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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
404 AM MST Wed Nov 20 2019

COZ058>089-093>099-211115-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
404 AM MST Wed Nov 20 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Snow will spread into the mountains this morning, and will continue
through the day.  Several inches of accumulations can be expected
over the Eastern San Juan and La Garita Mountains, with a few inches
over the central and eastern mountains.  Tonight, snow chances will
decrease over most of the mountain areas, although the southwest and
central mountains, portions of Teller County and northern El Paso
County will probably have high chances for light snow, but just
light accumulations overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Heavy snowfall is expected over the mountains through Friday
morning, with isolated lingering light snowfall expected throughout
most of the forecast period. The lower elevations are anticipated to
get around an inch of snow, but some locally higher amounts are
possible, especially near the mountains and over the far
southeastern plains. Snow is expected to cease over the lower
elevations by late Friday morning.

The next storm system is expected to travel over the region
Monday evening through Tuesday with the main impacts being snow
over the mountains and over the lower elevations. Some models are
hinting that this storm has the potential to be quite impactful
across the region (high snowfall amounts and gusty winds), but
there is still quite a bit of uncertainty in the forecast.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
likely today over the mountains, and will be possible tonight over
some of the mountains, and over Teller and northern El Paso
Counties.

$$

28/SKELLY

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
326 PM MST Wed Nov 20 2019

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-212230-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
326 PM MST Wed Nov 20 2019 /426 PM CST Wed Nov 20 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

Light rain may mix with and change over to light snow this evening,
mainly in far northeast Colorado and southwest Nebraska, where snow
accumulations of less than one half inch will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

A light rain and snow mix Thursday afternoon will turn to all snow
Thursday night and early Friday morning. One half inch to one inch
of snow accumulation will be possible south of Interstate 70, with a
dusting to one half inch of snow possible north of Interstate 70.

Near-critical fire weather conditions will be possible during the
afternoon hours on both Saturday and Sunday. Saturday will likely be
the windier day, however Sunday will be a bit drier. Generally, wind
gusts up to 30 mph and relative humidity values down to 20% are
expected across portions of the Tri-State area on both days.

A mix of rain and snow will be possible across the area Monday
afternoon through Tuesday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Vincent

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
401 PM CST Wed Nov 20 2019

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-211200-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
401 PM CST Wed Nov 20 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Isolated thunderstorms may develop early this evening. Gusts to
around 60 MPH will be the main threat, although the potential for
hail cannot be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Light accumulations of snow will be possible across much of the
Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles Thursday night and Friday morning,
with the greatest chance for accumulating snow across the western
Oklahoma Panhandle and the northwestern Texas Panhandle.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
1050 AM MST Wed Nov 20 2019

COZ030>051-211800-
Jackson County Below 9000 Feet-
West Jackson and West Grand Counties Above 9000 Feet-
Grand and Summit Counties Below 9000 Feet-
South and East Jackson/Larimer/North and Northeast Grand/
Northwest Boulder Counties Above 9000 Feet-
South and Southeast Grand/West Central and Southwest Boulder/
Gilpin/Clear Creek/Summit/North and West Park Counties Above
9000 Feet-Larimer and Boulder Counties Between 6000 and 9000 Feet-
Jefferson and West Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet/Gilpin/Clear
Creek/Northeast Park Counties Below 9000 Feet-
Central and Southeast Park County-
Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-
Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield
County-
North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and
Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-
Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet-
Northeast Weld County-Central and South Weld County-Morgan County-
Central and East Adams and Arapahoe Counties-
North and Northeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/North Lincoln
County-
Southeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/South Lincoln County-
Logan County-Washington County-Sedgwick County-Phillips County-
1050 AM MST Wed Nov 20 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NORTHERN COLORADO MOUNTAINS THROUGH
MIDNIGHT...

This hazardous weather outlook is for northeast and north central
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

An upper level weather disturbance will be moving over Colorado,
producing snow in the mountains through this evening. Snow
accumulations of 3 to 8 inches are expected in the mountain areas
above 9000 feet. Lower elevations in the mountains will see 2 to 5
inches of fresh snow. Snow in the mountains will continue through
the evening and then taper off after midnight.

On the plains, rain showers are expected to develop during the
afternoon which will change to snow by early evening. Snow will
then continue through late evening and then diminish. Snow
accumulations on the plains will be less than two inches, but the
evening commute may be slowed down by slippery roads from the mix
of rain and snow.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Light snow will continue Thursday, and be more prevalent in the
mountains than the plains. Snow may increase in
the mountains, foothills, and along the I-25 corridor Thursday
night into early Friday. The snow will end on Friday with dry
and warmer conditions for the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
443 AM MST Wed Nov 20 2019

NMZ201>241-211145-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-
Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-
Upper Tularosa Valley-South Central Mountains-
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
443 AM MST Wed Nov 20 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The first of two wet weather systems crossing in succession will
continue to spread precipitation across the forecast area from the
southwest today. The snow level will drop to 8500 feet in the
northern mountains, where a few to several inches of snow will begin
to accumulate.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

A few to several inches of snow accumulation is expected across
northern and western areas tonight through Thursday night, when the
snow level will drop near 6500 feet (except near 5000 feet across
northeast areas). The highest terrain of the northern and southwest
mountains will accumulate higher amounts near 20 inches. Most of the
snow accumulation will end by late Thursday afternoon, except by
midnight Thursday in the northern mountains, but not until late
Thursday night across northeast areas.

A colder storm system will dive southeastward across the state Monday
night and Tuesday with a chance for additional snow accumulation
mainly across northern and western areas.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report snowfall amounts through the
National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at weather.gov/abq
or by calling 1.888.386.7637.

$$

44

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
348 AM MST Wed Nov 20 2019

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-211100-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-
Upper Gunnison River Valley-Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-
Northwest San Juan Mountains-Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
348 AM MST Wed Nov 20 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for eastern Utah and western
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Snow will continue over the higher terrain above 8,500 feet today
through tonight. Expect accumulations above this altitude with a
soaking rain in the valleys.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Snow will continue in all mountain ranges above 8500 feet through
Friday. A foot or more is possible throughout numerous mountain
ranges in southeast Utah and southwest Colorado. A soaking rain
will fall elsewhere across the valleys. Spotters are encouraged
to report rain and snow totals to the NWS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected today or tonight, however
spotters are encouraged to report snowfall amounts to the
National Weather Service in Grand Junction.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
208 AM CST Wed Nov 20 2019

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-210815-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
208 AM CST Wed Nov 20 2019 /108 AM MST Wed Nov 20 2019/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms are expected this
afternoon and evening. With limited instability, severe weather is
not expected. Strong south to southwest winds are expected, with
gusts in the 30-35 mph. The strongest storms across the southeast
zones may produce outflow wind gusts to near 50 mph.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Light rain will change to light snow Thursday night, with light
snow continuing through Friday morning. Impacts are expected to be
minimal, with snow amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch for most zones. Higher
amounts to near 2 inches are possible across the far SW zones,
where a winter weather advisory may be required.

After a quiet weekend, there is a potential for a strong winter
storm around Tuesday of next week. Models are in strong
disagreement, so no details are available. This system may impact
Thanksgiving travel across the plains, and should be monitored
closely.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Thursday
  - Snow: Elevated risk

* Friday
  - Snow: Elevated risk

* Saturday
  No hazards.

* Sunday
  No hazards.

* Monday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Tuesday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Elevated risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ddc

$$

Turner

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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