ058>089-093>099-171045-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
434 AM MDT Mon May 16 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Gusty winds and low relative humidity values will bring a return of
high fire danger to the southern mountains, valleys and southern I-
25 corridor region mainly along and south of highway 50.  However,
an hour or two of spotty critical fire weather conditions will be
possible across the remainder of the central mountains as well as El
Paso and Pueblo counties this afternoon.  Please avoid any
activities which could start a wildfire as conditions will be
receptive to rapid fire growth and spread.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will develop across the
mountains during the early afternoon and spread eastward into the
adjacent plains during the mid afternoon through evening.  The main
risks with thunderstorms across the mountains and valleys will be
localized gusty winds up to 50 mph but with little or no rainfall.
As storms move east, one or two severe thunderstorms will be
possible across the southeast plains. Initially the main risk with
thunderstorms will be gusty outflow winds up to 65 mph and isolated
lightning strikes which could spark a wild fire. As storms move east
of a line from La Junta to Kim, they will encounter more moisture
with the added risk of hail up to 1 inch in diameter, dangerous
cloud to ground lightning, and brief moderate rainfall especially as
the get closer to the Kansas border this evening.  The window for
severe thunderstorm potential will be from 2 PM to 10 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Critical Fire Weather conditions will likely continue into this
week, first across the mountains and valleys, then spreading
eastward into the southeast plains late week. Thursday will be the
most concerning High Fire Danger day across southern Colorado as
gusty west winds increase ahead of another storm system.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday and
Wednesday across portions of the eastern mountains and plains. The
main risk with thunderstorms will be strong outflow winds and
lightning, but only spotty light rainfall amounts. However, there is
the chance for a strong to severe storm or two across the eastern
plains Tuesday and Wednesday if low level moisture behind a cold
front increases sufficiently. Hail and locally heavy rain will be
possible if this occurs.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.

$$

31/SIMCOE

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
422 AM MDT Mon May 16 2022

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-171645-
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-
Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-
Red Willow-
422 AM MDT Mon May 16 2022 /522 AM CDT Mon May 16 2022/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

There is a marginal risk of severe weather as isolated to scattered
thunderstorms move out of eastern Colorado late this afternoon and
across northwestern Kansas and southwest Nebraska this evening. Large
hail and damaging winds will be the primary threat with some of the
stronger storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

A marginal to slight risk of severe storms exits across the area as a
cold front pushes across the region late Tuesday afternoon and
evening. Large hail and damaging winds will be the main threats
although an isolated tornado can not be ruled out.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms move off the higher terrain in
Colorado Wednesday afternoon and move across the plains mainly south
of Interstate 70 Wednesday as they diminish Wednesday evening. There
will be a marginal risk of some storms becoming severe.

Elevated to Critical Fire Weather conditions are possible Thursday as
dry conditions ahead of the next cold front bring relative humidity
values below 20% along with southwest winds gusting over 25mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
418 AM MDT Mon May 16 2022

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-171030-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-
Upper Gunnison River Valley-Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-
Northwest San Juan Mountains-Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
418 AM MDT Mon May 16 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for eastern Utah and western
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms are possible over the mountains of the
Continental Divide this afternoon through early this evening.
Localized, brief critical fire weather conditions are likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Tuesday: Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible during
the afternoon and evening, mainly north of the I-70 corridor.
Localized, brief critical fire weather conditions are possible,
mainly south of the I-70 corridor.

Wednesday: Expect scattered thunderstorms over the western
Colorado mountains during the afternoon and evening. Localized,
brief critical fire weather conditions are possible, mainly south
of the I-70 corridor.

Thursday: Strong and gusty southwest winds may bring a return of
widespread and prolonged critical fire weather conditions to much
of the region. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible
over the Elkhead, Park and Flat Top Mountains.

Friday: Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible, mainly
over the northern and central Colorado mountains. Localized,
brief critical fire weather conditions are possible across the
Four Corners region.

Saturday and Sunday: Isolated thunderstorms are possible along the
mountains of the Continental Divide. Localized, brief critical
fire weather conditions are possible across areas south of the
I-70 corridor.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
329 AM MDT Mon May 16 2022

COZ030>051-170930-
Jackson County Below 9000 Feet-
West Jackson and West Grand Counties Above 9000 Feet-
Grand and Summit Counties Below 9000 Feet-
South and East Jackson/Larimer/North and Northeast Grand/
Northwest Boulder Counties Above 9000 Feet-
South and Southeast Grand/West Central and Southwest Boulder/
Gilpin/Clear Creek/Summit/North and West Park Counties Above
9000 Feet-Larimer and Boulder Counties Between 6000 and 9000 Feet-
Jefferson and West Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet/Gilpin/Clear
Creek/Northeast Park Counties Below 9000 Feet-
Central and Southeast Park County-
Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-
Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield
County-
North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and
Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-
Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet-
Northeast Weld County-Central and South Weld County-Morgan County-
Central and East Adams and Arapahoe Counties-
North and Northeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/North Lincoln
County-
Southeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/South Lincoln County-
Logan County-Washington County-Sedgwick County-Phillips County-
329 AM MDT Mon May 16 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for northeast and north central
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A few thunderstorms possible in the eastern plains late this
afternoon and evening. There will be potential for strong outflow
winds with storms and even elevated showers along the urban
corridor.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Scattered showers and thunderstorms can be expected both Tuesday
and Wednesday afternoon and evening. A couple severe storms will
be possible across the plains mainly east of the I-25 Corridor,
with strong, gusty winds and hail being the primary threats.

Thursday will feature very warm temperatures, gusty winds, and
elevated to critical fire weather conditions.

A change to much cooler weather and a chance of showers can be
expected for Friday into the weekend. Temperatures will even be
cold enough for some snow, most likely in the mountains and
foothills.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
351 AM CDT Mon May 16 2022

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-162100-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
351 AM CDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop late
this afternoon and evening across all of the Oklahoma and Texas
Panhandles. Some storms may become severe with large hail and
damaging winds the primary hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

High temperatures around 105 degrees are anticipated Tuesday at
Palo Duro Canyon State Park, and a Heat Advisory may become
necessary.

Thunderstorms are possible late Wednesday afternoon and evening
across much of the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles. A few storms may
become severe, with large hail and damaging winds the primary
hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may become necessary late this afternoon and
evening.

$$

02

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
234 AM CDT Mon May 16 2022

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-170745-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
234 AM CDT Mon May 16 2022 /134 AM MDT Mon May 16 2022/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Monday.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Strong south winds will return Monday afternoon, strongest across
the western counties, where fire danger will be elevated once
again.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to enter the southwest zones
Monday evening. The primary risk from these storms will be outflow
winds to 70 mph and areas of blowing dust.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Thunderstorm wind: Elevated risk
* Fire weather: Significant risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Saturday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Thunderstorm potential continues Tuesday, with coverage favoring
the northeast zones Tuesday evening. Some storms may be severe
with large hail and damaging winds.

Another complex of thunderstorms may arrive from Colorado
Wednesday evening.

Unseasonably hot temperatures are expected Thursday, with elevated
to critical fire danger. A strong cold front will bring strong
north winds Thursday night.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Tuesday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk
  - Severe thunderstorms: Elevated risk

* Wednesday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Thursday
  - Fire weather: Significant risk

* Friday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Saturday
  - Excessive cold: Elevated risk
  - Frost: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required for the southwest zones,
southwest of a Lakin-Meade line Monday evening.

&&

For more details visit our webpage
https://weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ddc

$$

Turner

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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