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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
533 AM MDT Thu May 13 2021

COZ058>089-093>099-141145-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
533 AM MDT Thu May 13 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Patchy fog will impact mainly El Paso County this morning with
reduced visibilities.

Isolated thunderstorms are possible this afternoon over the southern
Sangre de Cristo Mountains, east into the Raton Mesa.  Lightning and
outflow wind gusts to 40 mph may accompany storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Severe thunderstorms will be possible Friday and Saturday across
the southeast plains with the primary risks being large hail,
damaging winds and locally heavy rainfall. The risk area on
Friday will extend along and east of a line from Calhan to La
Junta to Kim...but will expand to include most of the I-25
corridor and the southeast plains for Saturday. A brief tornado
can not be ruled out, especially on Saturday. Isolated
thunderstorms will be possible over the mountains both days where
the primary storm risks will be lightning and localized wind
gusts up to 50 mph.

Showers and thunderstorms will be possible again on Sunday though
weaker winds aloft may decrease storm strengths some. Locally
heavy rainfall and burn scar flash flooding will be the primary
storm risks. However, hail to around 1 inch in diameter and
damaging winds will also be possible for the southeast mountains
and plains depending on the amount of instability present.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will spread across
southern Colorado for Monday and Tuesday. Locally heavy rainfall,
small hail and gusty outflow winds will be possible both day with
some light snow accumulations possible above 10000 feet. Burn scar
flash flooding will be particularly elevated these days.

Afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms will be possible
on Wednesday, however are expected to be less numerous in
coverage.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
possible this afternoon over the southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains
and Raton Mesa.

$$

88/31

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
533 AM MDT Thu May 13 2021

COZ030>051-141145-
Jackson County Below 9000 Feet-
West Jackson and West Grand Counties Above 9000 Feet-
Grand and Summit Counties Below 9000 Feet-
South and East Jackson/Larimer/North and Northeast Grand/
Northwest Boulder Counties Above 9000 Feet-
South and Southeast Grand/West Central and Southwest Boulder/
Gilpin/Clear Creek/Summit/North and West Park Counties Above
9000 Feet-Larimer and Boulder Counties Between 6000 and 9000 Feet-
Jefferson and West Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet/Gilpin/Clear
Creek/Northeast Park Counties Below 9000 Feet-
Central and Southeast Park County-
Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-
Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield
County-
North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and
Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-
Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet-
Northeast Weld County-Central and South Weld County-Morgan County-
Central and East Adams and Arapahoe Counties-
North and Northeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/North Lincoln
County-
Southeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/South Lincoln County-
Logan County-Washington County-Sedgwick County-Phillips County-
533 AM MDT Thu May 13 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for northeast and north central
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There`s a slight chance of a thunderstorm in the late afternoon or
early evening around Julesburg. Wind gusts to 40 mph and small
hail would be possible if that occurs. Elsewhere it will be warmer
and a little breezy in the afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Widely scattered late day showers and thunderstorms are forecast
Friday, mainly over the plains. Showers and thunderstorms will
become more numerous Saturday and especially Sunday. Some of the
storms on the eastern plains could become strong on Saturday and
Sunday. Chances for showers and thunderstorms will continue early
next week as a slow moving low pressure system moves through.
There is a low risk of severe thunderstorms and burn area
flooding, mainly Saturday through Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight.

$$

Gimmestad/Hanson

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
430 AM MDT Thu May 13 2021

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-141030-
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-
Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-
Red Willow-
430 AM MDT Thu May 13 2021 /530 AM CDT Thu May 13 2021/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms for areas along and
east of a line from Parks, Nebraska to St. Francis, Kansas to Leoti,
Kansas on Thursday afternoon and early evening. Possible hazards with
these thunderstorms include large hail and damaging wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms across the entire
Tri-State area from late Friday afternoon into Friday night. Large
hail and damaging winds will be possible with stronger storms.

Thunderstorm chances continue across the entire area Saturday
through Tuesday. However, the risk of severe thunderstorms appears
to be low at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected to be required at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
426 AM MDT Thu May 13 2021

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-141200-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-
Upper Gunnison River Valley-Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-
Northwest San Juan Mountains-Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
426 AM MDT Thu May 13 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for eastern Utah and western
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated thunderstorm development will be possible over the
northern Colorado mountains this afternoon. Gusty outflow winds
will be the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Isolated to scattered thunderstorm development will be possible
each afternoon mainly over the Colorado and northern Utah
mountains through early next week. A system moving in early next
week may bring an increase in the thunderstorm development by
Tuesday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
310 AM MDT Thu May 13 2021

NMZ201>241-141030-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-Tusas Mountains Including Chama-
Jemez Mountains-Glorieta Mesa Including Glorieta Pass-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Espanola Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood-
Estancia Valley-Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-
Upper Tularosa Valley-South Central Mountains-
Johnson and Bartlett Mesas Including Raton Pass-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
San Agustin Plains and Adjacent Lowlands-
310 AM MDT Thu May 13 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated, high-based showers and thunderstorms over the southwest
mountains and the far northeast highlands and plains this afternoon
and evening will be capable of producing strong downburst wind gusts
to 50 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Isolated, high-based showers and thunderstorms over the southwest
mountains and the central mountain chain Friday afternoon and evening
will be capable of producing strong downburst wind gusts up to 50
mph.

A few strong to perhaps severe thunderstorms are possible Friday and
Saturday over far northeastern NM and near the TX border.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

33

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
351 AM CDT Thu May 13 2021

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-132100-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
351 AM CDT Thu May 13 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon and evening across
mainly the western and central Panhandles.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Thunderstorms may develop across most of the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles Friday through Tuesday. Thunderstorms may reach severe
criteria each day Friday through Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
332 AM CDT Thu May 13 2021

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-140845-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
332 AM CDT Thu May 13 2021 /232 AM MDT Thu May 13 2021/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Strong to marginally severe thunderstorms are possible mainly
around Hays to Stafford late Thursday night as storms move
southeast out of Nebraska and into central KS. Primary risks are
for marginally severe hail and wind gusts.


Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Severe thunderstorm chances increase Friday through early next
week as modest CAPE and shear develop across southwest Kansas.
Only limiting factor will be convective coverage in the midst of
nebulous upper level forcing, but guidance has continually
indicated thunderstorms will impact southwest Kansas each day
Friday through Sunday. Primary risks include severe hail and wind
gusts.


Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ddc

$$

SPRINGER

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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