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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
549 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021

COZ058>089-093>099-081200-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
549 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Red Flag conditions expected today across the San Luis Valley.

Strong to severe thunderstorms possible this afternoon and evening
over portions of the eastern plains, mainly south of Highway 50 and
east of Highway 287. Strong damaging wind gusts and large hail,
around 1 inch in diameter, are the greatest risks with the storms
today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible on Saturday
across the southeast plains. Hail up to 1.50 inches in diameter
and wind gusts up to 70 mph will be possible northeast of a line
from Colorado Springs to Kim. The greatest hail risk will be north
of highway 50 with thunderstorms carrying a greater strong wind
threat to the south of highway 50. Blowing dust will be possible
and could briefly reduce visibility to under 1/2 mile. Isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the
mountains and central valleys with gusty winds up to 50 mph,
lightning and brief light to moderate rainfall possible.
Meanwhile critical fire weather conditions will be possible across
the San Luis Valley on Saturday due to gusty winds, low humidity
and dry fuels.

Cooler and wetter weather will spread across southern Colorado
for Sunday through Tuesday with the heaviest precipitation
concentrated across the southeast mountains and Pikes Peak region.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible across the mountains and
valleys each day, a few of which may move off into the adjacent
plains. These could produce locally heavy rainfall, small hail,
and locally gusty winds. Burn scar flash flooding will be possible
on Sunday should a stronger storm impact these areas. The
greatest risk will be south of highway 50 where snow levels will
remain above 10000 feet.

Snow levels will drop Sunday night across the mountains with
several inches of heavy wet snow possible across the higher
elevations of the central and southeast mountains. A few inches of
wet snow accumulations will be possible across the Palmer Divide
Sunday night and again Monday night, mainly on grassy surfaces as
snow levels waver down to around 7000 feet.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms continue into
Tuesday before the storm system moves out of the region during the
afternoon. Drier and warmer weather returns for the latter part of
the work week. -KT

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
possible this afternoon across the southeast plains.

$$

55/31

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
436 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-081045-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-
Upper Gunnison River Valley-Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-
Northwest San Juan Mountains-Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
436 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for eastern Utah and western
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong southwest winds, above normal temperatures and low relative
humidity combined with later than normal green-up will bring
critical fire weather conditions to much of western Colorado
below 8,500 feet. In addition, isolated thunderstorms are possible
over the higher elevations of the San Juan, Elk and Sawatch
mountains this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Critical fire weather conditions are possible through Sunday.
Light mountain snow may return to the northern and central
mountains early next week. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are
possible each afternoon/evening beginning Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
359 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021

COZ030>051-081000-
Jackson County Below 9000 Feet-
West Jackson and West Grand Counties Above 9000 Feet-
Grand and Summit Counties Below 9000 Feet-
South and East Jackson/Larimer/North and Northeast Grand/
Northwest Boulder Counties Above 9000 Feet-
South and Southeast Grand/West Central and Southwest Boulder/
Gilpin/Clear Creek/Summit/North and West Park Counties Above
9000 Feet-Larimer and Boulder Counties Between 6000 and 9000 Feet-
Jefferson and West Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet/Gilpin/Clear
Creek/Northeast Park Counties Below 9000 Feet-
Central and Southeast Park County-
Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-
Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield
County-
North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and
Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-
Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet-
Northeast Weld County-Central and South Weld County-Morgan County-
Central and East Adams and Arapahoe Counties-
North and Northeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/North Lincoln
County-
Southeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/South Lincoln County-
Logan County-Washington County-Sedgwick County-Phillips County-
359 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for northeast and north central
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated, high-based showers and thunderstorms will produce gusty
outflow winds to around 40 mph late this afternoon and evening.
A dryline will develop roughly from northeast Weld county toward
the Akron area. There is a low threat of a strong to severe storm
or two along and east of this line. Large hail and gusty winds
would be the primary threat of severe weather, but only if a
storm could break the cap.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Saturday will see scattered showers and storms with light
precipitation. There is a marginal threat of severe storms
producing some hail and gusty winds in the afternoon, which still
seems limited to the plains east of the Palmer Divide, mainly
Lincoln County.

Sunday through Tuesday, there will be widespread showers and
storms with potential for heavy precipitation that could impact
the lower elevations of the burn areas. However, cooling
temperatures and falling snow levels will mean snow for the higher
elevations which would mitigate flood danger.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
325 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021

NMZ201>241-081100-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-
Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-
Upper Tularosa Valley-South Central Mountains-
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
325 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern and
central New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Increased moisture will lead to scattered thunderstorms this
afternoon, mainly across central to eastern New Mexico. Some storms
may turn strong to possibly severe. Brief downpours and gusty to
potentially damaging winds will be the most likely threats, but large
hail cannot be ruled out. Thunderstorms in western New Mexico will
produce little to no rainfall today, and dry lightning strikes will
pose a concern for new wildfires.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Strengthening winds will return to many areas of northern and central
New Mexico on Saturday where low humidity will also develop. This
could create a few to several hours of critical fire weather
conditions in the afternoon and early evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should report severe weather through the National Weather
Service Albuquerque web site or by calling 1.888.386.7637. You can
also submit storm reports and photos on our Facebook page or via
Twitter using the hashtag nmwx.

$$

52

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
336 AM CDT Fri May 7 2021

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-081000-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
336 AM CDT Fri May 7 2021 /236 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

There will be a chance for strong to severe thunderstorms late
this afternoon and early this evening. The main hazards from these
storms today will be quarter to near ping pong ball size and wind
gusts of 60 mph.

Gusty winds and low afternoon relative humidity values will
produce elevated to near critical fire weather conditions west of
a Garden City to Liberal line.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Hail: Limited risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Limited risk
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
* Fire weather: Significant risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Severe thunderstorms will be possible Saturday afternoon and early
Saturday night. Hail larger than two inches, wind gusts in excess
of 60 mph and heavy rainfall can be expected from the stronger
storms. A few tornadoes will also be possible.

Critical to near critical fire weather conditions will be possible
Saturday afternoon west of a Garden City to Liberal line.


Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Saturday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Extreme risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed after 3 pm this
afternoon...mainly south of a Johnson City to Sublette line.

&&

For more details visit our webpage
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ddc

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
328 AM CDT Fri May 7 2021

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-072100-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
328 AM CDT Fri May 7 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon and evening
across the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles. Some storms may become
strong to severe with large hail and damaging winds the primary
hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Thunderstorms will be possible across much of the Oklahoma and
Texas Panhandles late Sunday afternoon through Tuesday evening.
Any storms that form are expected to remain below severe levels at
this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter groups and emergency management officials should remain
alert and be ready for possible activation later this afternoon
and evening.

$$

02

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
128 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-080730-
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-
Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-
Red Willow-
128 AM MDT Fri May 7 2021 /228 AM CDT Fri May 7 2021/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A few thunderstorms may develop in vicinity of Limon, Colorado late
this afternoon, tracking east toward the Kansas border by sunset
this evening. Wind gusts up to 65 mph are possible in association
with any storms, mainly in vicinity of Interstate 70 from Flagler to
Goodland between 5 pm and 9 pm MDT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

A cold front will surge southeastward through the Tri-State area on
Saturday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are anticipated to
develop along and behind the front. Isolated severe storms capable of
producing large hail and damaging winds are possible during the
afternoon, mainly along and south of Highway 36, or along and south
of a line extending eastward from Idalia, Colorado to Norton, Kansas.

Areas of blowing dust are also possible during the day on Saturday,
as winds abruptly shift to the north and increase to 35 to 45 mph in
the wake of the cold front.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed on Saturday.

$$

Vincent

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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